Tag: glacier mass balance

Global Alpine Glacier 2025 State of Climate Report

On By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier ObservationsLeave a comment
Figure 1. Global mean annual balance (bars) and cumulative balance (line) from the WGMS data set.

Each year since 2008 I have been responsible for summarizing the global alpine glacier status for each specific year in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society State of the Climate report. The 2025 report came out in early August. Below is the report with several added figures.

The 2025 World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) dataset of annual glaciological mass balance observations includes 162 glaciers from six continents and 26 nations, 158 with a negative balance and four with a positive balance. In 2025, the mean annual mass balance of the 59 reporting global reference glaciers was –1.34 m w.e., and -1.34 m w.e. for all 162 reporting glaciers. The 2025 regionalized global average annual balance of –1.09 m w.e., is the fourth consecutive year with mass balance loss exceeding 1.0 m w.e., 2023 had the most negative -1.23 m w.e and 2024 was at 1.04 m w.e. Since 1976, mountain glaciers and ice caps have lost 9179+621 Gt of water, contributing 25.3+1.7 mm to the global mean sea level rise, with 41% of this loss occurring in the last decade (Dussaillant et al. 2025).

The mean annual balance of global reference glaciers was -1.34 m w.e., a similar result to 2023 and 2024 with a mean annual balance for global reference glaciers of -1.60 m w.e. and -1.37 m w.e., respectively.  This makes 2025 the 38th consecutive year with a global alpine mass balance loss, the 16th consecutive year with a regionalized global mass balance below –0.5 m w.e. The significant acceleration of mass balance loss is evident in glaciological observations, geodetic observations, altimetry observations and gravimetric observations (The GlaMBIE Team, 2025). The acceleration of mass balance loss indicates glaciers are not approaching equilibrium and increasingly are disappearing. The Global Land Ice Measurement from Space inventory of global glaciers has now added an extinct glacier layer to record glaciers that have disappeared, that is populated by 181 glaciers that had existed in a previous inventory (Raup et al. 2025). In conjunction with 2025 being the UN International Year for Glaciers’ Preservation the Global Glacier Casualty List has been created to chronicle the story of specific glaciers being lost from each glaciated region (Boyer and Howe, 2025).

Hofsjokull eystri, Iceland was snow free by mid-August, leading to extensive ice cap thinning.

In the European Alps all 54 glaciers observed had negative balances, with 45 of the glaciers losing over 1 .0 m w.e. In Iceland (6) and Svalbard (9) all 15 glaciers observed lost over 1.0 m w.e. In Norway 8 of 10 glaciers had a negative balance, with two glaciers having a positive balance. In Sweden 3 of 4 glaciers had a negative balance.

High snow line on Durung Drung Glacier, India near end of summer monsoon season.

In Asia all 23 glaciers across 7 nations had negative balances averaging 0.97 m w.e. In New Zealand the glaciers observed had a negative mass balance.

Agua Negra Glacier, Argentina with minimal snow cover at end of summer melt season.

In the Andes Mountains of South America nine of ten, reporting from four nations, had negative balances, with an average balance of -0.92 m w.e.

All 14 glaciers in Western North America, outside of Alaska, had mass balance below -1.0 m w.e. with an average of -2.24 m w.e. Peyto Glacier, Canada exemplifies the limited retained snow cover on alpine glaciers in Western North America in 2025, a glacier should be 50-60% snow covered at the end of summer to be in equilibrium (Fig X2). It is evident Peyto Glacier is representative of adjacent glaciers that also have limited retained snow cover.  In Alaska 3 of 4 glaciers had negative balances. The five glaciers in Arctic Canada all had small negative balances averaging -0.16 m w.e.

Snow cover was minimal in the Yoho-Peyto Glacier regions, Canada at the end of the melt season.

Alpine annual mass balance glaciological observations are reported to the WGMS by National representatives with a December 1 annual submission deadline. WGMS reference glaciers (60) have at least thirty continuous years of mass balance observation. Benchmark glaciers (23) have at least a ten-year mass balance record and are in regions that lack sufficient reference glaciers. The combination of benchmark and reference glaciers are used to generate regional averages (WGMS, 2023). Global values are calculated using a single averaged value for each of 19 mountain regions, limiting bias from observed regions (WGMS, 2023). Expansion of this data set leads to reanalysis and updated values.

References

Boyer, D. and Howe, C. 2025. Communication efforts to educate the public about vanishing glaciers, 1958–2025. Annals of Glaciology, 67: e2. doi:10.1017/aog.2025.10033

Dussaillant, I., Hugonnet, R., Huss, M., Berthier, E., Bannwart, J., Paul, F., and Zemp, M. 2025: Annual mass change of the world’s glaciers from 1976 to 2024 by temporal downscaling of satellite data with in-situ observations. Earth System Science Data 17(5): 1977-2006, https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1977/2025/.

Raup, B., Andreassen, L., Boyer, D., Howe, C., Pelto, M., and Rabatel, A. 2025: Tracking extinct glaciers in GLIMS. Annals of Glaciology, 66, e35, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2025.10027

The GlaMBIE Team, 2025: Community estimate of global glacier mass changes from 2000 to 2023. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08545-z.

WGMS 2023: Global Glacier Change Bulletin No. 5 (2020–2021). Zemp, M., Gärtner-Roer, I., Nussbaumer, S.U., Welty, E.Z., Dussaillant, I., and Bannwart, J. (eds.), ISC(WDS)/IUGG(IACS)/UNEP/UNESCO/WMO, World Glacier Monitoring Service, Zurich, Switzerland, 134 pp., publication based on database version: doi:10.5904/wgms-fog-2023-09. [NG5] [MP6] 

Datasets used and their URLs

Dussaillant, I., Hugonnet, R., Huss, M., Berthier, E., Bannwart, J., Paul, F., and Zemp, M. (2025): Annual mass-change estimates for the world’s glaciers. Individual glacier time series and gridded data products. Digital media. https://doi.org/10.5904/wgms-amce-2025-02b[NG7] [MP8] 

43rd Field Season of North Cascade Glacier Climate Project

On By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, glaciers salmon, Heat waves glacier melt, North Cascade GlaciersLeave a comment
Lower Curtis Glacier terminus in 2025 with overall results of our work 1984-2025.

2026 Field Season: For the 43rd consecutive summer we are heading into the field to measure and communicate the impact of climate change on North Cascade glaciers. This field season follows the 2021-2025 seasons that featured either historic heat waves and/or periods of extended warm weather. The heat led to a greater exposure of bare ice on glaciers with a higher albedo and greater density. The observed melt rates are 7-9 cm/day water equivalent during warm weather events vs 4-6 cm/day for snow surfaces. This led to substantial mass losses on North Cascade glacier for the five years of ~8m. This winter was poor and the summer will be hard on glaciers. This year we have provided support from Alpine Start, Marmot, Protect our Winters and Smartwool.

Science objectives: We will complete detailed measurements on 10 glaciers, three of which are part of the World Glacier Monitoring Service reference glacier network (48 glaciers globally), which have 30+ consecutive years of mass balance observations. This summer we will have an opportunity to assess the long-term ramifications of the 2021-2025 period of unprecedented mass balance losses and associated glacier changes, with detailed mass balance, crevasse depths and glacier surface elevation profiling.  We also focus on the impact of diminishing glacier size on downstream runoff.

Art Objectives: We will collaborate with several artists who will join us for a portion of the field season. They will be able to create their own work about the landscape and the science or may join us for fieldwork and make plans for future artwork. We hope to use this art to share our research with a broader audience and highlight the beauty and importance of these places. 

Communication Objectives: We will leverage the brands of our expedition sponsors and local organizations that we are building collaborations to focus on continued rapid glacier loss and the downstream effects.  We will utilize a combination of artists and scientists to tell the story.

Painting by Jill Pelto of the Nooksack watershed illustrating connections from glacier to the sea.

Bios

Jill Pelto (she/her) is an artist and scientist from New England who grew up loving winter sports and trips to the mountains. She incorporates scientific research and data into paintings and prints to communicate environmental changes. 2025 was Jill’s 17th field season. She has coordinated an art gallery exhibit “Shaped by Ice” in Seattle in 2025 and in Winthrop, WA in 2026. She is excited about continuing to document the change in North Cascade glaciers that she has witnessed each of the last ten years —through science and art.

Mauri Pelto (he/him) has directed the project since its founding in 1984, spending more than 800 nights camped out adjacent to these glaciers. He is the United States representative to the World Glacier Monitoring Service. For 16years he has been author of the blog “From a Glacier’s Perspective”, and associate editor for three science journals.  He is on the Science Advisory Board for NASA’s Earth Observatory. His primary position is Associate Provost at Nichols College, where he has been a professor since 1989. He either runs on trails or skis on alpine and cross country trails every day.

Ava Reynolds is a printmaker examining the relationship between environmental beauty and climate change in her work. Ava holds a B.A. in Global Sustainability and a B.A. in Studio Art from the University of Virginia (2020), and is in her first year at the Rhode Island School of Design, pursuing an MFA in Printmaking. She finds inspiration for her prints from organic forms, natural landscapes, and climate change data and seeks to use art as a medium to engage with a large audience about the impacts of climate change.

Shaina Dotson is a Seattle-based creative with a BFA in Metalsmithing whose hobbies include metal arts, fiber arts, and printmaking. She serves on the board of the Washington Alpine Club and instructs for their Basic Climbing Class, sharing her love of the mountains with new climbers. Shaina is an avid mountaineer who finds joy in exploring the forests, peaks, and wild places of Washington State. Her deep connection to the landscape, combined with a love of learning and giving back to her community, naturally drew her to this project. She looks forward to creating new work inspired by the glaciers of Washington and the research this project brings to light.

Rikki Held is an early-career scientist passionate about understanding Earth and climate systems and communicating science through film. Growing up on her family’s ranch in southeastern Montana and studying the adjacent river with USGS scientists sparked her interest in investigating the complex Earth systems in which we live. She earned her B.A. in Environmental Science at Colorado College and has conducted interdisciplinary research, taught high school biology and chemistry through the Peace Corps in Kenya, and communicated climate impacts through her climate advocacy work in Montana. In graduate school, Rikki aims to study glaciology and climate variability to better predict future change. She looks forward to learning from the scientists and artists involved in NCGCP and creating a short documentary on their inspiring work. 

Abby Conner (she/her) is a water resources professional with a passion for connecting people to their local watersheds. She earned her M.S. in Civil Engineering from the University of Colorado and returned to the PNW, where she serves on the board of the Carkeek Watershed Community Action Project and volunteers with the Mountaineers. She looks forward to bringing her background in water resources to the NCGP and exploring the connections between North Cascade glaciers and the communities downstream.

Nina Adjanin (she/her) is an associate professor at Northwest Missouri State University. Her work integrates technology and immersive experiences to explore the intersection of education, extreme environments, and the impact of climate change on high mountains and polar regions. Beyond her academic work, Nina is an experienced high-altitude mountain guide and adventurer, with expeditions that have taken her to extreme environments around the world and shaped her interdisciplinary approach to research. Nina is thrilled to be joining this project documenting the changes in the North Cascade glaciers, bringing her background in extreme environments and climate change research. 

Danielle Schlunegger-Warner is a multi-disciplinary artist working in sculpture, installation, and experimental digital photography, to celebrate the wonder of the natural world. After graduating from California College of Art with a BFA in Sculpture, she has fabricated and designed museum exhibits for over ten years and maintained an independent art practice including science communication projects. For NCGCP, Danielle plans to continue combining her art, science, and museum exhibit background. She will investigate how the rapidly changing glacial landscape of the Cascades can be seen through the lens of a microscope, intertwining field microscopy, image projection, and artistic observations illustrating impact of smallest forms of life the greater environment.

Team on Rainbow Glacier in 2025 from left Katie Hovind, Caitlin Quirk, Claire Sianna Seaman, Jill Pelto and Margaret Kingston.

2026 Schedule 

  • July 28:   Hike In Lower Curtis Glacier
  • July 29:   Lower Curtis Glacier survey
  • July 30:   Hike Out Lower Curtis/Hike in Ptarmigan Ridge
  • July 31:   Sholes Glacier
  • Aug. 1:    Rainbow Glacier
  • Aug. 2:    Rainbow Glacier
  • Aug. 3:    Hike out. Hike in Easton Glacier (Resupply in Bellingham WA) 
  • Aug. 4:    Easton Glacier
  • Aug. 5:    Easton Glacier
  • Aug. 6:    Squak Glacier
  • Aug. 7:    Talum Glacier
  • Aug. 8:    Hike out Hike in Columbia Glacier (resupply in Monroe WA)
  • Aug. 9:    Columbia Glacier
  • Aug. 10:  Hike out Columbia-Hike in Daniels
  • Aug. 11:  Mount Daniels Survey
  • Aug. 12:  Ice Worm-Hike out

Alpine Glaciers-State of Climate 2024

On By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate changeLeave a comment
Global alpine mass balance in 2024 as reported to the World Glacier Monitoring Service. Solid line is the cumulative balance, bars are the annual balance.

Each of the last 15 years I have summarized the annual mass balance of alpine glaciers globally for the Bulletin American Meterological Society-State of the Climate report,. Below is the 2024 section on alpine glaciers with a few added figures.

  • ALPINE GLACIERS
  • M. Pelto

In 2024, all 58 global reference glaciers reported a negative annual mass balance. This is only the second year in the 1970–2024 period with all negative annual balances, following 2023. The global average annual mass balance based on equal weighting of 19 regions is −1.30 m water equivalent (w.e.), the most negative value in the record

The 2024 dataset of submitted glaciological observations includes 142 glaciers from six continents and 27 nations, with 140 reporting a negative balance and 2 a positive balance. In 2024, the mean annual mass balance of the 58 global reference glaciers was −1.44 m w.e. and −1.36 m w.e. for all 142 reporting glaciers. This is a similar result to 2023, which saw a mean reference glacier balance of −1.62 m w.e. and −1.35 m w.e. for all 116 reporting glaciers.

The 2024 regionalized global average of −1.30 m w.e. exceeds the previous most negative year in 2023, which saw a regional-ized global average of −1.25 m w.e. This makes 2024 the 37th consecutive year with a global alpine mass balance loss and the 15th con-secutive year with a regionalized global mass balance below −0.5 m w.e. The acceleration of mass balance loss indicates that alpine glaciers are not approaching equilibrium. The acceleration of mass balance loss is apparent regardless of datasets used to determine it, including glaciological, geodetic, altimetry, and gravimetric observations (The GlaMBIE Team 2025). The intercomparison assessment identified that global glaciers annually lost 273+26 gigatons (Gt) in mass from 2000 to 2023, with loss having been 36% greater in the second half than in the first half of this period (The GlaMBIE Team 2025).

In the European Alps, all 49 glaciers reported negative mass balances, with 45 losing over 1 m w.e. All 10 Icelandic glaciers had negative balances. In Svalbard, all seven had negative balances exceeding an exceptional loss of 1.25 m w.e. This was the result of near complete snow cover loss across most glaciers (Fig. 2.20) following record temperatures in August (see section 7f5 for details). Twelve of the 13 glaciers from Norway and Sweden had mass losses of more than 1.0 m w.e.

High snow line persisted through the winter on Mount Everest glaciers.

Across High Mountain Asia, 20 of 21 glaciers, reporting from seven nations, had negative balances. The highest average losses were in the Himalayas of Nepal and the lowest in the Pamir Range of Tajikistan.

In the Andes Mountains of South America, all 14 glaciers, reporting from five nations, had negative balances. Conejeras Glacier (Colombia), following a 5.04 m w.e. loss in 2023, was declared extinct in 2024. The daily hydrograph below this glacier changed from a predominanceof days with a purely melt-driven hydrograph from 2006 to 2016 to an increase in the frequency of days with flows less influenced by melt after 2016 (Morán-Tejeda et al. 2018).

All 16 glaciers in North America had negative balances. All four glaciers in Arctic Canada had mass balance losses under 1 m w.e. In western Canada and Washington and Montana (United States), all 16 glaciers reporting had losses exceeding 1 m w.e. The Ice Worm Glacier (Washington) was listed as extinct in 2023 after 40 years of continuous observations (Pelto 2024). In 2024, loss from the relict ice (ice that is no longer moving or part of a glacier) was 2.4 m and melt runoff below the glacier had decreased similar to Conejeras Glacier (Pelto and Pelto 2025). In Alaska, all three glaciers had mass balance losses. Davies et al. (2024) examined the Juneau Icefield, the most observed icefield in Alaska in terms of mass balance, and found an acceleration of mass loss with a doubling after 2010 compared to 1979–2010.

Easton Glacier, Washington extensive retreat since 1990, with last five years being the most rapid. Terminus and mass balance surveyed annually and reported to WGMS.

Alpine annual mass balance glaciological observations are reported to the World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) by national representatives with a 1 December annual submission deadline. WGMS reference glaciers have at least 30 continuous years of mass balance observa-tion. Benchmark glaciers have at least a 10-year mass balance record and are in regions that lack sufficient reference glaciers. The combination of benchmark and reference glaciers is used to generate regional averages (WGMS 2023). Global values are calculated using a single averaged value for each of 19 mountain regions, limiting bias from observed regions (WGMS 2023). As this dataset expands, the annual values are reanalyzed and updated.

The lack of snow pack at the end of summer is evident across Edgeoya in Svalbard, blow a closeup of Digerfonna further illustrates with lettered points indicating new bedrock areas that are expanding amidst the ice cap.

Argentiere Glacier, France Rapid Snow Line Rise June 2026

On By mspeltoIn france glacier retreat, Heat waves glacier melt1 Comment
On June 1, 2026 the snowline is near the terminus of Argentiere Glacier at 2300 m, by June 24, 2026 the snowline has rise upglacier 3.3 km to 2700 m.

The French Alps have expereienced a significant June heat wave that has driven a rapid rise in glacier snow lines. Rabatel et al (2013)  examined the equilibrium line altitude (ELA) of glaciers in the region from 1984-2010.  The ELA is the snowline at the end of the summer melt season.   Rabatel et al (2013) found the average snow line of 3000 m on Trient Glacier, 2900 m on Tour Glacier, and 2800 m on Argentiere Glacier.  

On June 1st and 7th 2026 the snow line on Argentiere Glacier was near the terminus at 2300 m, by June 24th the snow line risen to 2700 m. This is 100 m shy of the average end of summer snow line, with 25% of the glacier losing its snowcover in this period. In 2015 and 2017 the snowline reached a record height of 2950 m in late August. This snow line rose to 3000 m again in August of 2022 and to 2900 m in August 2023. The snow lines from these years are in images below

The high snow lines result in a limited accumulation zone and an expanded ablation area leading to mass balance losses and terminus retreat. Argentiere Glacier is a World Glacier Monitoring Service reference glacier, with the data indicated in the images below. The glacier advanced from the early 1960s to early 1990s and since driven by negative mass balances in all but one year this century has retreated ~ 1 km. The mass balance loss has exceeded 1 m in most years this century and will again this year.

Annual mass balance reported to WGMS for Argentiere Glacier.
Terminus change reported to WGMS for Argentiere Glacier.
Argentiere Glacier snow line at end of 2015 melt season at 2950 m in Landsat image.
Argentiere Glacier snow line at end of 2017 melt season at 2950 m in Landsat image.
Argentiere Glacier snow line at end of 2022 melt season at 3000 m in Sentinel image.
Argentiere Glacier snow line at end of 2023 melt season at 2900 m in Sentinel image.

North Cascade Glacier Climate Project Year of Glacier Preservation Observations

On By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, glaciers salmon, North Cascade Glaciers

March 21, 2026 was World Day for Glaciers, telling this story is an ongoing four decades long project for us. The North Cascade Glacier Climate Project began in 1984 to identify the response of Washington’s North Cascade glaciers to climate change. The 2026 field season will mark our 43rd year of observations.

I  co-direct the project as the science director, with Jill Pelto as the art director. We strive to create a diverse and collaborative portfolio of impactful observations connecting people to science through art and data publication. Our theory of change is that art has the power to inspire people by including the emotional context behind the science research. We seek collaborators who are passionate about contributing to and sharing this work. Here we reflect on some of the stories we have shared in the last 12 months that chronicle the rapidly melting reality of glaciers.

In April, 2025 the “Shaped by Ice” exhibit coordinated by Jill Pelto opened at the Slip Gallery in Seattle. This featured work from nine artists, eight of whom had been in the field with us and was the focus of a Seattle Magazine article.

In May we worked with Protect Our Winters to explore what the loss of glaciers, “Beyond the Ice” means for specific regions.

In June, High Country News focused on the use of art to preserve the legacy of glaciers, given the glaciers themselves are not being preserved.

In March through July we worked with the Global Glacier Casualty List to the tell the story of specific glaciers in the United States that are disappearing, including Ice Worm Glacier in the North Cascades, Darwin Glacier in the Sierra Nevada, Twins Glacier in Wyoming and Burroughs Glacier in Alaska.

In August our field season coincided with a Seattle Time report, on Melting Mountains in the Pacific Northwest means, that we collaborated on.

Joining us in the field on the Lower Curtis Glacier, Mount Shuksan was KING5 NBC-Seattle affiliate, led by Meteorologist Leah Pezzetti who backpacked with us into her first glacier. The logistical preparation for this by KING5 was thorough, and we provided guidance and support to them. The resulting feature was released while we were still in the field.

Upon returning to the trailhead from Lower Curtis Glacier a CBS Sunday Morning News team met us and travelled into the field with us to Sholes Glacier, Mount Baker. The overnight trip into the backcountry was a first for this news team and required extensive collaborative support. The results were shared just two weeks after the filming, and right after our field season.

We worked for a second year with Dan MacComb on a short film for the UN International Year of Glaciers’ Preservation called “Shaped by Ice”. This film published by Protect our Winters has been featured in tfour film festivals during 2025.

In January through February a second “Shaped by Ice” gallery event was held in at the Confluence Gallery in Twisp WA. This was spearheaded by Jill Pelto, Margaret Kingston, and Claire Waichler.

A poor winter snowpack will certainly lead to another year of extensive glacier loss across the Pacific Northwest and we will be there to observe it.

North Cascade Glacier Climate Project 2025 Field Season Summary: Year 42

On By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, glaciers salmon, North Cascade Glaciers
Core field team in 2025 Emmett Elsom, Mauri Pelto, Jill Pelto and Caitlin Quirk.

We hiked into North Cascade glacier to complete detailed observations for our 42nd consecutive year. These annual observations provide a detailed assessment of their response to climate change. For the third consecutive year North Cascade glacier on on average lost more than 2 m of glacier thickness. This cumulative loss of 7-8 m on most of the ranges glaciers that average 25-40 m in thickness represents 20% of their volume lost in just three years. On a few of the largest glaciers, such as those on Mount Baker that average 40-60 m in thickness the loss represents 12% of their volume lost.

The consequence is an acceleration of the collapse of the North Cascade glacier system. This landscape that has for long been shaped by ice is rapidly losing that glacier element. The rate of retreat for the glaciers we work on has accelerated so quickly that we are faced each year with changing terrain and new challenges. Beyond that, we are starting to really see the effect this retreat and the decrease in water has on the ecosystems both near the glaciers and further downstream. During the field season we love seeing the wildflowers, eating blueberries, and counting mountain goats. These are all parts of a habitat that is built around glaciers and snowpack. Seeing these shifts has been really difficult, but it helps to still return to these landscapes and continue to tell their stories through science and art. Below the story is told in images with captions by each of us who participated.

Two things that stood out during the 2025 field season were the strength of our collaborations, and the changing resources the glaciers are able to provide to the surrounding ecosystem. This visible change attracted the attention of KING5-Seattle NBC affiliate and CBS Morning News. At the bottom of this post the resulting footage is embedded. The film “Shaped By Ice” Jill and I worked on with Dan McComb has been a finalist in two recent film festivals, this footage also at bottom of this long read post.

Working on Rainbow Glacier from left-Katie Hovind, Caitlin Quirk, Claire Seaman, Jill Pelto and Margaret Kingston

We worked with two oil painters, one watercolor painter, one printmaker, two news film crews, a team of botanists, and more. The result of all these collaborations has led to so many great stories being created and shared about our collective work. It also meant our core group of field assistants had to be flexible to a changing group and the sometimes difficult and imperfect logistics that accompany that. -Jill Pelto

This photograph of an icefall at 2000 m (6700 ft) on the Easton glacier encompasses the wide range of emotions that I felt working on these glaciers this summer. The focal point of the picture is the wound inflicted upon the glacier by our changing climate. Bedrock and sediment creep through the gaping wound in the lowest icefall of the Easton, the opening visible for the first time in the project’s 42-year history. The place also holds a beauty, a sense of majesty that cannot be diminished by the tragic context of our work. The seracs at the top of the scene lean at impossible angles, destined to crash down onto the slope below, piercing the quiet of the snowy expanse in dramatic fashion. The dark annual layers in the glacier speak to the age of the ice, flowing down the flank of Mt. Baker over decades. The landscape has been a facet of my life for the past few years, as it falls upon the Easton Glacier route to the mountain’s summit. The icefall has always drawn me in as I pass, sparking a profound sense of wonder. It makes me deeply sad to see the beauty of such special places diminished, sad in a way that little else does. Over the past few years, I’ve come to like visiting these places to visiting an elderly loved one. While time may change them and even take them away from us, their beauty and meaning to me will hold true.-Emmett Elsom

How does being present in a place shape our understanding? To the left is a view of Sholes Glacier, complete with my on-site rendition. I can’t express how lucky I feel to have had the chance to experience these places first hand. To interact with a place by attempting to capture its likeness — paying attention to the negative space not only between the white snowpack and black exposed rock, but in the empty, carved-out area that used to be filled with ice. Experiencing the texture of the glacier under your feet, the cool air drifting off the snow, the good tired feeling of your body after physically traversing top to bottom. This is what you don’t get from a photo. To know places such as these is to love them and see their role in the world, and want to protect them. But so many never get the chance to understand them this way.-Claire Seaman

This field season I focused on exploring the once-barren foreland a glacier leaves behind. Studying the plants growing in the wake of the Easton Glacier made me reflect on the way life responds to these major changes. This photo of a bright monkeyflower cluster in the streambed of the nearby Sholes Glacier exemplifies this resilience and optimism to me. The Sholes, in the background, drains a lifeblood that will feed the watershed downstream into the Nooksack, supporting people, fisheries, and a whole riparian ecosystem. The eventual loss of glacial ice feeding the river will be catastrophic, yet the scarred space left behind will blossom with vegetation. Witnessing firsthand how staggering the extent of glacial retreat is can be overwhelming, but that bright patch of flowers stands as encouragement. Alone in an altered landscape, those flowers will pave the way for more to follow. Change is nuanced, and as we watch it occur we can change, sharing stories of the beauty of this environment supported by ice, and adapting our lives and policies in a way that can be the difference which keeps glaciers flowing.-Katie Hovind

As a backcountry skier and oil painter focused on winter landscapes of the North Cascades, the idea of painting glaciers in the field was a dream come true! I knew what we would see and learn about the health of our glaciers from the scientists would be highly emotional, but the power of these environments disappearing in our lifetimes is something my words fail to communicate how devastating that feels. During the study on Rainbow glacier I caught on film the moment a serac collapsed, loudly crashing, crumbling from a newly melted out rock knob down the mountain splitting into smaller and smaller pieces. It looked sickly as it broke before our eyes. Another unique experience was going into a teal, translucent, otherworldly ice cave. I have started 2 paintings to capture this vanishing environment. My goal is to assist the project in translating the study’s findings through landscape paintings that communicate the beauty of these places with titles that call attention to the retreating glaciers in the North Cascades. We all have a responsibility as humans to make individual changes to combat climate change and vote like fresh water and air depends on it, because it does. -Margaret Kingston

The pace of glacier change struck me hard this summer. Never before have humans lived with such a deglaciated Cascades mountain range. Not the settlers, not the fur trappers, not the first people who have been here for 13,000 years or more. Cultures and ecosystems spawned from the retreating edge of the Cordilleran Ice sheet into the Puget Sound area. Alpine glaciers fed streams, rivers, salmon, all kinds of human projects in Washington State. Our societies are shaped by the ice and now we are experiencing glaciers disappear.

I write this at the end of the 2025 hydrological year, waiting for winter snow to shelter the land I love in a cool white blanket. The devastation of the alpine glaciers has surfaced so frequently in conversation these last couple months. Those who have seen the mountains are alarmed as beds of ice they once knew to be hundreds of feet thick look shallow and frail, ice pitches that were once climbed are now grey gullies of rock, and volcanoes which have always been white are unnervingly gray and shrouded in smoke. The realities of climate change in the Northwest are clear.

It is a painful time to care about the glaciers of the Cascades. Witnessing the erosion of something so much older and bigger and impactful than myself is staggering. There is much action to be done in this new terrain but for now, I come back to this: I sit in the dying glaciers warm light as the sun rises, summon the deepest snowfall in years and tell the glacier that we care, that we were grateful for all the help watering our food and feeding our oceans and making sure our salmon had somewhere to live. We are here because of you. -Cal Waichler
Image description: This image shows a crevasse on the Easton Glacier of Mount Baker. The saturation is distorted because I shot this photo on 35mm and pre-exposed the film to light and heat to parallel the material effects of global warming on our glacier systems. The Easton glacier is a source of water for Baker Lake, which provides recreation and hydropower to the region. When I see this photo, I think of the impacts of glacial melt to water, energy, cultural, and economic resources in Washington. -Caitlin Quirk
Columbia Glacier is one of sixty global reference glaciers. This summer it lost 5% of its volume.
Lower Curtis Glacier continues to rapidly thin at the top of the glacier as well as at the terminus. The glacier retained additional avalanche accumulation, leading to a less negative balance than other glaciers.
Rainbow Glacier is one of the sixty global reference glaciers. This year new bedrock began to emerge and expand in several icefalls, leading to serac fall.
Easton Glacier has retreated 700 m since 1990 and has a number of bedrock areas emerging in icefall up to 2500 m.
Lynch Glacier east and west side are separating. The upper basin did retain some snow in 2025.
Daniels Glacier lost all snowpack by the end of the summer and bedrock is quickly expanding amongst the glacier.

The trajectory for most North Cascade glaciers is one of fragmentation. This is illustrated by Foss Glacier on the east flank of Mount Hinman, that we began observing annually in 1984 but stopped measuring as it fragmented. Foss Glacier from the top was a 1 km long and nearly 600 m wide glacier. In Sept. 2025 Cal Waichler captured view from the top with the two main fragments now less than 50 m wide and 300 m long.-Mauri Pelto

Leah Pezzetti KING5 meterologist hiked in with us to Lower Curtis Glacier.

The CBS team hiked into Sholes Glacier with us spending the night, and we had three generations of Pelto’s.
snow free iceland ice cap

Hofsjokull East, Iceland Loses all Snow Cover in 2025-Bedrock Expanding amidst Ice Cap

On By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, Glacier Observations, iceland glacier retreat
Hofsjokull East is snow free on 8-17-2025 in this false color Sentinel image. This leads to ice melt, thinning and bedrock expansion at Point A-D.

Hofsjokull East, Iceland is a small ice cap east of Vatnajokull with a summit elevation of 1100 m. In the last decade the snow line has often been above the ice cap. The ice cap had an area or 4.97 km2 in 2003 declining to 2.51 km2 in 2023 (Iceland Glacier Viewer). In 2024 all 10 glaciers in Iceland had significant mass loss (Pelto, 2025).

In August 2020 the ice cap has lost nearly all of its snow cover, this occurred again in 2023 and 2024. The result in 2025 when the ice cap again lost all its snowcover, is significant glacier surface melt and thinning. This leads to expansion of bedrock. At Point A there has been rapid expansion of the bedrock knob. At Point B and C new bedrock has been exposed and rapidly expanded. At Point D a bedrock rib at the edge of the ice cap has spread into the ice cap.

The lack of snow cover indicates the ice cap no longer has an accumulation zone and cannot survive. In 2025 the ice cap area is 2.10 km2 . Ice cap area has declined by ~60 % in the last 22 years. The story here is similar to that at the larger Prándarjökull 10 km to the northeast. The summer of 2025 in Iceland was exceptional beginning with a May heatwave, followed by a July heatwave. The May heat wave led to high snow lines as summer began on Vatnajokull.

Hofsjokull East is nearly snow free on 8-14-2020 in this false color Sentinel image. Contrast the area of bedrock at Point A-D to the 2023 and 2025 images.

Hofsjokull East is nearly snow free on 9-3-2023 in this false color Sentinel image. Point B and C now have evident bedrock areas.

Signs of a Collapsing Glacier System: North Cascade Glacier Climate Project 2025

On By mspeltoIn North Cascade Glaciers
Field team Emmett Elsom, Mauri Pelto, Jill Pelto and Caitlin Quirk at Rainbow/Mazama Glacier saddle.

For the 42nd consecutive year we were in the field observing North Cascade glaciers. Our expedition of scientists and artists observes the response of the glaciers to climate change. In the last five years the glacier system in this mountain range is showing signs of collapse. The signs range from vanished glaciers, dwindling summer runoff, increased rockfall and serac instability.

Our first field area was Columbia Glacier, which feeds the North Fork Skykomish River. This is the largest glacier in the Skykomish River Basin and a World Reference glacier. We have observed ongoing retreat and accelerated volume loss, 50% of its volume lost in 42 years. The primary field team consiste of Emmett Elsom (field scientist), Caitlin Quirk (field scientist), Jill Pelto (art director) and Mauri Pelto (science director). In 2025 the new glacier lake that developd in 2010 continue to expand, a warmer Blanca Lake supported more algae, and the reduced glacier area provided notably less streamflow dring this the late July-August period.

Columbia Glacier 7-29-2025 with the expanding new lake and the thinning glacier that used to have a steep high terminus (Jill Pelto).

We next headed north to Lower Curtis Glacier on Mount Shuksan, which feeds into Baker Lake. We were joined by Katie Hovind (field scientist) and Margaret Kingston (oil painter). Leah Pezzetti, meteorologist and Nick Goldring videographer from KING5 in Seattle joined us.

The terminus of this glacier continues to thin, with the seracs becoming less imposing. The terminus front has diminished from over 45 m high, to 25 m. The glacier is thinning almost 1 m per year even in the accumulation area of the cirque basin. Glacier retreat has been 225 m since retreat began in 1986 across the wide terminus front.

Next up was Sholes and Rainbow Glacier, both accessed from our camp on Ptarmigan Ridge. Claire Seaman (oil painter) joined our crew for both. Ben Pelto and Margot Pelto joined us for Sholes Glacier, along with their nine-month old daughter Wren, (my granddaughter). The Sholes Glacier has been rapidly thinning and losing area along its broad lower margin particularly in the last 5 years. The glacier has lost 0.25 km2 in this century along this margin, or 30% of the total glacier area. In 2023 we explored an ice cave that was over 100 m long. In 2025 this entire slope is devoid of ice. CBS Sunday News joined us on Sholes Glacier and captured well, what we do and how we combine art and science.

Rainbow Glacier descends from a saddle with the Mazama Glacier. This area consistently retains deep snow. This year the snowpack was 3.5-4.75 m deep in early August. Further down glacier, a series of bedrock knobs continue to emerge from beneath the ice, leading to steeper, thinner icefalls that leads to unstable serac conditions. The collapse of these seracs is predictable in terms of where. We did observe a large one. We descended to the terminus of the glacier. The glacier continues to retreat, with a retreat of 890 m since 1986. The glacier had been advancing prior to 1986.

Easton Glacier on August 9, 2025 from our research camp. In 1990 glacier ended at small ridge right behind our hats. Now glacier has receded 700 m (Abby Hudak, Jill Pelto and Mauri Pelto)

We circled to the south side of Mount Baker to examine Deming, Easton and Squak Glacier. Easton Glacier has retreated 705 m since retreat began in 1990. This year we continued to observe new bedrock emerging from beneath the glacier, including in the main icefall at 2000 m and as high as 2800 m on the glacier. This is also occurring on Deming Glacier. In both cases there is oversteepening in icefall areas leading to unstable seracs. On Squak Glacier we descended, what had been a crevassed icefall, that now is a steep ice ramp, to the terminus. This indicates limited velocity feeding the now nearly stagnant glacier tongue.

New areas of rock exposure emerging at base of main Easton Glacier icefall for the first time, at 2000 m.

Bedrock emerging at 2800 m on Easton/Deming Glacier. These features illustrate thinning is extensive even near the top of Mount Baker glaciers.

Our last stop was in the Alpine Lake Wilderness, and we were joined by Cal Waichler (wood cut printing) and Margaret Kingston. The glaciers of Mount Daniel and Mount Hinman have been in rapid decline this century. With six of the nine ceasing to exist by 2024. We continue to monitor Lynch and Daniels Glacier each year. Lynch Glacier continues to retain snowpack on the upper portion of the glacier, while losing 50% of its area since 1984. Daniels Glacier has lost 60% of its area since 1984 and is no longer retaining significant snow pack by the end of the summer. The retreat of area loss on Daniels Glacier has been 5% per year in the last five years. The runoff from glaciers into the Cle Elum Reservoir has diminished markedly in late summer reducing both runoff and increasing water temperatures. By late August Cle Elum Reservoir had dropped to 7% full, which will curtail water allocation to downstream Yakima Basin agriculture.

Descending onto Lynch Glacier, with Pea Soup Lake below. The glacier filled the lake until 1978.
Daniels Glacier in 2025, illustrating the bare rock slope that was almost entirely covered by the glacier in 1984.
The remaining fragments of Foss Glacier that has lost 80% of its area since we first mapped it in 1986.

Prándarjökull, Iceland Loses all Snow Cover in 2025-Accelerating Loss

On By mspeltoIn Glacier Observations, iceland glacier retreat1 Comment

Prándarjökull on August 20, 2025 has no retained snowpack-with weeks left in the melt season (Sentinel false color image)

Prándarjökull is an icecap northeast of Vatnajokull that has a summit elevation of 1215 m, and a margin between 875 and 925 m. In 2003 the ice cap had an area of 17.3 km2, declining to 12.8 km2 by 2023 (Iceland Glacier Viewer). In 2024 all 10 glaciers in Iceland had significant mass loss (Pelto, 2025)

In 2021 the ice cap lost at least 90% of its snow cover as noted in the Sentinel image from 8-24-2021. In 2023 The ice cap again lost nearly all of its snow cover.

Prándarjökull on August 31, 2023 has only 5-10% retained snowpack-with weeks left in the melt season (Sentinel false color image)

The spring and early summer of 2025 was one of record warmth for Iceland. This led to a rapid rise of the snowline to 900-1000 m on Vatnajokull. By mid-July 60% of the Prándarjökull was snow free. There is an area of water saturated snow-light blue amidst the snowpack.

Prándarjökull on July 13, 2025 the ice caphas 40% retained snow cover-with weeks left in the melt season (Sentinel false color image)

By August 20, 2025 the ice cap had no snow cover. The early exposure of ice in recent years is leading to the continued recession of the ice cap and the intrusion of bedrock areas into the ice cap at Point A and B. At Point C in 2021 recent firn is exposed, that has melted away by 2025. The area of the ice cap has declined to 11.5 km2. There is no recent retained firn-indicating that in the last five year no snow cover has persisted to the end of this summer. This indicates the lack of an accumulation zone, without which the glacier cannot survive.

Prándarjökull on August 31, 2023 has only 5-10% retained snowpack-with weeks left in the melt season (Sentinel false color image)

2025 North Cascade Glacier Climate Project Field Plan-42nd Year.

On By mspeltoIn North Cascade Glaciers

2025 Field Season: For the 42nd consecutive summer we are heading into the field to measure and communicate the impact of climate change on North Cascade glaciers. This year an overall focus of the project is supporting the UN’s “International Year for Glaciers’ Preservation”. This means focusing on glaciers that have disappeared and are in critical danger of disappearing in the next decade. Jill Pelto, Art Director and Mauri Pelto, Science Director

This field season follows the 2021-2024 seasons that featured either historic heat waves and/or periods of extended warm weather. The heat led to a greater exposure of bare ice on glaciers with a higher albedo and greater density. The observed melt rates are 7-9 cm/day water equivalent during warm weather events vs 4-6 for snow surfaces. This led to substantial mass losses on North Cascade glacier for the four years of over ~6 m. 

Science objectives: We will complete detailed measurements on 10 glaciers, three of which are part of the World Glacier Monitoring Service reference glacier network (48 glaciers globally), which have 30+ consecutive years of mass balance observations. This summer we will have an opportunity to assess the long-term ramifications of the 2013-2024 period of unprecedented mass balance losses and associated glacier changes, with detailed mass balance, crevasse depths and glacier surface elevation profiling.  We also focus on the impact of diminishing glacier size on downstream runoff.

Drilling and emplacing ablation stakes on Sholes Glacier.

Art Objectives: We will collaborate with several artists who will join us for a portion of the field season. They will be able to create their own work about the landscape and the science or may join us for fieldwork and make plans for future artwork. We hope to use this art to share our research with a broader audience and highlight the beauty and importance of these places. 

Cal Waichler Sketch of Lower Curtis Glacier.

Communication Objectives: We will leverage the brands of our expedition sponsors and the focus on vanishing glaciers that the UN brings this year. These organizations can help spread our message. We will utilize a combination of artists and scientists to tell the story.

From the Glaciers to the Sea: this is one of two paintings that tells stories of watersheds fed by North Cascade glaciers that flow out into the Puget Sound. The snowpack and glaciers in the mountains in this region provide crucial meltwater to river systems, many of which connect critically to the ocean.

Field Team 2025:

Jill Pelto (she/her) is an artist and scientist from New England who grew up loving winter sports and trips to the mountains. She incorporates scientific research and data into paintings and prints to communicate environmental changes. Her multi-disciplinary work weaves visual narratives that reveal the reality of human impacts on this planet. She completed both her B.A. degrees in Studio Art and Earth and Climate Science, and her M.S. focused on studying the stability of the Antarctic Ice Sheet at the University of Maine, spending two field seasons at a remote camp in the southern Transantarctic Mountains. Jill will be joining the project for her 15th field season. She is excited about continuing to document the change in North Cascade glaciers that she has witnessed each of the last ten years — through science and art.

Jill’s 2025 Paintings inspired by our work about the Skykomish River Watershed and the Nooksack River Watershed.

Mauri Pelto (he/him) has directed the project since its founding in 1984, spending more than 800 nights camped out adjacent to these glaciers. He is the United States representative to the World Glacier Monitoring Service. For 15 years he has been author of the blog “From a Glacier’s Perspective”, and associate editor for three science journals.  He is on the Science Advisory Board for NASA’s Earth Observatory. His primary position is Associate Provost at Nichols College, where he has been a professor since 1989. He either runs on trails or skis on alpine and cross country trails every day.

Emmett Elsom (he/him) is an environmental science student at Western Washington University from Portland, Oregon. Growing up mountaineering and backpacking in the Cascade Range, he developed a love for the region and a fascination with the complexities of its ecosystems. In 2024 he had an opportunity to work In the field with the Oregon Glaciers Institute, assisting with SNOTEL data collection and fieldwork. This year, he is looking forward to broadening his understanding of the ecological role of glaciers and their melt across the Pacific Northwest, and the power of utilizing art in science. 

Caitlin Quirk (she/her) is a Masters student of Environmental Humanities at the University of Utah. She writes essays and poetry about socio-environmental justice, land relations, and political ecologies of climate change. Before graduate school, Caitlin worked as a mountaineering instructor and environmental researcher. Through these roles, she formed deep relationships with glaciers throughout the Pacific Northwest.  

Katie Hovind (she/her) is an environmental science student at Western Washington University. She feels a deep connection to the Cascade mountains and their watersheds from growing up in this region, and hopes to share their beauty and importance with others. She was a field assistant with NCGCP last year, and is excited to continue collaborating this year to explore ways science and art can evoke caring—for protection of natural spaces and response to the climate crisis. This season, she will help conduct a vegetational succession study at the Easton’s terminus to observe the changing alpine plant growth in the wake of a receding glacier.

Margaret Kingston: is an oil painter and art educator from Winthrop, Washington. Originally from New Hampshire, she moved 3000 miles with her husband Jonathan Baker to the Methow Valley after visiting the North Cascades National Park. Landscapes of the Pacific Northwest have been her inspiration for the past 13 years, captured first through a photo then realistically painted on canvas. As a backcountry skier, hiker, and biker she captures the energy of places these activities take you. With funding from the Mary Kiesau Fellowship Grant, Margaret will plein air paint on site in honor of her friend Mary Kiesau. Her observations during time spent with the North Cascade Glacier Climate Project will be shared through the resulting artwork and at a community event in the Methow Valley. Learn more about Margaret Kingston’s work at MkOilPaintings.com 

Claire Sianna Seaman (she/her) is a painter, filmmaker, and printmaker from Leavenworth, WA. She holds a BA from Smith College in Studio Art, with a concentration in Climate Change. She is currently earning her MA in Human Geography at the University of British Columbia. Claire has been featured in the Wild and Scenic Film Festival Art Exhibition and received an Artist Trust GAP Award. She worked with scientists from the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group  to create an art piece that imagined climate resiliency in the Pacific Northwest. This piece is currently part of the 5th National Climate Assessment Art x Climate Gallery on display at the Smithsonian Natural History Museum in Washington, D.C https://www.clairesianna.com/

2025 Schedule 

July 28:   Hike In Columbia. 

July 29:   Columbia Glacier survey

July 30:   Hike Out Columbia/Hike in Lower Curtis

July 31:   Lower Curtis Glacier Survey

Aug. 1:    Hike out, Hike in Ptarmigan Ridge

Aug. 2:    Sholes Glacier

Aug. 3:    Rainbow Glacier

Aug. 4:    Rainbow Glacier

Aug. 5:    Hike out. Hike in Easton Glacier (Resupply in Bellingham WA) 

Aug. 6:    Easton Glacier

Aug. 7:    Deming Glacier

Aug. 8:    Easton Glacier

Aug. 9:    Easton Glacier

Aug. 10:  Hike in Mount Daniels

Aug. 11:  Mount Daniels Survey

Aug. 12:  Ice Worm Glacier Survey-Exit

Assessing Crevasse Depth on Easton Glacier

North Cascade Glacier Accumulation Season 2025 and Forecast Outlook

On By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, North Cascade Glaciers
As April ends there is a sharp snowline ranging from 1200 m at Mount Baker to 1400 m at Cascade Pass. Above 1500 m the melt season is just getting started.

As the accumulation season comes to an end for North Cascade glaciers it is worth reviewing this winter and looking ahead with a forecast for glacier mass balance by the end of summer 2025. The winter of 2025 at NOAA’s Washington Cascade Mountain West Division 5 records indicate that this winter was below the declining trendline of total precipitation with a mean of 54.8 inches, down slightly from last year. Winter temperatures were again warm at 33.2o F but close to the expected rising trend line average.

The 1946 to 2025 winter (November-March) mean temperature and total precipitation for the Western Cascade Mountains-Division 5 weather stations.

The mean April 1 snow water equivalent (swe) at the six North Cascade Snotel sites with a consistent long term record was 0.72 m. This is below the declining trend line and 31% below the long term average for the 1946-2025 period. This is above the 2024 value, but in the lowest quintile. Mount Baker ski area has reported 585 inches of snowfall through April 21, which is ~30% percentile. April 1 swe is the key date for asssessment for winter snowpack water resources. For glaciers the accumulation season typically continues until the end or April or early May. This year snowpack depth at Mount Baker Ski Area (1280 m) increased from 148 inches on April 1 to 164 inches on April 9 and then declining to 119 inches by May 1 (80% of normal). A similar pattern was seen at Stevens Pass-Grace Lake station (1460 m) with snowpack depth on April 1 of 107 inches, increasing to 114 inches by April 9 and decreasing to 82 inches by May 1. These stations are several hundred meters below glacier elevations. At Lyman Lake Snotel (1800 m) snowpack SWE which most closely matches the glacier elevations was 40.1 inches rising to 42.5 inches by April 11 and declining to 35.9 inches by May 1, ~60% of normal. At the Middle Fork Nooksack site (1520 m) snowpack was 44.8 inches SWE on April 1, rising to 49 inches by April 11 and declining to 46 inches on May 1, 67% of normal . This illustrates that at glacier elevations snowpack would have also increased in mid-April, before a slow decline in the latter part of the month. There were a number of atmospheric rivers that drove a higher snowline than usual as May starts, but also led to a rapid increase in snowpack above the snowline.

The mean April 1 SWE from 1946-2025 at six long term SNOTEL stations: Stampede Pass, Fish Lake, Stevens Pass, Lyman Lake, Park Creek and Rainy Pass.

As the melt season begins, based on the above the winter snowpack on glaciers on May 1 are 70-80% of normal. Eric Gilbertson measured snowpack on the summit Colfax Peak at 17.3 ft (5.27 m) on April 18, 2025. This is a location that is to some extent wind scoured and would be less than the depth on the adjacent glacier, a normal year there is 8-9 m of snowpack at 2300-2800 m. On Eldorado Peak they found 25.3 feet on April 27, 2025. This is the depth expected for this location in a year with 75-80% of normal snowpack. It is a location that appears to balance enhanced deposition and scour. Weather conditions in the Pacific Northwest are forecast to have above average temperatures for the upcoming 90 day period. This combined with the below average snowpack on glaciers on May 1, will yield another year where ice thickness loss exceeds 1 m across the glaciers, as each of the last four years have. The average from 2014-2024 has been -1.41 m, which is a 1.5 thick slice of the glacier lost each year. The range expected this year is -1.2 m to -2.4 m. How much will depend on the specific weather and the frequency and intensity of heat waves.

Mean mass balance observed in the field annually by the North Cascade Glacier Climate Project.

Firn Area Ratio an Emerging Metric for Glacier Mass Balance?

On By mspeltoIn Glacier Observations

Columbia Glacier in 2015 viewed from the ridge above the glacier. The firn line is marked by blue dots. The age of the snow surface of 2015 and the firn surfaces of 2011-2014 are noted.

For an alpine glacier to be in equilibrium at the end of summer the glacier needs to be 50-70% covered in snow from the previous winter. This is the accumulation area ratio (AAR). AAR is a good measure of mass balance, which is why AAR is reported for WGMS reference glaciers. In recent years we have seen periodic strongly negative balance years that have removed all or nearly all of the snowpack from a glacier leaving an AAR of less than 10%, and considerable exposed firn. This typically occurs in assocation with  a year that feature prolonged dry warm conditions in winter that limit snow accumulation or even reduce it, and/or summers with heat waves and extended warm periods that melt away the snowpack rapidly, particularly early in the melt season.  This leads to exposure of firn, which is the snowpack retained from previous winters, hence more than a year old, but not yet glacier ice and significantly dirtier/darker than snow from the most recent winter. This firn melts more rapidly than snow, largely because it is darker.  This leads to additional mass loss for the glacier. By the end of summer in strongly negative years we can see where the firn area boundary with glacier ice.  This marks the region below which no accumlation has been retained in recent years, hence older ice is exposed.  As such it delineates the multi-year accumulation area, the effective accumulation zone of the glacier.  This would not be accuately determined from an simple average of annual AAR values. It is also readily visible in aerial or satellite imagery.

This scenario played out both in the Pacific Northwest in summer 2021 and in the Central Andes summer 2022. Pelto et al (2022) examine the impact of the heat waves on glacier runoff specifically. In New Zealand the 2022 NIWA annual snowline survey also indicate exposed firn below the annual snowline.

The blue dotted line on Columbia Glacier marks the accumulaiton zone for the 2011-2015 period, below that line no snow or firn was retained during that five year period. The is was a year of exceptional mass balance loss in the North Cascade Range (Pelto, 2018). Below is an example from Sholes Glacier in 2014 indicating the snow line in August and again in September now with a separte firn line apparent. Note the difference between the snowline for 2014 and the firn line for the 2011-2013 period. Below that point no firn has been retained.

Sholes Glacier snowline and firn line in August and September of 2014.

High negative balance years exposing significant firn areas at he surface have played out with increasing frequency in glaciated mountain regions from the North Cascade Range north through British Columbia to Alaska and across continents to the Alps, Canadian Arctic, Himalaya, and Andes.  Glaciers where much of their snow cover is lost by mid-summer, then have the darker firn and ice exposed for enhanced ablation for the rest of the summer.  There is no sunscreen they can apply for protection.

For Blackfoot and Jackson Glacier in Glacier National Park, Montana just one small area of snow remained on Blackfoot Glacier in early September of 2021.  The area of firn on both glaciers is extensive nearly 50% of the glacier indicating overall an accumulation area of significant size. For Adams Glacier in late summer 2021 there is ~10% snowcover (A), while firn cover is 40% at the end of August.

In January 2022 the Central Andes of Argentina and Chile have experienced nearly complete snowcover loss on many glaciers. Volcan Overo, Argentina has four ice masses A-D with limited firn or remaining snowpack. Ice mass E has limited snowcover, but reasonable firn cover extent, not blue dots between firn and bare ice. On Olivares Beta and Gamma Glacier, Chile almost no snowcover remains from Winter 2021, the firn line is limited to the upper portion of both glaciers. This indicates less than 30% of the glacier is an accumulation zone during recent years. There is still six weeks left in the melt season to further reduce this area. The bare surfaces lasted from mid-January into late March leading to extensive mass loss.

For each of the glaciers illustrated here the firn area can be delineated accurately due to the glacier having a significant mass balance loss.  The age of the firn cannot be determined without specific knowledge of the glacier or area, but for temperate alpine glaciers firn typically is converted to ice is 5-7 year

The snow cover (S) reamining on Jackston and Blackfoot Glacier in a Sentinel image by early September of 2021 is minimal. The firn area (F) in gray is more extensive.

Adams Glacier with areas of acccumulation (A) and firn (F) in a Sentinel image from Aug. 30, 2021. Green dots indicate the glacier boundary.

Olivares Beta and Gamma Glacier in Sentinel image, with ~10% snowcover remaining and 30% firn cover (blue dots) on January 20, 2022.

 

Olivares Beta and Gamma Glacier in Sentinel image indicating days of exposure at surface of firn and ice , March 26, 2022.

 

Volcan Overo, Argentina in January 13, 2022 Sentinel image, with  negligible snowcover remaining in mid-summer and firn cover remaining on 30% of the Glacier E.

Volcan Overo  in Sentinel image indicating days of exposure at surface of firn and ice , March 26, 2022.

Honeycomb Glacier (H) with evident firn lines below the annual snowline on Oct. 19, 2022 in a Sentinel image.