Porcupine Glacier, BC 1.2km2 Calving Event Marks Rapid Retreat

On September 22, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn Canada glacier retreat, glacier climate change7 Comments

Landsat images from Sept. 2015 and Sept. 2016. Red arrow is the 1988 terminus and the yellow arrow the 2016 terminus. I marks an icefall location and point A marks the large iceberg.

Porcupine Glacier is a 20 km long outlet glacier of an icefield in the Hoodoo Mountains of Northern British Columbia that terminates in an expanding proglacial lake. During 2016 the glacier had a 1.2 square kilometer iceberg break off, leading to a retreat of 1.7 km in one year. This is an unusually large iceberg to calve off in a proglacial lake, the largest I have ever seen in British Columbia or Alaska. NASA has generated better imagery to illustrate my observations. Bolch et al (2010) noted a reduction of 0.3% per year in glacier area in the Northern Coast Mountains of British Columbia from 1985 to 2005. Scheifer et al (2007) noted an annual thinning rate of 0.8 meters/year from 1985-1999. Here we examine the rapid retreat of Porcupine Glacier and the expansion of the lake it ends in from 1988-2016 using Landsat images from 1988, 1999, 2011, 2015 and 2016. Below is a Google Earth view of the glacier with arrows indicating the flow paths of the Porcupine Glacier. The second images is a map of the region from 1980 indicates a small marginal lake at the terminus.

Landsat images from 1988 and 2016 comparing terminus locations and snowline. Red arrow is the 1985 terminus and the yellow arrow the 2016 terminus. I marks an icefall location and point A marks the large iceberg. Purple dots indicate the snowline.

In 1988 a tongue of the glacier in the center of the lake reached to within 1.5 km of the far shore of the lake, red arrow. The yellow arrow indicates the 2016 terminus position. By 1999 there was only a narrow tongue reaching into the wider proglacial lake formed by the juncture of two tributaries. In 2011 this tongue had collapsed. In 2015 the glacier had retreated 3.1 km from the 1988 location. In the next 12 months Porcupine Glacier calved a 1.2 square kilometer iceberg and retreated 1.7 km, detailed view of iceberg below. The base of the icefall indicates the likely limit of this lake basin. At that point the retreat rate will decline.The number of icebergs in the lake at the terminus indicates the retreat is mainly due to calving icebergs. Glacier thinning of the glacier tongue has led to enhanced calving. The retreat of this glacier is similar to a number of other glaciers in the area Great Glacier, Chickamin Glacier, South Sawyer Glacier and Bromley Glacier. The retreat is driven by an increase in snowline/equilibrium line elevations which in 2016 is at 1700 m, similar to that on South Sawyer Glacier in 2016.

August 27, 2016 Sentinel 2 image of iceberg red dots calved from front of Porcupine Glacier.

Canadian Toporama map of Porcupine Glacier terminus area in 1980.

Google Earth view indicating flow of Porcupine glacier.

1999 Landsat image above and 2011 Landsat image below indicating expansion of the lake. Red arrows indicate the snowline. Purple, orange and yellow arrows indicate the same location in each image.

South Sawyer Glacier Retreat and Separation, Alaska

Comparison of South Sawyer Terminus position and unnamed glacier just to the south. Red arrows are the 1985 terminus and yellow arrows the 2016 position of each terminus.

South Sawyer Glacier is a 50 km long tidewater glacier terminating at the head of Tracy Arm fjord in Southeast Alaska. The winding fjord surrounded by steep mountains is fed by Sawyer and South Sawyer Glacier is home to stellar sea lions, humpback whales and harbor seals. This combination makes it attractive for cruise ships. Mike Greenfelder a Naturalist/Photography Instructor with Lindblad Expeditions suggested I examine this glacier, and he provided several images. I had a chance to observe the glacier in 1982 and 1984 and noted that the snowline of the glacier at 1125 meters by Pelto (1987), using Landsat images. We also identified the water depth at the glacier front was 180-200 m and the velocity of the calving front in the 1980’s was 1800 m/year (Pelto and Warren, 1990). Today the velocity had declined to less than half of this, which is expected given that water depth at the front in the most recent charts from 1999 indicate 1985 terminus position water depth is 110 m (Elliot et al, 2012). This is deep but not as deep as in the 1980’s, the greater the water depth, the greater the degree of buoyancy at the front and the higher the calving rate. The glacier retreated 3.5 km from 1899-1967 and then experienced little retreat from 1967 to 1985 (Molnia et al, 2008). Larsen et al (2007) observed a rapid thinning of the Stikine Icefield during the 1948-2000 period.The retreat has been driven by rising snowlines in the region that has driven the retreat of North Dawes, Baird, Dawes and Sawyer Glacier. Here we use Landsat images to indicate from 1985-2016 to identify terminus change and recent snowline elevation.

The terminus has retreated 2300 m from 1985 to 2016, with little retreat from 1985 to 1996. Of equal importance is the glacier now appears to be near the tidewater limit of Tracy Arm. In the gallery of terminus images below from Mike Greenfelder, the 2005 and 2012 images illustrate a sharp increase in slope at Point B and red arrows in 2015 just the red arrows, 300 m from the ice front. In 2016 the ice front is nearly to the base of this icefall. This represents a sharp rise in the bed of glacier causing an icefall. Whether the bed is entirely above sea level is not clear. Just south of the main terminus is a separate glacier that in 1985 was the combination of two tributaries. By 2016 the two glaciers have separated with a retreat of 4.5 km for the western arm and 3.8 km for the eastern arm.

In the gallery of snowline images it is evident that upglacier there are two tributaries that joined the main glacier in 1985, that no longer reach the glacier in 2016. This is indicative of the higher snowlines and thinning glacier. The gallery of snowlines indicate the last date during the melt season with clear imagery of the snowline. In 1985 the snowline was at 1250 m, in 1996 the snowline was at 1400 m, in 2013 1400 m, in 2014 1600 m, in 2015 at 1400 m and in 2016 at 1650 m. The images are close to the end of the melt season, but are a minimum elevation for the equilibrium line. The snowline is averaging 300 m higher than it did in the 1980’s. The retreat of South Sawyer Glacier and its iceberg production will slow as the water depth at the front declines in the near future. The retreat will continue due to the sharp rise in snowlines that has occurred which has led to significant thinning up to 1500 m noted by Larsen et al (2007). The retreat of neighboring non-calving glaciers emphasizes this point.

[ngg_images source=”galleries” container_ids=”27″ display_type=”photocrati-nextgen_basic_imagebrowser” ajax_pagination=”1″ template=”/nas/wp/www/sites/blogsorg/wp-content/plugins/nextgen-gallery/products/photocrati_nextgen/modules/ngglegacy/view/imagebrowser-caption.php” order_by=”sortorder” order_direction=”ASC” returns=”included” maximum_entity_count=”500″]

World Glacier Monitoring Service 30th Anniversary

On September 8, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

The numbers on the left y-axis depict quantities of glacial mass loss from the WGMS and sea level rise, and the suns across the horizon contain numbers that represent the global increase in temperature, coinciding with the timeline on the lower x-axis From Jill Pelto

The World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) celebrated 30 years of achievement last week. I have had the privilege of being the United States representative to the WGMS and was an invited speaker for the Jubilee held in Zurich, Switzerland along with Matthias Huss, Wilfried Haeberli, Liss Marie Andreassen and Irene Kopelman. This post examines the important role that WGMS has and continues to serve under the leadership of Michael Zemp. The organization has been compiling, homogenizing and publishing data on glacier fluctuations and mass balance primarily from 1986-2013. WGMS remains the leading organization for the collection, storage and dissemination of information on the fluctuations of alpine glaciers. The resulting standardized collection of alpine glacier data that is archived by WGMS, is also leading to analysis efforts that otherwise would be hampered by limited data and lack of homogeneity to the data. Glaciers are recognized as one of the best climate indicators. Mass balance data is the best parameter to measure on glaciers for identifying climate change, because of its annual resolution. The core of the WGMS data set has been frontal variations, which indicate longer response to climate as well as dynamic changes. The key data set today provided by WGMS are the reference glaciers.

This set of glaciers has a 30-year continuous record of annual mass balance measured in the field, and each glacier also has geodetic verification. This mass balance data set is featured on the Global Climate Dashboard at NOAA. I report the mass balance of two reference glaciers Lemon Creek Glacier in Alaska and Columbia Glacier in Washington. Today the field based work is being increasingly supplemented and supplanted by remote sensing methods. This data sets indicates a period of sustained mass balance loss, and glacier retreat that Zemp et al (2015) using WGMS data noted as historically unprecedented. The most recent compilation publication is the Global Glacier Change Bulletin.

This data set is of particular value during this period of climate change and is already chronicling the disapperance of a number of glaciers in the data set. Glacier loss is not a process that has been well documented. The WGMS data set can be enriched by more data from expanding monitoring, reporting data from archives and simply adding the submission of data as a step in the research process for those monitoring alpine glaciers. The video of my presentation looking at 33 consecutive years of field work and sharing this data after compilation with the WGMS is below. The slides below are from the Jubilee presentations.

[ngg_images source=”galleries” container_ids=”32″ display_type=”photocrati-nextgen_basic_imagebrowser” ajax_pagination=”1″ template=”/nas/wp/www/sites/blogsorg/wp-content/plugins/nextgen-gallery/products/photocrati_nextgen/modules/ngglegacy/view/imagebrowser-caption.php” order_by=”sortorder” order_direction=”ASC” returns=”included” maximum_entity_count=”500″]

Moulins: Clarifying Impacts on Glacier Velocity

On September 1, 2016September 2, 2016 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, Greenland glacier retreat

In the last week I have read three separate articles referring to glacier moulins as lubricating the bed of a glacier resulting in overall velocity increase, for example EOS (Aug. 2016), this is not generally accurate. Having spent considerable time observing moulins and reviewing some excellent studies that indicate their impact, it is worth noting again a more complete picture of the role moulins play. This is a role that warrants considerable further examination. In 2008 and 2011 I wrote a piece indicating why this a generalization that is only sometimes accurate. The key to increasing glacier velocity is high basal water pressure, not simply lots of meltwater. Think of your car, if you have low oil pressure that is an issue for efficient running. If you have high oil pressure that is ideal. If you have high oil pressure and you add more oil that does not further lubricate the engine. Delivering more water to the base of a glacier that already has lots of meltwater drainage will not typically lead to a significant acceleration. A number of studies since 2008 have better illustrated this principle as it applies to ice sheets.

Ahlstrøm et al (2013) examined 17 Greenland glaciers and noted a pattern, “Common to all the observed glacier velocity records is a pronounced seasonal variation, with an early melt season maximum generally followed by a rapid mid-melt season deceleration”. This indicates the Greenland glaciers are more like a typical alpine glacier and are susceptible to the forces that tend to cause alpine glaciers to experience peak flow during spring and early summer. Those forces are the delivery of meltwater to the base of the glacier, when a basal conduit system is poorly developed. This leads to high basal water pressure, which enhances sliding. As the conduit system develops/evolves the basal water pressure declines as does basal sliding, even with more meltwater runoff.

This is what has been reported to be the case by Sundal et al (2011) in Greenland. They found a similar early season velocity in all years, with a reduced velocity late in summer during the warmest years. This suggested that a more efficient melt drainage system had developed, reducing basal water pressure for a longer period of time. The meltwater lubrication mechanism is real, but as observed is limited both in time and area impacted. It is likely that, as on alpine glaciers, the seasonal speedup is offset by a greater slowdown late in the melt season. Most observed acceleration due to high meltwater input has been on the order of several weeks, leading to a 10-20% flow increase for that period.

Moon et al (2014) examined 55 Greenland glaciers and found three distinct seasonal velocity patterns. Type 1 behavior is characterized by speedup between late spring and early summer with speed remaining high until late winter or early spring, with the principal sensitivity being to terminus conditions and position. Type 2 behavior has stable velocity from late summer through spring, with a strong early summer speedup as runoff increases and midsummer slowing, as the glacier develops an efficient drainage system. Type 3 behavior has a mid-summer slowdown leading to a pronounced late summer minimum during the period of maximum runoff. Velocity than rebounds over the winter. The common behavior is then a slowdown during periods of peak runoff and moulin drainage.

Anderson et al (2011) noted that changes in velocity due to a 45% change in meltwater input were small 4-5% on Helheim Glacier.

Clason et al (2015) modelled development of moulins and their ability to deliver the water to the bed of Leverett Glacier. This study illustrates the level of details that is being examined to better model meltwater routing, which will inform flow models as noted by EOS (2015).

Moulins increase meltwater flow to a glacier bed. In areas where significant surface melt occurs, this tends to lead to an early melt season increase in basal water pressure and then velocity. This is typically followed by a mid/late melt season deceleration with continued meltwater drainage through moulins. The lubrication is hence, restricted in time, and if followed by a deceleration, does not necessarily lead to an increase in the overall glacier velocity. Certainly in some cases moulins will increase overall velocity and in others not.

Lednikovoye Glaciers, Novaya Zemlya 1999-2016 retreat

On August 29, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Novaya Zemlya glacier retreat, russia glacier retreat

Comparison of glaciers terminating in Lednikovoye Lake in central Svalbard in 2000 and 2016. Red arrow is the 2000 terminus location and yellow arrows the 2016 terminus location.

Lednikovoye Lake in central Novaya Zemlya has four glaciers terminating in it. Here we examine the two unnamed glaciers that discharge into the northwest portion of the lake. The glaciers are retreating like all tidewater glaciers in northern Novaya Zemlya, though they are not specifically tidewater (LEGOS, 2006). LEGOS (2006) identified a 2.7 square kilometer reduction in area of the two glaciers from 1990-2000. Carr et al (2014) identified an average retreat rate of 52 meters/year for tidewater glaciers on Novaya Zemlya from 1992 to 2010 and 5 meters/year for land terminating glaciers.Here we use Landsat images to examine changes from 1999 to 2016.

In 1999 and 2000 the western Lednikovoye Glacier ended on an island, the eastern Lednikovoye Glacier extended past the exit of a glacier filled valley entering from the east. By 2016 the western terminus had retreated 800 meters from the newly developed island. The eastern terminus had retreated a similar amount now ending near the center of the valley entering on the east. The glacier in that eastern valley has retreated 600 m from 1999 to 2016. The snowline in 2000 and 2016 is at ~500 m, with a significant remaining accumulation zone. There is limited upglacier thinning suggesting that retreat will not become rapid. The reduced rate of retreat of the Lednikovoye Glacier’s versus tidewater glacier of Novaya Zemlya suggests the importance of both sea ice reduction and sea surface temperature increase to the retreat rate of the latter such as Krayniy Glacier, Tasija Glacier and Chernysheva Glacier.

Looking Inside a Glacier

On August 22, 2016 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, North Cascade Glaciers

Here we provide a visual look inside a glacier in the North Cascades of Washington. Glaciers are not all the same, but the key internal ingredients in summer typically are in varied ratios: ice, meltwater, sediment and biologic material. In this case there are torrents of water pouring through the interior of the glacier, generated at the surface the day we are filming. We do measure the discharge and velocity of these streams. Once they drain englacially they are much slower as there are numerous plunge pools. There are also plenty of water filled crevasses. Some of the streams have considerable sediment in them, usually large clasts given the high velocity and low bed friction. In this case there are also a great many ice worms clinging to the walls of a water filled crevasse, and the walls of the stream channels. All of this water than merges by the terminus into an outlet stream. This again we measure. On the glacier we are measuring melt and at the end of the glacier runoff provides an independent measure of this melt as well. The water then heads downstream supplying many types of fish enroute to the ocean.

The last three years have led to considerable mass loss of glaciers in the area. This means less snowcover at the surface, which leaves less room for the ice worms to live and forces them into the meltwater regions. This also leads to more supraglacial stream channels, which develop and deepen. In many cases the streams deepen to the point that they become englacial. The increased ice area also should stress glacier ice worms as they live on algae, which resides largely in snow, which is less extensive and persistent in recent summers.

Glaciers in BAMS State of Climate 2015

On August 2, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

Decrease in Glacier Mass Balance uses measurements from 1980-2014 of the average mass balance for a group of North Cascade, WA glaciers. Mass balance is the annual budget for the glaciers: total snow accumulation minus total snow ablation. Not only are mass balances consistently negative, they are also continually decreasing. Glaciers have been one of the key and most iconic examples of the impact of global warming.

BAMS State of Climate 2015 asked me about featuring some of the glacier images for the cover, and I countered with a suggestion to utilize one of a series of paintings by Jill Pelto that illustrate the impact of climate change magnifying the impact of the data. Below are sections of this years report that focus on glaciers.

Glaciers and ice caps (outside Greenland)

M. Sharp, G. Wolken, L.M Andreassen, A. Arendt, D. Burgess, J.G. Cogley, L. Copland, J. Kohler, S. O’Neel, M. Pelto, L.Thompson, and B. Wouters

Among the seven glaciers for which 2014-2015 annual mass balance have been reported, the mass balances of glaciers in Alaska and Svalbard (three each) were negative, while the balance for Engabreen Glacier in Norway was positive. The pattern of negative balances in Alaska and Svalbard is also captured in time series of regional total stored water estimates, derived using GRACE satellite gravimetry, which are a proxy for regional total mass balance (ΔM) for the heavily glacierized regions of the Arctic (Figure 3). Measurements of ΔM in 2014-2015 for all the glaciers and ice caps in Arctic Canada and the Russian Arctic also show a negative mass balance year. The GRACE-derived time series clearly show a continuation of negative trends in ΔM for all measured regions in the Arctic. These measurements of mass balance and ΔM are consistent with anomalously warm (up to +1.5ºC) summer air temperatures over Alaska, Arctic Canada, the Russian Arctic, and Svalbard in 2015, and anomalously cool temperatures in northern Scandinavia, particularly in early summer (up to -2ºC). The warmer temperatures led to higher snowlines in the aforementioned regions as seen in images below.

Baffin Island Ice Cap near Clephane Bay indicate limited snowpack in 2015

Frostisen Ice Cap, Svalbard with limited 2015 snowpack.

Alpine Glaciers

M.Pelto

Preliminary data for 2015 from 16 nations with more than one reporting glacier from Argentina, Austria, Canada, Chile, Italy, Kyrgyzstan, Norway, Switzerland, and United States indicate that 2015 will be the 32nd consecutive year of negative annual balances with a mean loss of -1169 mm for 33 reporting reference glaciers and -1481 mm for all 59 reporting glaciers. The number of reporting reference glaciers is 90% of the total whereas only 50% of all glaciers that will report have submitted data thusfar. The 2015 mass balance will likely be comparable to 2003, the most negative year at -1268 mm for reference glaciers and -1198 mm for all glaciers.

The cumulative mass balance loss from 1980-2015 is 18.8 m, the equivalent of cutting a 20.5 m thick slice off the top of the average glacier (Figure 1). The trend is remarkably consistent from region to region (WGMS, 2015). The decadal mean annual mass balance was -261 mm in the 1980’s, -386 mm in the 1990’s, –727 mm for 2000’s and -818 mm from 2010-2015. The declining mass balance trend during a period of retreat indicates alpine glaciers are not approaching equilibrium and retreat will continue to be the dominant terminus response (Zemp et al., 2015). The recent rapid retreat and prolonged negative balances has led to many glaciers disappearing and others fragmenting (Pelto, 2010; Carturan et al, 2015).

In South America seven glaciers in Columbia, Argentina and Chile reported mass balance. All seven glaciers had losses greater than 1200 mm, with a mean of -2200 mm. These Andes glaciers span 58 degrees of latitude.

In the European Alps, mass balance has been reported for 14 glaciers from Austria, France, Italy and Switzerland. All 14 had negative balances exceeding 1000 mm, with a mean of -1865 mm. This is an exceptionally negative mass balance rivaling 2003 when average losses exceeded -2000 mm.

In Norway mass balance was reported for six glaciers in 2015, all six were positive with a mean of 780 mm. This is the only region that had a positive balance for the year. In Svalbard six glaciers reported mass balances, with all six having a negative mass balance averaging -675 mm.

In Alberta, British Columbia, Washington and Alaska mass balance data from 17 glaciers was reported with a mean loss of -2590 mm, with all 17 being negative. This is the most negative mass balance for the region during the period of record. From Alaska south through British Columbia to Washington the accumulation season temperature was exceptional with the mean for November-April being the highest observed.

In the high mountains of central Asia six glaciers from Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan reported data, all were negative with a mean of -660 mm.

Columbia Glacier having lost nearly all of its snowcover by early August had its most negative mass balance of any years since measurements began in 1984

Thirty-third Annual North Cascade Glacier Climate Project Field Season Underway

On July 31, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, glaciers salmon, North Cascade Glaciers4 Comments

Base Map of the region showing main study glaciers, produced by Ben Pelto.

From President Reagan to President Obama each August since 1984 I have headed to the North Cascade Range of Washington to measure the response of glaciers to climate change. Specifically we will measure the mass balance of nine glaciers, runoff from three glaciers and map the terminus change on 12 glaciers. The data is reported to the World Glacier Monitoring Service. Three glaciers that we have monitored annually have disappeared since 1984.

In 2016 for Mount Baker, Washington the freezing level from January-April was not as high as the record from 2015, but still was 400 m above the long term mean. The snowpack on June 1st was three weeks behind last year’s record melt, but still three to four weeks of head of normal. July has been exceptionally cool reducing this gap. With all the snow measurement stations losing snowcover by July 1, the gap is uncertain until we arrive on the glaciers. This will not be a good year, but will be a significant improvement over last year, likely more in the 2012 or 2013 category. Each location is accessed by backpacking in and camping in tents.

We will first travel north to Mount Baker and the Easton Glacier, we will be joined by Oliver Lazenby, Point Roberts Press. We will then circle to the north side where I expect we will be joined by Jezra Beaulieu and Oliver Grah, Nooksack Indian Tribe. Jen Lennon from the Sauk-Suiattle Tribe and Pete Durr, Mount Baker Ski Patrol are also planning to join us here. When we head into Columbia Glacier Taryn Black from U of Washington will join us. The field team consists of Mauri Pelto, 33^rd year, Jill Pelto, UMaine for the 8^th year, Megan Pelto, 2^nd year, and Andrew Hollyday, Middlebury College. Tom Hammond, 13^th year will join us for a selected period.

[ngg_images source=”galleries” container_ids=”38″ display_type=”photocrati-nextgen_basic_imagebrowser” ajax_pagination=”1″ template=”/nas/wp/www/sites/blogsorg/wp-content/plugins/nextgen-gallery/products/photocrati_nextgen/modules/ngglegacy/view/imagebrowser-caption.php” order_by=”sortorder” order_direction=”ASC” returns=”included” maximum_entity_count=”500″]

Aug.   1: Hike into Easton Glacier.
Aug.   2: Easton Glacier
Aug.   3: Easton Glacier
Aug. 4: Hike Out Easton Glacier, Hike in Ptarmigan Ridge
Aug.   5: Sholes Glacier
Aug.   6: Rainbow Glacier
Aug.   7: Sholes Glacier and/or Rainbow Glacier
Aug. 8: Hike out and into Lower Curtis Glacier
Aug. 9: Lower Curtis Glacier
Aug. 10: Hike out Lower Curtis Glacier- Hike in Blanca Lake Mail Pickup Maple Falls, WA 98266
Aug. 11: Hike in Columbia Glacier
Aug. 12: Columbia Glacier
Aug. 13: Hike out Columbia Glacier; Hike in Mount Daniels
Aug. 14: Daniels and Lynch Glacier
Aug. 15: Ice Worm Glacier
Aug. 16: Ice Worm Glacier, Hike out Mount Daniels-Hike out

Sjögren Glacier Fast Flow, Fast Retreat, Antarctica

On July 21, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn Antarctic Glacier retreat, climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change1 Comment

Sjögren Glacier comparison in Landsat images from 2001 and 2016, red dots indicate terminus position, Point A, B, C and D are in fixed locations.

Sjögren Glacier flows east from the northern Antarctic Peninsula and prior to the 1980’s was a principal feeder glacier to Prince Gustav Ice Shelf. This 1600 square kilometer ice shelf disintegrated in the mid-1990’s and was gone in 1995 (Cook and Vaughan, 2010). Scambos et al (2014) noted a widespread thinning and retreat of Northern Antarctic Peninsula Glaciers with the greatest changes where ice shelf collapse had occurred, Sjögren Glacier being one of the locations. Scambos et al (2004) first documented the acceleration of glaciers that fed an ice shelf after ice shelf loss in the Larsen B region. A new paper by Seehaus et al (2016) focuses on long term velocity change at Sjögren Glacier as it continues to retreat. This study illustrates the acceleration is long lived with a peak velocity of 2.8 m/day in 2007 declining to 1.4 m/day in 2014, compared to a 1996 velocity of 0.7 m/day, which was likely already higher than the velocity in years prior to ice shelf breakup. Here we examine Landsat images from 1990, 2001, 2005 and 2016 to illustrate changes in terminus position of Sjögren Glacier

In the 1990 Landsat image Sjögren Glacier feed directly into the Prince Gustav ice Shelf which then By 1993 Seehaus et al (2016) note that Sjögren Glacier had retreated to the mouth of Sjögren Inlet in 1993, this is marked Point A on Landsat Images. By 2001 the glacier had retreated to Point B, a distance of 7 km. Between 2001 and 2005 Sjögren Glacier retreat led to a separation from Boydell Glacier at Point C. In 2016 Sjögren Glacier had retreated 10-11 km from the 2001 location, and 4.5 km from Point C up the expanding fjord. The production of icebergs remains heavy and the inlet does not narrow for another 6 km from the front. Seehaus et al (2016) Figure 1 indicates that the area of high velocity over 1 m/day extends 1 km upglacier, with somewhat of a slowdown at 6 km behind the front. The high velocity and limited change in fjord width in the lower 6 km indicates there is not a new pinning point to slow retreat appreciably in this stretch. Figure 1 also illustrates the retreat from 1993-2014. The pattern of ice shelf loss and glacier retreat after loss has also played out at Jones Ice Shelf and Rohss Bay.

1990 Landsat Image of Sjogren Glacier and Prince Gustav Ice Shelf, terminus marked by red dots

2005 Landsat Image of Sjogren Glacier, terminus marked by red dots

Rainbow Glacier Not Fading Away, Glacier National Park

On July 12, 2016November 20, 2025 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations1 Comment

Rainbow Glacier is the third largest of the 25 remaining glaciers in Glacier National Park occupying an east facing cirque between 2650 m and 2330 m. The glacier drains into Quartz Lake a key lake for bull trout in GNP, which are threatened by both invasive lake trout and climate change (Jones et al, 2013). The National Park Serice and USGS have been established a glacier monitoring program that focuses on repeat photography, mass balance observations on Sperry Glacier and area change. GNP has lost the majority of the 150 glaciers that existed. The USGS reports that Rainbow Glacier had an area of 1.28 square kilometers in 1966 declining to 1.16 square kilometers in 2005, a 9.3% reduction. Has this slow rate of retreat continued? Here we examine Google Earth imagery from 1990-2013 and imagery taken by John Scurlock compiled by Glaciers of the American West at Portland State University,

In the Google Earth images from 1990, 2003 and 2013 the margin of the glacier in 1990 is in red and from 2003 is in orange. The margin of the glacier from 1990 to 2003 indicates modest recession averaging 25-30 m along the glacier front. This is part of the 9.3 % area loss noted by the USGS. In 2013 there is too much snowcover to identify the glacier boundary, glacier ice is exposed providing a minimum extent at the green dots. A comparison of 1990, 2005 and 2009 images, the latter from John Scurlock indicates the two primary terminus lobes. From 1990 to 2005 the southern lobe retreated 45 m and the northern lobe 25-30 m. There is not a significant change in either lobe from 2005 to 2009. The 2003, 2005 and 2009 imagery does indicate a low percentage of retained snowcover. This is the accumulation area ratio. Persistent low values indicate a glacier that cannot survive. In the case of Rainbow Glacier the accumulation area ratio is sufficient in most years to limit volume losses. In 2015 low snowpack exposed the terminus area,by late August the glacier still had 40% snowcover, indicating a negative mass balance, but not excessively negative. Glacier area updated to 2015 using the Landsat image the area is now between 1.00 and 1.10 square kilometers an approximately 20% area loss in 50 years. It is evident that this is the only late summer area of snow-ice in the watershed and is particularly crucial to the water budget in late summer and early fall. The slow retreat of the glacier is good for the bull trout in the watershed, Rieman et al (2007) indicated the sensitivity of the trout to stream temperatures. Glacier both increase flow and reduce stream temperature late in the summer. This is one glacier in the park that will not disappear by 2030 as has been often forecast. It will join Harrison Glacier in this category, while other glaciers in GNP continue to disappear.

1990 Google Earth image with two main terminus lobes indicated by red arrows.

2005 Google Earth image of Rainbow Glacier.

2009 John Scurlock image of Rainbow Glacier.

Lamplugh Glacier Recent Behavior and Landslide Source Area, Alaska

On July 7, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn alaska glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

Lamplugh Glacier before and after landslide, in Landsat 8 images, which is 7.5 km long and covers 17 square kilometers. L=Lamplugh, R=Reid and B=Brady Glacier.

A recent large landslide onto Lamplight Glacier on June 28, 2016 has been reported by KHNS. The landslide was triggered on the north slope of a steep unnamed mountainside on the west side of the Lamplugh Glacier, Glacier Bay, Alaska. The landslide has been estimated at 120 million tons by Colin Stark from Lamont Doherty . The region has been experiencing substantial retreat and glacier thinning such as on Brady Glacier, McBride Glacier. and Muir Glacier Loso et al (2014). However retreat on Lamplugh Glacier has been minimal since 1985, with USGS photographs from 1941 and 2003 indicating a 0.5 km advance. The glacier terminus in the last decade has thinned, narrowed and begun a slow limited retreat.The thinning of the glacier has been mapped by University of Alaska Fairbanks aerial flights since 1995 (Johsnon et al, 2013). They found from 1995 to 2011 that Lamplugh Glacier lost the least ice thickness per year compared to neighbors Ried and Brady Glacier, at -0.32 m/year, Ried at -0.5 m/year and Brady Glacier at -1.4 m/year Loso et al (2014). Because the glacier has been receding less than the neighbors it is not a natural choice for a retreat/thinning driven landslide. The snowline that is shared with Brady Glacier has risen 150 m during the 2003-2015 period (Pelto et al, 2013). This indicates increased melting at higher elevations. The greater melting on the north face of the failed slope could be a factor in the landslide. Southeast Alaska had its warmest spring ever this year, which is leading to higher area snowlines for this time of year on glaciers as noted at this blog three weeks ago on Brady Glacier. The North American Freezing Level Tracker notes an average freezing line 35 m above the mean for 1948-2015 and the highest on record in 2016 averaging nearly 1300 m.

Landsat image comparison of Lamplugh Glacier 1985, 2013, 2015 and 2016. The orange arrows indicate extensive surface moraine deposits. purple arrows the region below the slope where landslide was triggered. Point B trigger location and Point A a nearby cloud free location in each image.

A comparison of Landsat images indicates the trigger location Point B, with Point A being a location that is not cloud covered in any image for reference. The landslide through thin clouds is marked by purple arrows and purple dots on the July 6, 2016 image. The landslide extends approximately 9 km down glacier from the trigger site. Orange arrows indicate locations of extensive medial moraines due to erosion and possibly previous landslides. It is apparent that these areas stem from he west side of the glacier lower on the glacier than the current landslide trigger area. This area has not been the source of significant surface debris in the last 30+ years. Pelto et al (2013) noted that the snowline on neighboring Brady Glacier has risen by 150 m, this is the most pronounced impact of climate change to date for Lamplugh Glacier. The rising rate of landslides has been tied to increase melt in the Swiss Alps as permafrost on rock faces thaws. This post will be updated when clear Landsat imagery is available.

USGS Topographic map of the region overlay in Google Earth. Point B is the trigger point.

Freezing Level Tracker for Glacier Bay, AK

Conducting Long Term Annual Glacier Monitoring

On June 29, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, North Cascade Glaciers

Easton Glacier in 1990, 2003 and 2015 from same location. Below Painting by Jill Pelto of crevasse assessment using a camline.

This is the story of how you develop and conduct a long term glacier monitoring program. We have been monitoring the annual mass balance of Easton Glacier on Mount Baker, a stratovolcano in the North Cascade Range, Washington since 1990. This is one of nine glaciers we are continuing to monitor, seven of which have a 32 year long record. The initial exploration done in the pre-internet days required visiting libraries to look at topographic maps and buying a guide book to trails for the area. This was followed by actual letters, not much email then, to climbers who had explored the glacier in the past, for old photographs. Armed with photographs and maps we then determined where to locate base camp and how to access the glacier. The first year is always a test to make sure logistically you can reach enough of the glacier to actually complete the mass balance work with a sufficiently representative network of measurement sites. The second test is if you can stand the access hike, campsite, and glacier navigation, to do this every year for decades; if the answer is no, move on. That was the case on Boulder Glacier, also on Mount Baker: poor trail conditions and savage bugs, were the primary issue. Next we return to the glacier at the same time each year, completing the same measurements each year averaging 210 measurements of snow depth or snow melt annually. This occurs whether it is gorgeous and sunny, hot, cold, snowy, rainy, or recently on this glacier dealing with thunderstorms. You wake up, have your oatmeal and coffee/cider/tea, and get to work. Lunch on the snow features bagels, dried fruit, and trail mix. Happy hour features tang or hot chocolate depending on the weather. It is then couscous, rice, pasta or quinoa for dinner, with some added dried vegetable or avocado. The sun goes behind a mountain ridge and temperatures fall, and the tent is the haven until the sun returns. Repeat this 130 times on this glacier and you have a 25 year record. During this period the glacier has lost 16.1 m of water equivalent thickness, almost 18 m of thickness. For a glacier that averaged 70 m in thickness this is nearly 25% of the volume of the glacier gone. The glacier has not maintained sufficient snow cover at the end of the summer to have a positive balance, this is the accumulation area ratio, note below. The glacier has retreated 315 m from 1990-2015. This data is reported annually to the World Glacier Monitoring Service. The glacier has also slowed its movement as it has thinned, evidenced by a reduction in number of crevasses. During this time we have collaborated with researchers examining the ice worms, soil microbes/chemistry, and weather conditions on the ice. This glacier supplies runoff to Baker Lake and its associated hydropower projects. Our annual measurements here and on Rainbow Glacier and Lower Curtis Glacier in the same watershed provide a direct assessment of the contribution of glaciers to Baker Lake. The glacier is adjacent to Deming Glacier, which supplies water to Bellingham, WA. The Deming is too difficult to access, and we use the Easton Glacier to understand timing and magnitude of glacier runoff from Deming Glacier.

The glacier terminates at an elevation of 1650 m, but thinning and marginal retreat extends much higher. A few areas of bedrock have begun to emerge from beneath the ice as high as 2200 m. The changes in ice thickness are minor above 2500 m, indicating this glacier can retreat to a new equilibrium point with current climate.

Mass balance, terminus and supra glacial stream assessment are illustrated in the video, Filmed by Mauri Pelto, Jill Pelto, Melanie Gajewski, with music from Scott Powers.

Mass balance Map in 2010 of Easton Glacier used in the field for reference in following years.