Nangpa La and Nup La, Mount Everest Region are snow free through December 2020

Nangpa La (NPL) and Nup La  (NL)  in Landsat images from 10-13-2020 and 12-16-2020, CO=Cho Oyu Peak and purple dots indicate the snowline. Both passes can be crossed without traversing snow on December 16.

The winter monsoon for the Nepal Himalaya is a dry cold period with limited precipitation or new snow accumulation.  Mount Everest region glaciers are summer accumulation type glaciers with ~75% of annual precipitation occurring during the summer monsoon (Wagnon et al 2013; Baker Perry et al 2020). The summer monsoon also is the period of the highest melt rates lower on the glaciers. October has been considered the end of the melt season in the region with little precipitation early in the Post Monsoon and early winter season (October-December), averaging ~3% of the total annual precipitation (Baker Perry et al 2020).   The limited snowpack with warmer winter temperatures have led to higher snowlines during the first few months of the winter season in recent years (Pelto, 2019).  Here we use a combination of Landsat images from Oct. 13 and Dec 16. to indicate the snowline rise in the vicinity of four high passes between Nepal and China (Tibet) along with The Rolex-National Geographic Perpetual Planet Expedition real time weather data, which  for Dec. 16 indicate clear dry, low humidity conditions on Mount Everest, see image below.local weather records. The four passes are  Nangpa La (NPL)  at the glacier divide between Gyarbarg and Bohte Koshi Glacier,  Nup La (NL) at the glacier divide of Ngozumpa and Rongbuk Glacier,  Lho La (LL) on a ridge between Rongbuk and Khumbu Glacier and Pethangtse Col (PC) at the top of Barun Glacier. Nangpa La is the only pass that is gentle enough that it can be crossed without mountaineering experience and has been used as a trading route across the Himalaya. Further information at NASA Earth Observatory and paper published by Pelto et al 2021.

On October 13, 2020 the snowline is at 5700 m on the Gyarbarg Glacier and Bhote Khosi Glacier that flow north and south from Nangpa La respectively. At Nup La the snowline is at 5750 m short of the pass on the Rongbuk Glacier and Ngozumpa Glacier that flow north and south from the divide respectively.  At Lho La the snowline is at 5700 m on Rongbuk Glacier and 5500 m on Khumbu Glacier that flow north and south from the divide respectively.  At Pethangtse Col the snowline is at ~6000 m on Barun Glacier that flows south from the col.  Two months later on Dec. 16 the snowline has risen above Nangpa La, allowing for a snow free crossing, and is at ~5800 m. There is also a snow free crossing at Nup La, with the snowline above the pass at 5850 m. At Lho La the snowline is below the pass on Rongbuk Glacier at 5800 m and at ~5600 m on Khumbu Glacier. At Pethangtse Col the snowline reaches the crest at the top of Barun Glacier at over ~6100 m.  Nup La and Nangpa La remain snowfree through January 1, 2021, see below. The rise of ~100 m at each site since October 13 indicates significant ablation during the period, indicative of greater mass losses lower on these glaciers. Bocchiola et al (2020) report that on West Kangri Nup Glacier, tributary to Khumbu Glacier, in the 5400-5500 m range significant accumulation is no longer being retained through the summer monsoon. This is indicative of the ~100 m rise in summer freezing level since 1980 reported by Baker Perry et al (2020). 

In 2015, 2016, 2018 and again in 2019 high winter snowlines indicated the same process in the Mount Everest region (Pelto, 2019). On December 11. 2019 the snowline in the Everest Region was notably high, averaging 5800 m, but high passes such as Nup La and Nangpa La still had snowcover (Pelto, 2019). There had been no significant snowfall from the end of the summer monsoon in 2019 through Dec. 11, a snow storm occurred from Dec. 12-14 (Baker Perry et al 2020).  The result is an expanded ablation season that extends beyond October into December or later in the winter. The melt rates due to the limited solar radiation or sublimation are small, but are significant on many glaciers (Wagnon et al 2013). This has occurred due to increasing air temperatures since the 1980’s, with mean annual air temperatures  increasing  0.62 °C per decade over the last 49 years; the greatest warming trend is observed in winter, the smallest in summer (Yang et al., 2011).In recent years a white early winter can only be found high on the glaciers of the Khumbu Region.

The Lho La (LL) and Pethangtse Col (PC) region in Landsat images from 10-13-2020 and 12-16-2020, Lh=Lhotse Peak, EV=Everest, R=Ronguk Glacier, K=Khumbu Glacier, B=Barun Glacier and purple dots indicate the snowline.

Here we continue to document the extension of mass balance losses through the post monsoon and into the winter season, which we have also reported on for the Gangotri Glacier, India and Lhonak Glacier, Sikkim.  The question for Himalayan glaciers now is when does the ablation season end?  The answer will depend on the specific glacier, but a combination of satellite imagery and local weather records are key to answering, such as the ongoing programs noted by Baker Perry et al (2020) and Wagnon et al (2020).  The Rolex-National Geographic Perpetual Planet Expedition provides real time weather data from Everest and daily images of conditions that provide an opportunity to document the end of ablation conditions. King et al (2019) found during the 2000-2015 period mass balance losses of debris-covered and clean-ice glaciers to be substantially the same in the Mount Everest region. They observed the mass balance of 32 glaciers finding a mean mass balance of all glaciers was −0.52 m/year, increasing to -0.7 m/year for lake terminating glaciers. Dehecq et al (2018) examined velocity changes across High Mountain Asia from the 2000-2017 period identifying a widespread slow down in the region.  The key take away is warming temperatures lead to mass balance losses, which leads to a velocity slow down, and both will generate ongoing retreat.

 

Nangpa La and Nup La in Dec. 16, 2020 (above), and January 1, 2021 (below) Landsat images indicating both are snow free, purple dots indicate snowline.

Image from Rolex-National Geographic Perpetual Planet Expedition  on Dec. 16 indicating the lack of snow accumulation to date on bare rock surfaces below 5600 m in foreground including weather conditions indicating 7% humidity.

Where is the snow at Nup La, 5850 m, West Rongbuk Glacier?

nup la 1516

Landsat image from January 4, 2016 indicating the actual Nup La (N).  Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

Nup La at 5850 m is on the Nepal-China border and is the divide between the West Rongbuk Glacier and the Ngozumpa Glacier.  The pass should be part of the accumulation zone of both glaciers.  In recent years including currently this has not been the case, this past Christmas was not a white one at the pass.  Our attention is often focused on the more easily viewed terminus of a glacier, and both of these glaciers are retreating. The changes higher on the glacier can have more far reaching implications. Bolch et al (2011) observed strong thinning in the accumulation zone on nearby Khumbu Glacier, though less than the ablation zone . This can only happen with reduced retained snowpack particularly in winter.  This has occurred with increasing air temperatures since the 1980’s. Mean annual air temperatures have increased by 0.62 °C per decade over the last 49 years; the greatest warming trend is observed in winter, the smallest in summer (Yang et al., 2011). The glaciers in the area are summer accumulation type glaciers with 70% of the annual precipitation occurring during the summer monsoon. There is little precipitation early in the winter season (November-January). The limited snowpack with warmer winter temperatures have led to high snowlines during the first few months of the winter season in recent years. Here we examine Landsat images from 1992 to 2016 to observe changes in the snowline during the early winter period.

In January of 2016 the snowline is at 6100 m, which is well above Nup La and the divide between West Rongbuk and Ngozumpa Glacier.  The green arrows indicate three areas of expanding bedrock exposure occurring over the last 15 years.  This indicates thinning in this region of 5700-6000 m, which should typically be the accumulation zone.  In December 2015 three works prior to the 2016 image the situation is the same.  In November 2014 the snowline is lower at 5750 m.  In 1992 the snowline is at 5600 m, and the bedrock areas at the green arrows are reduced from above.  In November 2000 the snowline is at 5450 m and in November 2001 it is at 5600 m.  In all images prior to 2012 the snowline does not reach the region around Nup La above 5700 m during the early winter period.  In recent years the snowline has remained high, above 5700 m, significantly into the winter season almost every year, and in 2015/16 remains high three months into the winter season. This is an indication of an extended period after the summer monsoon, in which not only is snow not accumulating, but ablation can occur mostly via sublimation at elevations of Nup La. The thinning resulting has caused the expansion of bedrock areas at the green arrows and at the pink arrow.

nup la region
Google Earth image of the region indicating Nup La (N), Wests Rongbuk Glacier (WR), Rongbuk Glacier (R), Ngozumpa Glacier (Ng) and Khumbu Glacier on Mount Everest (K)

nup la dec2015
December 2015 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N).  Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

nup la 11202014
November 2014 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N).  Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

nup la oct92
October 1992 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N).  Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

nup la oct2001
November 2000 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N).  Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

nup la 10152000
November 2001 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N).  Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

nup la 2014
Google Earth image indicating flow paths at Nup La.