Recent Climate Change Impacts on Mountain Glaciers – Volume

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Landsat Image of glaciers examined in the Himalaya Range: Chapter 10 that straddles a portion of Sikkim, Nepal and Tibet, China. Notice the number that end in expanding proglacial lakes. 

This January a book I authored has been published by Wiley. The goal of this volume is to tell the story, glacier by glacier, of response to climate change from 1984-2015. Of the 165 glaciers examined in 10 different alpine regions, 162 have retreated significantly. It is evident that the changes are significant, not happening at a “glacial” pace, and are profoundly affecting alpine regions. There is a consistent result that reverberates from mountain range to mountain range, which emphasizes that although regional glacier and climate feedbacks differ, global changes are driving the response. This book considers ten different glaciated regions around the individual glaciers, and offers a different tune to the same chorus of glacier volume loss in the face of climate change. There are 107 side by side Landsat image comparisons illustrating glacier response.  Several examples are below: in each image red arrows indicate terminus positions from the 1985-1990 period and yellow arrows terminus positions for the 2013-2015 period, and purple arrows upglacier thinning.

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There are chapters on: Alaska, Patagonia, Svalbard, South Georgia, New Zealand, Alps, British Columbia, Washington, Himalaya, and Novaya Zemlya. If you are a frequent reader of this blog you will recognize many of the locations. This updates each glacier to the same time frame. The book features 100 side by side Landsat image pairs illustrated using the same methods to illustrate change of each glacier. The combined efforts of the USGS and NASA in obtaining and making available these images is critical to examining glacier response to climate change. The World Glacier Monitoring Service inventory of field observations of terminus and mass balance on alpine glaciers is the another vital resource.  The key indicators that glaciers have been and are being significantly impacted by climate change are the global mass balance losses for 35 consecutive years documented by the WGMS.  The unprecendented global retreat that is increasing even after significant retreat has occurred in the last few decades (Zemp et al, 2015).  Last, the decline in area covered by glaciers in every alpine region of the world that is documented by mapping inventories such as the Randolph Glacier inventory and GLIMS ( Kargel et al 2014)

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Landsat Image of glaciers examined in the Svalbard: Hornsund Fjord Region: Chapter 6.

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Landsat Image of glaciers examined in the South Georgia Island: Chapter 5.

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Landsat Image of Mount Baker glaciers examined in the North Cascades, Washington:  Chapter 8.

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Landsat Image of glaciers examined in the Southern Alps of New Zealand S: Chapter 11.

 

 

Gangotri Glacier Expanded Melt Season & Melt Area in 2016

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Purple dots indicate the transient snowline on Gangotri Glacier in the fall and early winter of 2016. Red arrow indicates the terminus of the glacier.

The Gangotri Glacier is the largest glacier in the Bhagirathi River watershed, situated in the Uttarkashi District, India. It is one of the larger glaciers in the Himalaya, and like all of the nearby Himalayan glaciers is retreating significantly. Gangotri Glacier provides hydropower as its meltwater  passes through three hydropower plants generating 1430 MW, including the 1000 MW Tehri Dam and reservoir and Maneri Bhali I and II, see map below.  From 1968-2006 the glacier retreated 800 meters, close to 20 meters per year (Bhambri et al, 2012). The glacier continues to thin and tributary inflow decline, while terminus retreat is slowe due to the thick debris cover that heavily insulates the ice. Bhambri et al (2011) inventoried glaciers in the upper Bhagirathi basin  and found they lost 9 square kilometers in area, 3.3% to the total, from 1968 to 2006. They further noted that recession rates have increased since 1990 and that the number of glaciers increased from 82 in 1968 to 88 in 2006 due to fragmentation of glaciers. From 1968 to 2006, the debris-covered glacier area increased by ~12% in the upper Bhagirathi basin.  Bhattachaya et al (2016) expanded on this work noting that the velocity of Gangotri Glacier declined during 2006-2014  by 6.7% from 1993-2006, this suggests reduced accumulation being funneled downglacier. They also noted an increase in the rate of debris-covered area expansion on the main trunk of Gangotri Glacier from 2006-2015, which is indicative of an expanding ablation zone. Bhattachaya et al (2016)  report a retreat rate of 9 m/year 2006-2015, which is less than before, but the down-wasting in the same period 2006-2015 was higher than during 1968-2006. The study reinforced that glacier retreat is a delayed response to climate change, whereas glacier mass balance is a more direct and immediate response. This underlines the importance of mass balance studies for assessing climate change impact on glaciers,that the World Glacier Monitoring Service has emphasized. Gangotri Glacier is a summer accumulation glacier with the peak ablation period low on the glacier coinciding with peak snowfall high on the glacier during the summer monsoon.  In the post monsoon period of October and November precipitation is low and melt rates decline, Haritashya et al (2006) note a sharp decline in discharge and suspended sediment load beginning in October. . Kundu et al (2015) from Sept. 2012 to January 2013 noted that the snowline elevation varied little, with the highest elevation being 5174 m and the lowest 5080 m.

The increase in temperature has led to a tendency for snowlines to rise in the post monsoon period and remain high into the winter season on many Himalayan glaciers. In 2016 this has been the case. On October 9, 2016  a Sentinel image indicates the snowline is at 4850 m on the main trunk and on the tributary Ghanohim Glacier the snowline, while it is 4750 m on the tributaryKirti Glacier.  A Landsat image from October 13th indicates the snowline on Kirti has risen to 4800 m, and remains at 4850 on the main trunk and Ghanohim Glacier.  By November 30th a Landsat image indicates the snowline has risen to 5400 m on the main trunk and Ghanohim, the snowline is at 5800-5900 m on the glaciers in the Swachhand tributary valley, at 5600 m on Maiandi Glacier and 5700 m on the last tributary entering from the north. Note the impact of radiational shading is apparent on the main trunk with the snowline descending down the middle of the main trunk from 5400 m to 5100 m and on Kirti Glacier which is too dark to confidently discern the snowline.  Temperatures are typically cool in December, but sunshine is common. A Sentinel image from December 8th and Landsat from Dec. 9th indicate that the snowline remains approximately the same as on Nov. 30th.  The accumulation area ratio is the percentage of a glacier in the accumulation zone and is typically above 50%.  On Gangotri Glacier in December 2016 the accumulation area ratio is only 20%, indicating a large mass balance deficit.  High winter snowlines on Chutenjima Glacier, Tibet, from October, 2015 to February 2016. This tendency is also noted at Nup La-West Rongbuk Glacier, on the Nepal-China border, West Hongu Glacier, Nepal and Lhonak Glacier, Sikkim.

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Gangotri Glacier and its key tributaries, with the red line being the outline of the glacier from GLIMS.

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Hydropower in the Bhagirathi River watershed

Norrearm Fjord Glacier Retreat, Greenland

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Apostelens Glacier in Norrearm Fjord Landsat comparison from 1999 to 2016. Red arrows are the 1999 terminus location, yellow arrows the 2016 terminus location and purple arrows indicate an expanding bedrock ridge.

“Apostelens” Glacier drains east from a peak of the same name into an arm of Norrearm Fjord, which in turn is part of Lindenow Fjord in southern Greenland. The glacier is a short distance north of Kangersuneq Qingordleq, where recent retreat has led to glacier separation. The glacier is soon to lose its tidewater connection as has occurred at Tasermiut Fjord to the west.  This will result in a decline in iceberg production as well.

Here we examine Landsat imagery from 1999-2016 to identify glacier change.  In 1999 the Apostelens arm of Norrearm Fjord is largely filled by the glacier which extends to within 2.5 km of Norrearm Fjord, red arrow.  The tongue contains numerous ogives formed each year due to seasonal velocity changes through an icefall.  This is evident in the Google Earth image from 2004, where 24 ogives are evident on the low slope glacier tongue, in 1999 the number is over 30. By 2013 the glacier has retreated nearly 2 km from the 1999 terminus position, red arrow. In 2012 Google Earth imagery indicates increased crevassing near the front and the loss of most ogives.  New ogive formation is also hard to distinguish.  By 2016 the glacier has retreated 2.6 km and is nearing the headward limit of the fjord arm.  The collapse of the fjord tongue and its associated ogives indicates the loss of 30 years worth of volume flux that emerged from the icefall that generated the ogives.

Greenland tidewater outlet glaciers in this region have experienced substantial retreat since 1990, Weidick et al (2012) and Howat and Eddy (2011).  Murray et al (2015) examined 199 tidewater glaciers in Greenland and noted significant retreat of 188 of them.  Apostelens Glacier was not one of these, and soon will not be a tidewater glacier to be included in the list.

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Apostelens Glacier in Norrearm Fjord Google Earth comparison from 2004 and 2012. Red arrows are the 2004 terminus location, and yellow arrows the 2012 terminus location.  Note ogives in 2004 and loss of them in 2012. 

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Map of the Norrearm Fjord region and Apostelens Glacier, with blue arrows indicating flow. 

Hagafellsjokull, Iceland Reflects Langjokull Thinning & Retreat

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Landsat comparison of the terminus of Hagafellsjökull from 2000 and 2016.  The red arrows are the 2000 terminus, the yellow arrows the 2016 terminus.  Purple arrows indicate upglacier thinning. 

Langjökull is the second largest iceap in Icalnd with an area of over 900 square kilometers. The mass balance of the icecap has been reported since 1997 and his lost over 1 m per year during this period (WGMS, 2016).  Pope et al (2010) noted that the icecap has lost an area of 3.4 ± 2.5 km2 yr-1 over the decade from 1997-2007.  Pope et al (2010) noted that the loss of ice volume confirms previously published predictions that Langjökull will likely disappear within the next 200 years if current trends continue. A key outlet of  Langjökull is  Hagafellsjökull which terminates in Hagvatn. Hagafellsjökull ended a sustained post Little Ice Age retreat in 1970.  The ensuing advance of approximately 1 km ended by 2000.  Here we examine Landsat imagery from 2000-2016 to identify recent changes in this outlet glacier.

In 2000 the glacier terminated on an island in Hagavatn, red arrow.  The east margin of the glacier featured several locations where secondary termini overflowed a low ridge on the east side of the glacier.  By 2006 the glacier had retreated 500-600 m from the island.  By 2016 the terminus had retreated across its entire width by 800-850 m, 50 m/year, yellow arrows.  A closeup view from the Iceland online map application illustrates the 2014 terminus red dots. The end of the glacier has a low slope, low velocity and is debris covered.  The western side has terminated on land during this entire period and has approximately the same retreat rate as the eastern half that still ends in the expanding lake. There is little evidence of iceberg release into the lake, which helps explain the similar retreat rate. The low slope and upglacier thinning noted at the purple arrows indicate the retreat will continue.  In 2014 the transient snowline reached near the head of the glacier at over 1100 m.  In 2000, 2006 and 2016 the snowline with several weeks left in melt season ranged from 859-950 m. The retreat is similar to that of Norðurjökull another outlet of the Langjökull and Porisjokull.

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Google Earth view of the terminus of Hagafellsjökull in 2014. Red arrow is the 2000 terminus position and yellow arrow the 2014 position.

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Online Iceland Map Viewer indicating the terminus of Hagafellsjökull in 2014, red dots.

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2006 and 2014 Landsat images of Hagafellsjökull indicating the transient snowline off the image in 2014 and at 850 m in 2006.

Desolation Valley, Alaska, Conversion from Glacier to Lake

 

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Retreat of Desolation-Fairweather Glacier from 2010-2016 in Landsat images.  The red arrow indicates 2010 terminus positions, yellow arrow the 2016 terminus. Pink arrow a delta exposed by lake level lowering. D=Desolation Glacier.

Desolation Glacier flows west from the Fairweather Range into Desolation Valley where in 1986 it joined with the Fairweather Glacier flowing from the north and the Lituya Glacier flowing from the south to fill the valley with glacier ice.  This is no longer the case, the valley once known for its long relatively flat area of largely debris covered ice, is mostly a lake now.  The valley has developed along the Fairweather Fault. Molnia (2007) noted that the tidewater termini of Lituya Glacier advanced ∼ 1 km since 1920 and continued to advance up to 2000 as it built an outwash plain reducing calving. Larsen et al (2015) noted thinning rates of 3 m per year for the Desolation Valley from Desolation Glacier north to Fairweather Glacier in the last decade (1994-2013).  Alifu et al (2016) identified that Desolation Glacier and Fairweather Glacier have lost 2.6% and 2.2% of their glacier area, respectively from 2000-2012. Only minor surface area changes were seen in Lituya Glacier during this period. They also noted that the mean snow line altitude of Fairweather, Lituya and Desolation increased by 120–290 m. Since 2012 extensive ice loss of the Desolation-Fairweather complex has occurred.  This is similar to the large rise in the transient snowline/equilibrium line noted by Pelto et al (2013) on nearby Brady Glacier.

In 1986 The Desolation Valley was filled with glacier ice from Fairweather Glacier to Liutya Bay.  By 2010 the southern half of the valley from Lituya Glacier to the outlet of Desolation Glacier into the valley had opened up and the terminus of Desolation Glacier and Lituya Glacier were at the red arrows, this represented a 5.3 km section of glacier lost. In 2013 the northern half of the valley filled by the Desloation-Fairweather Glacier was breaking up but still ice filled.  The Google Earth image from 2014 illustrates how broken up.  By 2016 the collapse was total and the new terminus is at the yellow arrow a 5.5 km retreat since 2010, this is a loss of 6.5 square kilometers of ice. The lake level also dropped which led to exposure of a lacustrine delta that had been submerged in 2013 and 2014, pink arrow. The lake has expanded in area, but lost in mean depth.  Will this continue to be a lake with continued retreat or become a braided river valley as the Fairweather Glacier continues to thin and retreat?  Desolation Glacier is no longer calving and its retreat rate should slow.  The terminus of the Fairweather Glacier should continue to retreat via calving in a fashion similar to glaciers around the world terminating in extensive lakes. Just to the north the North Fork Grand Plateau Glacier also experienced a large recent retreat with Landsat imagery in 2013 and 2014 indicating extensive calving from 2013 to 2015 and a retreat of 3.0 km, 1.5 km/year.  Fingers Glacier  is another nearby glacier that also is experiencing widespread retreat.  More images of the region are in a field blog on the region.

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Retreat of Desolation-Fairweather Glacier from 1986 and 2013 in Landsat images.  The red arrow indicates 2010 terminus positions, yellow arrow the 2016 terminus. Pink arrow a delta exposed by lake level lowering. D=Desolation Glacier.

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Google Earth image from 2014 of the disintegrating debris covered glacier.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ross Ice Shelf Shear Zone-Research Focus of Gordon Hamilton

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Satellite Image of the Shear Zone:  The crevasses do have a surface representation, but are not generally open. 

Gordon Hamilton lost his life on Saturday Oct. 22, 2016 conducting research in the shear zone between the Ross Ice Shelf and McMurdo Ice Shelf.  I had the pleasure of working with and reviewing Gordon’s work; hence, it seems important to elaborate on the research that had brought researchers to this cold and hazardous corner of our planet.

Peter Rejcek of the  Antarctic Sun provided an excellent context for this work two years ago.  The Ross Ice Shelf is the world’s largest ice shelf at ~470,000 square kilometers. This floating ice shelf buttresses many faster flowing outlet glaciers that feed into it. Removal of the ice shelf would allow these glaciers to accelerate as has been seen after other ice shelves are lost, which could lead to enough drainage of the ice sheet to raise sea level 4 or 5 meters. The Ross Ice Shelf is in turn stabilized by pinning points.  Such pinning points include Roosevelt Island and the shear zone. This shear zone represents a region of high shear and velocity change between the two ice shelves. Shear represents friction which helps pin the ice shelf. Gordon Hamilton was the principal investigator on a three-year project to map this shear zone and determine the mechanics. His hypothesis was without the shear zone the Ross Ice Shelf further south would slowly disintegrate.  Without the ice shelf a glacier like Byrd Glacier which drains an immense area, 1,070,000 square kilometers, of East Antarctica could double its speed. Gordon was quoted by Peter Rejcek “The places that really control the future of the ice sheet are hard-to-access places, like shear margins or the underside of the ice shelf or the middle of crevassed outlet glaciers,” he added. “It’s hard to get good data sets there”.  But that is exactly what he was continuing to do, getting the data that would us be able to model and forecast future behavior of the this region, which in turn is crucial to both the East and West Antarctic Ice Sheets.

 

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Left: Landsat image of field area from Feb. 2016. Red arrows indicate shear zone. 

Right: MODIS image from Oct. 23, 2016 illustrating the shear zone, red arrows.

To understand what was happening required detailed mapping of the crevasses within the shear zone.  Gordon had noted that the sub-surface crevasses and the visible surface crevasses did not seem to match up well in 2014.  This suggested an unusual flow pattern that could indicate instability within the shear zone. To examine and map the crevasses required detailed GPS and ground penetrating radar observations (GPR).  Because of the danger a pair of Robot rovers were utilized that could do the bulk of the mapping. The robot rovers were developed by Jim Lever, a mechanical engineer with the U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory (CRREL), in conjunction with the Thayer School of Engineering at Dartmouth College. The robots were used to prepare a safe route through the shear zone for the South Pole Traverse route and research in the area.  In fact the two teams last week were camped close by and working together to identify and re-mediate crevasses on the route. Arcone et al (2016) noted that the lightweight robotic vehicles had towed the GPR equipment on 100 parallel transects over a 28km2 grid spanning the shear zone.

Some of their initial findings were presented at the AGU last fall (Kaluzienski et al, AGU, 2015).  The GPR surveys had allowed detailed mapping of the internal structures of the  Shear Zone.  This identified crevasses both in the upper firn and in accreted marine ice at a depth of approximately 170 meters. They also found a  spatial correspondence between near-surface and basal crevasses indicating that local lateral shear generated both. The distribution and orientation of the crevasses was consistent with predictions from a model.  This suggests that the mismatch in crevasses that would suggest instability is not present. This work also indicates that high-resolution modeling can be used to predict the locations of basal crevassing which will lead to an improved understanding of ice-shelf mass balance processes.  More images for the field area are in the field reports from Polartrec.

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Deploying the robot on the ice shelf Photo Credit: Jim Lever

Insights on crevasses and what they could tell us about ice sheet behavior was a passion for Gordon. In Greenland he had been examining ways to use crevasse development to understand changing dynamics of tidewater outlet glaciers.  The work conducted near Raven Camp after crevasses appeared in the skiway in 2012 was quite similar to the shear zone work in Antarctica. They installed stakes located with GPS including several continuously recording stations. This would allow determination of flow speed changes through the summer and if extensional flow had caused the formation of crevasse further inland. Understanding crevasses both for transportation needs and ice sheet behavior.

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Crevasse Mapping in Greenland from a preliminary study with Gordon Hamilton- from Jill Pelto

 

Tasermiut Fjord, Greenland loses its Glacier Connection

 

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Landsat image sequence from 1999-2016.  Red arrows mark the 1999 terminus, yellow arrows the 2016 terminus and the purple arrow a tributary that detaches from Semitsiaq (S). Tasermiut Sermeq (T) retreats from the fjord. 

Tasermuit Fjord in southern Greenland is noted for its beauty, and until recently the fjord terminated at a glacier front. Currently no glacier reaches to the fjord. The retreat over the last two decades is similar to neighboring glaciers Kangersuneq Qingordleq and Qaleriq.  The loss of direct glacier connection is also occurring at Alangordlia. Here we examine Landsat images from 1999-2016 to observe glacier change. At the head of the fjord is Sermeq Tasermiut and on the east side is Sermitsiaq.

In 1999 the Sermitsiaq Glacier terminated at the eastern end of a small lake, red arrow.  Tasermiut Sermeq terminated in the fjord, red arrow.  By 2002 Sermitsiaq had retreated from the lake, while Tasermiut Sermeq still reached the fjord.  In 2013 Tasermiut Sermeq had retreated from the fjord and Sermitsiaq had retreated substantially from the lake and also had a significant tributary from the north detach, purple arrow. In 2016 Sermitsiaq has retreated 700 m since 1999, yellow arrow.  Biggs (2011) had noted a 610 m retreat of the glacier from 1987-2009, a slower rate than since 1999. Tasermiut Sermeq has retreated 300 m since 1999,and has a narrow steep tongue that will melt back quickly in the near future.

Murray et al (2015) examined 199 tidewater glaciers in Greenland and noted significant retreat of 188 of them. This is changing fjord dynamics, which will in the case of Tasermiut affect the marine biology, which has not been studied in any detail yet. Students on Ice 2014 Arctic Expedition provides exceptional imagery of this fjord and the Nanotarlik region.

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Google Earth imagery of the region. illustrating the loss of fjord connection after 2009.

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Map of the region 

2016 Field Season Results-North Cascade Glacier Climate Project

For Mount Baker, Washington the freezing level from January-April 20 was not as high as the record from 2015, but still was 400 m above the long term mean. April 1 snowpack at the key long term sites in the North Cascades was 8% above average. A warm spring altered this, with April being the warmest on record. The three-four weeks ahead of normal on June 10th, but three weeks behind 2015 record melt.  The year was poised to be better than last year, but still bad for the glaciers.  Fortunately summer turned out to be cooler, and ablation lagged.  Average June-August temperatures were 0.5 F above the 1984-2016 mean and 3 F below the 2015 mean. The end result of our 33rd annual field season assessing glacier mass balance in the North Cascades quantifies this. Our Nooksack Indian Tribe partners again installed a weather and stream discharge station below Sholes Glacier.

The primary field team consisted of myself, 33rd year, Jill Pelto, grad student UMaine for the 8th year, Megan Pelto, Chicago based illustrator 2nd year, and Andrew Hollyday, Middlebury College.  We were joined by Tom Hammond, NCCC President 13th year, Pete Durr, Mount Baker Ski Patrol, Taryn Black, UW grad student and Oliver Grah Nooksack Indian Tribe.  The weather during the field season Aug. 1-17th was comparatively cool.

Mass Balance: Easton Glacier provides the greatest elevation range of observations.  On Aug 2, 2016 the mean snow depth ranged from 0.75 m w.e. at 1800 m to 1.5 m w.e. at 2200 m and 3.0 m w.e. at 2500 m. Typically the gradient of snowpack increase is less than this.  There was a sharp rise in accumulation above 2300 m.  This is the result of the high freezing levels.  The mass balances observed fit the pattern of a warm but wet winter.  The high freezing levels left the lowest elevation glaciers Lower Curtis and Columbia Glacier with the most negative mass balance of approximately 1.5 m. The other six glaciers had negative balances of -0.6 to -1.2 m. This following on the losses of the last three years has left the glaciers with a net thinning of 6 m, which on glaciers averaging close to 50 m is a 12% volume loss in four years.  We anticipate with that this winter will be cooler and next summer the glaciers happier.  We will back to determine this.

Snowpack loss from Aug. 5-Sept. 22 is evident in the pictures below on Sholes Glacier.  Detailed snow depth probing, 112 measurements, of the glacier on August 5th allows determination of ablation as the transient snow line traverses probing locations from Aug. 5. GPS locations were recorded along the edge of blue ice on each of the dates. Ablation during this period was 2.15 m.

 

Terminus Change: We measured terminus change at several glaciers and found that a combination of the 2015 record mass balance loss and early loss of snowcover from glacier snouts in 2016 led to considerable retreat since August 2015.  The retreat was 25 m on Easton Glacier, 20 m on Columbia Glacier, 20 m on Daniels Glacier, Sholes Glacier 28 m, Rainbow Glacier 15 m, Lower Curtis Glacier 15 m.  The main change at Lower Curtis Glacier was the vertical thinning, in 2014 the terminus was 41 m high, in 2016 the terminus seracs were 27 m high.  The area loss of the glaciers will continue to lead to reduced glacier runoff. We continued to monitor daily flow below Sholes Glacier which allowed us to determine that in August 2016 45% of the flow of North Fork Nooksack River came from glacier runoff.  This is turns has impacts for the late summer and fall salmon runs.

 

Shatter & Shudder Glacier Retreat, British Columbia Lakes Form

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Red arrow is the 1985 terminus location and yellow arrow the 2016 terminus location.  Note the formatiion of new lakes at end of both glaciers. Purple dots is the transient snowline in August of each year.

Shatter and Shudder Glacier are at the eastern end of the Spearhead Range in Garibaldi Provincial Park, British Columbia. Osborn et al (2007) mapped the Little Ice Age extent of the glaciers compared to the 1990’s margins indicating a retreat of 300 m for Shatter Glacier and 700 m for Shudder Glacier (see below).  Koch et al (2009) identified the recession in area from 1928 to 1987 noting a 6% loss in Shatter Glacier and 22% loss for Shudder Glacier.  Koch et al (2009) identify an 18% loss in area from 1987-2005, indicating considerable recent change in the Park. Here we use Landsat imagery from 1985-2016 to update glacier change.

In 1985 there are no lake at the terminus of either Shatter or Shudder Glacier.  In 2002 a lake has formed at the terminus of Shudder Glacier, but not Shatter Glacier.  In 2016 both glaciers have proglacial lakes that have formed, and the terminus of both glaciers have retreated from the lakes.  This marks a retreat of 325 m on Shudder Glacier and 275 m on Shatter Glacier since 1985. Shudder Glacier retreated more rapidly in the first half of this period, while Shatter Glacier has experienced most of the retreat since 2005.

On Shatter and Shudder Glacier In 1987 the late August image indicates the snowline is at 2040 m, in mid-August 2015 the snowline is at 2250 m. In late August of 2014 the snowline was at 2120 m. In mid-August 2016 the snowline is at 2080 m. The higher snowlines are an indicator of mass loss for these glaciers that in turn drives retreat.  The region continues to experience significant loss in glacier area and development of many new alpine lakes with glacier retreat, five new lakes since 1987 just in this range with seven glaciers.  Spearhead and Decker Glacier are two other glaciers in the range that have developed new lakes since 1987. Nearby Helm Glacier is faring even worse.

 

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Landsat images from 1987, 2014 and 2015 indicating the transient snowline position at the purple dots on Shatter and Shudder Glacier.

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Pink Arrows indicate five new alpine lakes that have developed since 1987 as Spearhead Range glaciers have retreated

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Map of Spearhead Range glacier extent for LIA-Bold lines and 1987, light lines from Osborn et al (2007)

Storglombreen Glacier Loss, Norway

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Landsat images from 199, 2002 and 2016 comparing glaciers draining into Storglomvatnet.  Red arrows indicate 1999 terminus locations, purple dots the snowline. 

Storglomvatnet has several glacier that terminated in the lake in 1999, Storglombreen Nord, Sorglombreen Sud and Tretten. This lake is the main reservoir, 3.5 billion cubic meters that feeds the 350 MW Svartisen Hydropower plant. The lake has an elevation of 585 m, while the power plant is at sea level. Paul and Andreassen,(2009)  examined glacier area and found overall almost no areal extent change from 1968-1999 of Svartisen region glaciers, including the three examined here.  Engelhardt et al (2013), note this was due to positive trends of winter balance between 1961 and 2000, which have been followed by a remarkable decrease in both summer and winter balances leading to an average annual balance of –0.86±0.15 m w.e.a–1 between 2000 and 2010 .Since 1999 there have been changes. The Norwegian Glacier Inventory  and the online digital atlas use this 1999 imagery and indicate glacier area  for Storglombreen Sud at 15.9 km2, for Storglombreen Nord  at 41.2 km2 and Tretten-nulltobreen at 5.9 km2.

In 1999 each of the glaciers reaches the lake shore at 585 m in four separate terminus fronts. The snowline in 1999 is at 1150 m. In early August 2002 the termini still reach the lake shore and the snowline is higher at 1250 m.  In 2001, 2002 and 2003 mass balance measurements by the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, indicate the snowline reached the top of the glacier at 1580 m. In 2016 the glacier termini no longer reach the lake shore and the snowline is again at 1150 m. It is evident in the Landsat image above that Storglombreen Sud and Tretten-nulltobreen no longer reach the lake shore, the southern most and northern most termini and arrows.  The two termini of Storglombreen Nord no longer reach the lake, though this requires higher resolution Sentinel 2 images to illustrate. Retreat of Tretten-nulltobreen from 1999-2016 has been 200 m, of Storglombreen Sud 250 m and of Storglmbreen Nord 100-200 m. There was limited calving into the lake and the retreat from the lake will not significantly alter the retreat rate of the glacier.  The high snowlines of recent years will lead to continued retreat. The retreat here is much less than on Engabreen which shares a divide with Storglombreen Nord, Flatisen  or Blåmannsisen.

svartisen west

Map of the glaciers in the region from the Norwegian Glacier Inventory online map application, based on 1999 images.

storg 2016 sentinel

Sentinel 2 image of the glaciers of Storglomvatnet from August 2016.  Notice that none of the termini reach the lake shore. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Winsvold, Andreassen and Kienholz (2014)

South Sawyer Glacier Retreat and Separation, Alaska

south sawyer terminus compare

Comparison of South Sawyer Terminus position and unnamed glacier just to the south.  Red arrows are the 1985 terminus and yellow arrows the 2016 position of each terminus. 

South Sawyer Glacier is a 50 km long tidewater glacier terminating at the head of Tracy Arm fjord in Southeast Alaska.  The winding fjord surrounded by steep mountains is fed by Sawyer and South Sawyer Glacier is home to stellar sea lions, humpback whales and harbor seals.  This combination makes it attractive for cruise ships.  Mike Greenfelder a Naturalist/Photography Instructor with Lindblad Expeditions suggested I examine this glacier, and he provided several images. I had a chance to observe the glacier in 1982 and 1984 and noted that the snowline of the glacier at 1125 meters by Pelto (1987), using Landsat images.  We also identified the water depth at the glacier front was 180-200 m and the velocity of the calving front in the 1980’s was 1800 m/year (Pelto and Warren, 1990).  Today the velocity had declined  to less than half of this, which is expected given that water depth at the front in the most recent charts from 1999 indicate 1985 terminus position water depth is 110 m (Elliot et al, 2012). This is deep but not as deep as in the 1980’s, the greater the water depth, the greater the degree of buoyancy at the front and the higher the calving rate. The glacier retreated 3.5 km from 1899-1967 and then experienced little retreat from 1967 to 1985 (Molnia et al, 2008). Larsen et al (2007) observed a rapid thinning of the Stikine Icefield during the 1948-2000 period.The retreat has been driven by rising snowlines in the region that has driven the retreat of North Dawes, Baird, Dawes and Sawyer Glacier. Here we use Landsat images to indicate from 1985-2016 to identify terminus change and recent snowline elevation.

The terminus has retreated 2300 m from 1985 to 2016, with little retreat from 1985 to 1996.  Of equal importance is the glacier now appears to be near the tidewater limit of Tracy Arm.  In the gallery of terminus images below from Mike Greenfelder, the 2005 and 2012 images illustrate a sharp increase in slope at Point B and red arrows in 2015 just the red arrows, 300 m from the ice front.  In 2016 the ice front is nearly to the base of this icefall. This represents a sharp rise in the bed of glacier causing an icefall.  Whether the bed is entirely above sea level is not clear. Just south of the main terminus is a separate glacier that in 1985 was the combination of two tributaries.  By 2016 the two glaciers have separated with a retreat of  4.5 km for the western arm and 3.8 km for the eastern arm.

In the gallery of snowline images it is evident that upglacier there are two tributaries that joined the main glacier in 1985, that no longer reach the glacier in 2016.  This is indicative of the higher snowlines and thinning glacier. The gallery of snowlines  indicate the last date during the melt season with clear imagery of the snowline.  In 1985 the snowline was at 1250 m, in 1996 the snowline was at 1400 m, in 2013 1400 m, in 2014 1600 m, in 2015 at 1400 m and in 2016 at 1650 m.  The images are close to the end of the melt season, but are a minimum elevation for the equilibrium line.  The snowline is averaging 300 m higher than it did in the 1980’s. The retreat of South Sawyer Glacier and its iceberg production will slow as the water depth at the front declines in the near future.  The retreat will continue due to the sharp rise in snowlines that has occurred which has led to significant thinning up to 1500 m noted by Larsen et al (2007). The retreat of neighboring non-calving glaciers emphasizes this point.

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World Glacier Monitoring Service 30th Anniversary

Zemp_20160831-25

The numbers on the left y-axis depict quantities of glacial mass loss from the WGMS and sea level rise, and the suns across the horizon contain numbers that represent the global increase in temperature, coinciding with the timeline on the lower x-axis From Jill Pelto

The World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) celebrated 30 years of achievement last week. I have had the privilege of being the United States representative to the WGMS and was an invited speaker for the Jubilee held in Zurich, Switzerland along with Matthias Huss, Wilfried Haeberli, Liss Marie Andreassen and Irene Kopelman. This post examines the important role that WGMS has and continues to serve under the leadership of Michael Zemp. The organization has been compiling, homogenizing and publishing data on glacier fluctuations and mass balance primarily from 1986-2013. WGMS remains the leading organization for the collection, storage and dissemination of information on the fluctuations of alpine glaciers. The resulting standardized collection of alpine glacier data that is archived by WGMS, is also leading to analysis efforts that otherwise would be hampered by limited data and lack of homogeneity to the data. Glaciers are recognized as one of the best climate indicators.  Mass balance data is the best parameter to measure on glaciers for identifying climate change, because of its annual resolution. The core of the WGMS data set has been frontal variations, which indicate longer response to climate as well as dynamic changes.  The key data set today provided by WGMS are the reference glaciers.

This set of glaciers has a 30-year continuous record of annual mass balance measured in the field, and each glacier also has geodetic verification.  This mass balance data set is featured on the Global Climate Dashboard at NOAA. I report the mass balance of two reference glaciers Lemon Creek Glacier in Alaska and Columbia Glacier in Washington.  Today the field based work is being increasingly supplemented and supplanted by remote sensing methods.  This data sets indicates a period of sustained mass balance loss, and glacier retreat that Zemp et al (2015) using WGMS data noted as historically unprecedented.  The most recent compilation publication is the Global Glacier Change Bulletin.

This data set is of particular value during this period of climate change and is already chronicling the disapperance of a number of glaciers in the data set. Glacier loss is not a process that has been well documented. The WGMS data set can be enriched by more data from expanding monitoring, reporting data from archives and simply adding the submission of data as a step in the research process for those monitoring alpine glaciers. The video of my presentation looking at 33 consecutive years of field work and sharing this data after compilation with the WGMS is below. The slides below are from the Jubilee presentations.

 

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