Sjögren Glacier Fast Flow, Fast Retreat, Antarctica

Sjögren Glacier comparison in Landsat images from 2001 and 2016, red dots indicate terminus position, Point A, B, C and D are in fixed locations.

Sjögren Glacier flows east from the northern Antarctic Peninsula and prior to the 1980’s was a principal feeder glacier to Prince Gustav Ice Shelf. This 1600 square kilometer ice shelf disintegrated in the mid-1990’s and was gone in 1995 (Cook and Vaughan, 2010). Scambos et al (2014) noted a widespread thinning and retreat of Northern Antarctic Peninsula Glaciers with the greatest changes where ice shelf collapse had occurred, Sjögren Glacier being one of the locations. Scambos et al (2004) first documented the acceleration of glaciers that fed an ice shelf after ice shelf loss in the Larsen B region. A new paper by Seehaus et al (2016) focuses on long term velocity change at Sjögren Glacier as it continues to retreat. This study illustrates the acceleration is long lived with a peak velocity of 2.8 m/day in 2007 declining to 1.4 m/day in 2014, compared to a 1996 velocity of 0.7 m/day, which was likely already higher than the velocity in years prior to ice shelf breakup. Here we examine Landsat images from 1990, 2001, 2005 and 2016 to illustrate changes in terminus position of Sjögren Glacier

In the 1990 Landsat image Sjögren Glacier feed directly into the Prince Gustav ice Shelf which then By 1993 Seehaus et al (2016) note that Sjögren Glacier had retreated to the mouth of Sjögren Inlet in 1993, this is marked Point A on Landsat Images. By 2001 the glacier had retreated to Point B, a distance of 7 km. Between 2001 and 2005 Sjögren Glacier retreat led to a separation from Boydell Glacier at Point C. In 2016 Sjögren Glacier had retreated 10-11 km from the 2001 location, and 4.5 km from Point C up the expanding fjord. The production of icebergs remains heavy and the inlet does not narrow for another 6 km from the front. Seehaus et al (2016) Figure 1 indicates that the area of high velocity over 1 m/day extends 1 km upglacier, with somewhat of a slowdown at 6 km behind the front. The high velocity and limited change in fjord width in the lower 6 km indicates there is not a new pinning point to slow retreat appreciably in this stretch. Figure 1 also illustrates the retreat from 1993-2014. The pattern of ice shelf loss and glacier retreat after loss has also played out at Jones Ice Shelf and Rohss Bay.

1990 Landsat Image of Sjogren Glacier and Prince Gustav Ice Shelf, terminus marked by red dots

2005 Landsat Image of Sjogren Glacier, terminus marked by red dots

Chaupi Orko Glaciers, Bolivia Extensive Recession

On July 18, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn bolivia glacier retreat, climate change glacier retreat

Landsat comparison of the Chaupi Orko Glaciers from 1988, 1999 and 2015. Red arrows indicate 1988 terminus and yellow arrows the 2015 terminus location.

Chaupi Orko is a 6044 m Andean peak in the Cordillera Apolobamba on the Peru-Bolivia border with glaciers radiating from it summit. Here we examine a pair of glaciers on the southern side of the mountain that drain into Laguna Suches, which is split by the Bolivia-Peru border. Laguna Suches is most known for placer gold mining. Glaciers in Bolivia have been experiencing substantial retreat during the last 40 years, such as at Nevada Cololo. The glaciers of the Apolobamba have lost 48% of their area from 1975-2006 (Hoffmann, 2012). Hoffmann and Weggenmann (2012) observed both the extensive retreat, new lake formation, and the potential problem of glacier lake outbursts in this region, which is part of the Apolobamba Integrated Natural Management Area. In a continuation of these studies an excellent study in review by Cook et al (2016) indicates a 43% decline in glacier area in the Cordillera Apolobamba from 1986 to 2014. They identified a total of 25 lakes with some risk of GLOF, though historic occurrences to date in the area are few. They further found an decrease in proglacial lakes in contact with glaciers during this period. The glaciers here are summer accumulation type with the ablation occurring during the dry season from May-October .

In 1988 the southwest Chaupi Orko Glacier (W), red arrow, does not have a proglacial lake at its terminus. The southern Chuapi Orko Glacier (S) ends adjacent to a small lake east of the terminus, red arrow. By 1999 a small proglacial lake has formed at the terminus of the southwest Chaupi Orko Glacier. The southern Chaupi Orko Glacier has receded 350 m. By 2015 the southwest Chaupi Orko Glacier has retreated to the yellow arrow, with the proglacial lake having expanded to an area of 0.35-0.4 square kilometers. Retreat of the west glacier has ranged from 500 to 800 m. The southern Chaupi Orko Glacier has retreated 600 m exposing two new small proglacial lakes that it has since largely retreated from. The lakes are narrow and too small to be a Glacier lake outburst flood (GLOF) threat. This particular basin does not pose a GLOF threat with no substantial lake below the south glacier and only the small, apparently shallow lake below the west glacier. A small island in the midst of the lake, suggests lake not very deep. The west glacier has a calving face enhancing retreat (IC).Neither glacier indicates significant thinning higher on the glacier, suggests limited melting. This is a region of significant ablation via sublimation vs melting, which is not as efficient a process for mass loss and is enhanced during La Nina periods (Vuille et al, 2008). The reduction of glacier area does lead to declines in glacier runoff, which will have a more widespread impact.

Small island amidst proglacial lake from the west glacier, also ice cliff noted.

Google Earth image of the Chaupi Orco region.

Rainbow Glacier Not Fading Away, Glacier National Park

On July 12, 2016November 20, 2025 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations1 Comment

Rainbow Glacier is the third largest of the 25 remaining glaciers in Glacier National Park occupying an east facing cirque between 2650 m and 2330 m. The glacier drains into Quartz Lake a key lake for bull trout in GNP, which are threatened by both invasive lake trout and climate change (Jones et al, 2013). The National Park Serice and USGS have been established a glacier monitoring program that focuses on repeat photography, mass balance observations on Sperry Glacier and area change. GNP has lost the majority of the 150 glaciers that existed. The USGS reports that Rainbow Glacier had an area of 1.28 square kilometers in 1966 declining to 1.16 square kilometers in 2005, a 9.3% reduction. Has this slow rate of retreat continued? Here we examine Google Earth imagery from 1990-2013 and imagery taken by John Scurlock compiled by Glaciers of the American West at Portland State University,

In the Google Earth images from 1990, 2003 and 2013 the margin of the glacier in 1990 is in red and from 2003 is in orange. The margin of the glacier from 1990 to 2003 indicates modest recession averaging 25-30 m along the glacier front. This is part of the 9.3 % area loss noted by the USGS. In 2013 there is too much snowcover to identify the glacier boundary, glacier ice is exposed providing a minimum extent at the green dots. A comparison of 1990, 2005 and 2009 images, the latter from John Scurlock indicates the two primary terminus lobes. From 1990 to 2005 the southern lobe retreated 45 m and the northern lobe 25-30 m. There is not a significant change in either lobe from 2005 to 2009. The 2003, 2005 and 2009 imagery does indicate a low percentage of retained snowcover. This is the accumulation area ratio. Persistent low values indicate a glacier that cannot survive. In the case of Rainbow Glacier the accumulation area ratio is sufficient in most years to limit volume losses. In 2015 low snowpack exposed the terminus area,by late August the glacier still had 40% snowcover, indicating a negative mass balance, but not excessively negative. Glacier area updated to 2015 using the Landsat image the area is now between 1.00 and 1.10 square kilometers an approximately 20% area loss in 50 years. It is evident that this is the only late summer area of snow-ice in the watershed and is particularly crucial to the water budget in late summer and early fall. The slow retreat of the glacier is good for the bull trout in the watershed, Rieman et al (2007) indicated the sensitivity of the trout to stream temperatures. Glacier both increase flow and reduce stream temperature late in the summer. This is one glacier in the park that will not disappear by 2030 as has been often forecast. It will join Harrison Glacier in this category, while other glaciers in GNP continue to disappear.

1990 Google Earth image with two main terminus lobes indicated by red arrows.

2005 Google Earth image of Rainbow Glacier.

2009 John Scurlock image of Rainbow Glacier.

McBride Glacier Increased Retreat and Harbor Seals, Glacier Bay, Alaska

On July 4, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn alaska glacier retreat1 Comment

McBride Glacier (M), its secondary terminus (Ms), MCbride Inelt (MI) and Riggs Glacier (R) in Landsat image comparison from 1985 and 2015. The red arrows indicate the 1985 terminus location and the yellow arrows the 2015 terminus location. Main terminus 4.4 km retreat, secondary terminus 2.7 km retreat.

McBride Glacier was part of the Muir Glacier complex in Glacier Bay, Alaska, until the 1960’s when it separated from Muir and adjacent Riggs Glacier. Riggs Glacier and Muir Glacier are no longer calving tidewater glaciers, while McBride has continues to terminate in a tidewater inlet. Riggs Glacier’s retreat from the sea was complete by 2009.The continued rapid retreat of McBride Glacier is enhanced by calving. Calving generates icebergs, the number of icebergs has had a direct relationship with number of harbor seals. The number of harbor seals observed has declined substantially in Glacier Bay since 1993 (Glacier Bay NPS). In particular the population has declined in front of Muir Glacier which no longer calves, while a smaller population has remained in front of McBride Glacier (Womble et al, 2010). Here we examine Landsat imagery from 1985 to 2015 to quantify the retreat and estimate how long until this glacier too will no longer calve.

Inn 1985 the main glacier terminated 1.3 km from Muir Inlet, with a narrow connecting stream to Muir Inlet. The secondary terminus extended west down a separate valley, 3.75 km from the main glacier nearly reached the Riggs Glacier. The snowline was at 900 m. By 1996 the main terminus had retreated 1.1 km, and the connection with Muir Inlet had expanded to 200 m. The secondary terminus had narrowed but still nearly reached Riggs Glacier. There are two tributaries from the east at purple arrows connected to main glacier. By 2013 the glacier has retreated an additional 2.0 km and reached a northward turn in the inlet, The secondary terminus had mostly disappeared extending only 1.25 km from the main glacier. The eastern tributaries, purple arrows, had both retreated and detached from main glacier. By 2015 the glacier had retreated 4.4 km since 1985 including 1.3 km since 2013. The glacier now terminates at the head of a 6 km long inlet. The glacier is still actively calving, which is good for the harbor seals. However, a small icefall 0.8-1.1 km from the current terminus indicates a possible location for the end of the tidewater portion of this valley, note orange arrow in Google Earth image below. The retreat of the secondary terminus has been 2.7 km during this same period, without any calving. In 2013 and 2015 the snow line was above 1000 m, which as on nearby Brady Glacier is well above the equilibrium average which will continue to drive retreat Pelto et al, 2013). In 2016 southeast Alaska has had its hottest spring, which will continue this chapter.

Counting harbor seals is a task completed by the Glacier Bay NPS, they follow two populations the larger in John Hopkins Inlet off of Glacier Bay and the other in Glacier Bay proper. Both have declined by over 80% since 1992. In 2009 there were 200 harbor seals in McBride inlet Glacier Bay NPS. Glaciers are part of the local ecosystem where they exist, glacier changes do result in broader ecosystem changes, in this case harbor seals is one monitored example. The NPS prepares annual reports on glacier change in the region and notes widespread thinning in the region since 1995 and a 15% decline in glacier area in the last half century Loso et al (2014). The team of N.Loso, A.Arendt, C Larsen, N.Murphy and J.Rich have produced annual reports in recent years with valuable detail on changes of glaciers across Alaskan National Parks.

1996 Landsat image indicating terminus positions from 1985, read arrow and 2015 yellow arrow. The purple arrow indicates tributaries attached to main glacier.

2013 Landsat image indicating terminus positions from 1985, read arrow and 2015 yellow arrow. The purple arrow indicates tributaries detached from main glacier.

2014 Google Earth image indicating the icefall in relation to 2014 terminus. The icefall has increased calving and a 100 m increase in elevation. This is certainly a location where the valley bottom rises, and may be the end of the tidewater reach of the inlet.

Suatisi Glacier Retreat, Mount Kazbek, Georgia

On June 27, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn Caucasus Glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

Comparison of Suatisi Vost (SV) and Suatisi Sredny (SS) in 1986 and 2015 Landsat images. The red arrow is the 1986 terminus and the yellow arrows the 2015 terminus. Point A and B are to areas of expanding bedrock amidst the glacier.

Suatisi Vost and Suatisi Sredny Glacier are two glaciers on the south flank of Mount Kazbek in northern Georgia. The region is prone to landslides and debris flows. On September 20, 2002 a collapse of a hanging glacier from the slope of Mt Dzhimarai-Khokh onto the Kolka glacier triggered an avalanche of ice and debris that went over the Maili Glacier terminus then slid over 15 miles (NASA Earth Observatory, 2002). It buried small villages in the Russian Republic of North Ossetia, killing dozens of people. The glacier runoff from Suatisi Glacier supplies the Terek River, which has a hydropower project under construction. The Dariali Hydroplant will have an installed capacity of 108 MW and is a run of river type plant near Stepantsminda, Georgia. This plant has suffered from two landslides in 2014 (Glacier Hub, 2014) that jeopardize its completion.

Shagadenova et al (2014) examined glaciers in the Caucasus mountains and found that from 1999/2001 and 2010/2012 total glacier area decreased by 4.7%. They also noted that recession rates of valley glacier termini increased between 1987– 2000 and 2001–2010, with the latter period featuring retreats averaging over 10 m/year. A positive trend in summer temperatures forced glacier recession (Shagadenova et al 2014). Here we examine changes in Suatisi Glacier from 1986 to 2015 with Landsat imagery.

In 1986 Suatisi Vost western side terminates at the top of deep canyon, red arrow. The eastern side of the terminus is on a flatter till plain. The area around Point B is all glacier ice. Suastisi Sredny terminates near the end of the valley it occupies in 1986. In the 2001 image a large debris flow/landslide has covered the eastern margin of Suatisi Vost surrounding the area of Point B, black arrow in 2001 image below. By 2010 the Google Earth image indicates significant retreat of Suatisi Vost and the debris flow below point B is a light gray color. The bedrock at Point B has expanded. By 2015 Suatisi Vost terminus has retreated 350 m since 1986, what is just as evident is the loss in width of the terminus in the 1986-2015 side by side comparison. Suatisi Sredny has retreated 450 m. The snowline is at an elevation of 3750-3800 m in 1986, 2010 and 2015. With the terminus at 3250 m and the highest elevation at 3950-4000 m, this is too high to sustain the glacier at its current size and retreat will continue. The debris cover has reached the terminus on the east side of the glacier by 2015. The changes are the same across the border in Russia, for example Lednik Midagrabin.

2010 Google Earth image of Suatisi Vost and Suatisi Sredny.

2001 Landsat image indicating the landslide covering surface of Suatisi Vost.

2015 Landsat image indicates Landslide deposit evolution, with movement downglacier and retreat, it is now close to the ice front on the east side of the margin.

Chutanjima Glacier Retreat & High Snowline, Tibet, China 1991-2015

On June 21, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn china glacier retreat, climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

A comparison of three Tibet glaciers in 1988, 1991 and 2015 Landsat images. Red arrows are the 1988 terminus position, yellow arrow the 2015 terminus location and purple dots the snowline in late October 2015. U=unnamed, CH=Chutanjima Glacier and MO=Mogunong Glacier: which did not retreat significantly and lacks a red arrow.

A recent European Space Agency Sentinel-2A image of southern Tibet, China and Sikkim illustrated three very similar glaciers extending north from the Himalayan divide on the China-India Border. We examine these three glacier in this post. The three glaciers all drain into the Pumqu River basin, which becomes the Arun River. The largest is unnamed the two easternmost are Chutanjima and Mogunong Glacier.The glaciers all have similar top elevations of 6100 -6200 m and terminus elevations of 5260-5280 m. All three are summer accumulation type glaciers with most of the snow accumulating during the summer monsoon, though this is also the dominant melt period on the lower glacier. Wang et al (2015) examined moraine dammed glacier lakes in Tibet and those that posed a hazard, none of the three here were identified as hazardous. The number of glacier lakes in the Pumqu Basin has increased from 199 to 254 since the 1970’s with less than 10% deemed dangerous, but that still leaves a substantial and growing number (Che et al, 2014). Here we compare Landsat images from 1988, 1992 and 2015 to identify their response to climate change. The second Chinese Glacier inventory (Wei et al. 2014) indicated a 21% loss in glacier area in this region from 1970 to 2009.The pattern of retreat and lake expansion is quite common as is evidenced by other area glaciers, such as Gelhaipuco, Thong Wuk, Baillang Glacier and Longbashaba Glacier.

In the 1988 image all three glaciers terminate at the southern end of a proglacial lake with seasonal lake ice cover, red arrows. In 1991 the lakes are ice free and have some icebergs in them. By 2015 the retreat has been 500 m for the easternmost glacier, 400 m for Chutanjima Glacier and 100 m at most for Mogunong Glacier. Each glacier has remained extensively crevassed to the terminus indicating they remain vigorous. The retreat is greatest for the two ending in expanding lakes. Mogunong Glacier appears to be near the upper limit of the lake, and is not calving, which likely led to less retreat. An icefall is apparent 700 m from the front of Mogunong Glacier. The width of the glacier below this point has diminished considerably from 1988 to 2015, though retreat has been minor, indicating a negative mass balance. There is an icefall 1 km from the icefront of Chutanjima, indicating the maximum length the lake would reach.

The Sentinel image indicates an important characteristic and trend in the region. This is an early February image and the snowline is quite high on the glacier in the midst of winter. The snowline is at 5850-5900 m nearly the same elevation as in late October of 2015 seen above. This illustrates the lack of winter accumulation that occurs on these summer accumulation glaciers. It also indicates a trend toward ablation processes remaining active, though limited from November-February. The lack of snowcover on the lower glaciers as the melt season begins hastens ablation zone thinning, mass balance loss and retreat.

Europenan Space Agency, Sentinel-2A image from 1 February 2016. Orange arrow indicates icefalls and purple dots the snowline.

2014 Google Earth image of the region. Orange arrows indicate icefalls, note the crevassing extending to glacier front.

Brady Glacier, Alaska 2016 Early Melt Season & Lake Expansion

On June 17, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn alaska glacier retreat, climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change

Comparison of Brady Glacier in 1986 and 2016 Landsat images. The snowline is similar in May 2016 and August 1986. Lakes noted are: A=Abyss, B=Bearhole, D=Dixon, N=North Deception, O=Oscar, Sd=South Dixon, Sp=Spur, T=Trick.

Brady Glacier, is a large Alaskan tidewater glacier, in the Glacier Bay region that is beginning a period of substantial retreat Pelto et al (2013). In 2016 the melt season has been intense for the Brady Glacier in Alaska. Pelto et al (2013) noted that the end of season observed transient snowline averaged 725 m from 2003-2011, well above the 600 m that represents the equilibrium snowline elevation. On May 20, 2016 the transient snowline (TSL) is at 500 m. Typically the TSL reaches 500 m in early July: 7/13/2004=530; 7/8/2005=550, 7/3/2006=500, 7/22/2007=520, 7/3/2009=500; 7/10/2013=500. The high early season snowline is indicative of an early opening and filling of the many proglacial lakes that secondary termini of the glacier end in. The lakes Trick, North Deception, Dixon, Bearhole, Spur, Oscar, and Abyss continue to evolve. In addition two new lakes have developed. The changes are evident in a comparsion of 1986 and 2016 Landsat images. The TSL on May 20/2016 is remarkably similar to the August 20, 1986 TSL.

2010 Landsat image of the glacier indicating the 1948 margin in Orange and the 2016 margin in yellow. Lakes noted are: A=Abyss, B=Bearhole, D=Dixon, N=North Deception, O=Oscar, S=Spur, T=Trick.

There is a consistent pattern in the change in position of the glacier margin at each of the lakes between 1948 and 2010. The rate of retreat of the glacier margin at all seven lakes accelerated later during this period; the mean retreat rate is 13 m/a from 1948 to 2004 and 42 m/a from 2004 to 2010 (Pelto et al, 2013). Lake area and calving fronts were measured for each lake: Spur, Abyss, North Deception, Bearhole, Oscar, and East Trick based on the September 2010 imagery, with earlier measurements from Capps et al. (2010). Lake areas have increased as a result of glacier retreat, and can decrease due to declines in surface water levels as previously ice-dammed conduits form to drain the lake. Lake water levels have fallen in Abyss, Bearhole, Dixon, North Deception, Spur, and Trick since 1948 Capps et al (2010). Only Oscar Lake, the most recent to form, has maintained its surface level. Retreat of the glacier margin has been greatest at Bearhole, North Deception Lake, and Oscar Lake, which as a consequence have expanded substantially in area. Lake water level declines at Abyss, Spur, and Trick have offset the increase in area resulting from glacier retreat, leading to small changes in lake area. The seven lakes have changed dramatically in response to this acceleration in retreat.

Trick Lakes: In 1986 North and South Trick Lake are proglacial lakes in contact with the glacier. By 2016 the two lakes are no longer in contact with the glacier, water levels have fallen and a third lake East Trick Lake has formed. The more recently developed East Trick Lake is the current proglacial Trick Lake, a large glacier river exits this lake and parallels the glacier to the main Brady Glacier terminus, going beneath the glacier for only several hundred meters.

2014 Google Earth image of Trick Lakes, and the glacier river exiting to the main terminus, purple arrows.

North Deception Lake had a limited area in 1986 with no location more than 500 m long. By 2016 retreat has expanded the lake to a length over 2 km. The width of the glacier margin at North Deception Lake will not change in the short term, but the valley widens 2 km back from the current calving front, thus the lake may grow considerably in the future.

South Dixon Lake This new lake does not have an official name. It did not exist in 1986, 2004, 2007 or 2010. It is nearly circular today and 400 m in diameter.

Dixon Lake: It is likely that retreat toward the main valley of the Brady Glacier will lead to increased water depths at Dixon Lake, observations of depth of this lake do not exist. Retreat from 1986 to 2016 has been 600 m.

Bearhole LakeBearhole Lake is expanding up valley with glacier retreat, and there are no significant changes in the width of the valley that would suggest a significant increase in calving width could occur in the near future. Currently the lake is 75 m deep at the calving front and there has been a 1400 m retreat since 1986 Capps et. al. (2013).

Spur Lake:It is likely that retreat toward the main valley of the Brady Glacier will lead to increased water depths at Spur Lake. the depth has fallen as the surface level fell from 1986-2016 as the margin retreated 600 m, leaving a trimline evident in the 2016 imagery.

Oscar Lake has experienced rapid growth with the collapse of the terminus tongue. Depth measurements indicate much of the calving front which has increased by an order of magnitude since 1986 is over 100 m. The tongue as seen in 2014 Google Earth image will continue to collapse and water depth should increase as well. The central narrow tongue has retreated less than 200 m since 1986, but the majority of the glacier front has retreated more than 1 km since 1986.

Google Earth image of Oscar Lake, illustrating the number of large icebergs of this ongoing terminus collapse.

Abyss Lake: Continued retreat will lead to calving width expansion> The retreat from 1986 to 2016 has been 400 m. The water depth has been above 150 m at the calving front for sometime and should remain high.

Glacier thinning and retreat near the lakes dammed by Brady Glacier have led to changes in the widths of calving fronts between. The combined increase in the width of the six secondary calving fronts is 34% from 1948 to 2004, and 15% from 2004 to 2010 (Pelto et al, 2013) With the inclusion of South Dixon Lake and continued expansion of Dixon and Oscar Lake the calving width has continued to increase up to 2016. Calving widths at Bearhole Lake, Spur Lake, and Trick Lake will not change appreciably. Spur Lake and Trick Lake parallel the margin of the glacier, and although this margin will likely continue to recede, the length of the depression filled by the two lakes probably will not change.

Water depth is an important factor affecting the calving rate of glaciers in lacustrine environments; velocity and calving rate increase with water depth by a factor of 3.6 (Skvarca et al., 2002). Capps et. al. (2013) determined the bathymetry and calving depths of five of the lakes at Brady Glacier. Water depths increase toward the calving fronts at Abyss Lake, Bearhole Lake, Oscar Lake, and Trick Lake; only at North Deception Lake does the water not currently become deeper towards the calving front; however it almost certainly will as the east margin moves into the main Brady Glacier valley. The observations suggest that mean calving depths of proglacial lakes, at least in the short term, will increase with continued retreat. Increases in calving width and depth will lead to increased calving at the secondary termini in the near future (Pelto et al, 2013).

Harris Glacier Retreat, Kenai Fjords, Alaska

On June 14, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn alaska glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, glaciers salmon

Landsat images of Harris Glacier from 1986 and 2015. The red arrow indicates 1986 terminus location, yellow arrow the 2015 terminus position. The orange arrow indicates a key eastern tributary and the pink arrow a smaller eastern tributary.

Harris Glacier flows from the northwest corner of the Harding Icefield, Alaska and it drains into Skilak Lake. The glaciers that drain east toward are in the Kenai Fjords National Park, which has a monitoring program. Giffen et al (2014) observed the retreat of glaciers in the region. From 1950-2005 all 27 glaciers in the Kenai Icefield region examined are retreating. Giffen et al (2014) observed that Harris Glacier (A Glacier) retreated 469 m from from 1986-2005. Here we examine Landsat imagery from 1986-2015 to illustrate the retreat of this glacier and other upglacier changes. The glacier supplies meltwater to Skilak Lake which is a critical salmon habitat for the Kenai. Chinook Salmon spawn on a section of the Kenai River between Kenai Lake and Skilak Lake. With Skilak Lake being the resulting home for ninety percent of the salmon fry for the Kenai River, and with the most of any nursery in the Cook Inlet area. Escapements of chinook in the Kenai River exceed 50,000 annually in two runs (Heard et al 2007).

In 1986 the glacier extended to an elevation of 590 m, on the east side of the glacier there were two smaller tributaries reaching the glacier at the orange and pink arrow. By 2015 the terminus had retreated 600 m from 1986. The eastern tributary at the pink arrow had detached from the main glacier. The tributary at the orange arrow still reaches the main glacier, but the blue ice extent after joining the glacier has diminished significantly. Below is a closeup of the terminus from 1996 and 2015 illustrating a 225 m retreat and associated thinning. It is also interesting to note the prominent ash layer has shifted little. This suggests the terminus area is relatively stagnant. There is no active crevassing in the lower 1 km suggesting retreat will be ongoing. In 1989 the snowline is at 975 m whereas in 2014 the snowline is at 1125 m. This higher snowline is too high to maintain the glacier. The snowline in 2015 was again above 1100 m, though it is lower in the mid-August image at 1050 m. The retreat of this glacier is less than neighboring glaciers such as Grewingk, Pederson and Bear Glacier that have calving termini.

Landsat images from 1989 and 2014, with the snowline indicated by purple dots.

Terminus of Harris Glacier in Google Earth images from 1996 and 2015. Margin with purple dot, purple arrow indicates 1996 terminus lcoation, with a 225 m retreat by 2015. Note the prominent ash layer

Bailang Glacier and Angge Glacier Retreat, China 1995-2015

On June 7, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn china glacier retreat, climate change glacier retreat, Himalaya glacier retreat

Comparison of 1995 and 2015 Landsat image illustrating 1995 (red arrows) and 2015 terminus locations (yellow arrows) of Bailang Glacier (B) and Angge Glacier (A). Purple arrows indicate areas upglacier of expanding bedrock due to glacier thinning. Head of Chubda Glacier (C), Bhutan indicated.

Bailang Glacier and Angge Glacier, China are adjacent to the Chubda Glacier, Bhutan. Despite being in a different nation on a different side of the Himalaya, the behavior is the same. These are both summer accumulation type glaciers that end in proglacial lakes. Both lakes are impounded by broad moraines that show no sign of instability for a potential glacier lake outburst flood. The number of glacier lakes in the adjacent Pumqu Basin to the west has increased from 199 to 254 since the 1970’s with less than 10% deemed dangerous (Che et al, 2014) Here we compare Landsat images from 1995 and 2015 to identify their response to climate change. The second Chinese Glacier inventory (Wei et al. 2014) indicated a 21% loss in glacier area in this region from 1970 to 2009.

Bailang Glacier in 1995 terminated in a proglacial lake that was 2.1 km long at an elevation of ~5170 m, red arrow. Angge Glacier terminated in a lake that was 1 km long at an elevation of ~5020 m. By 2001 both glaciers had experienced minor retreat of less than 250 m. By 2014 both lakes had expanded considerably due to retreat, no significant change in water level had occurred. By 2015 Bailang Glacier had retreated 800-900 m and the lake was now 3 km long. A key tributary on the west side near the yellow arrow had also detached. There is no significant slope change in the lower 1 km of the glacier indicating retreat should continue enhanced by melting in and calving in the proglacial lake. For Angge Glacier retreat from 1995 to 2015 was 700 to 800 m, with the glacier retreating to a westward bend in the lake basin. The glacier has an icefall just above the current terminus suggesting the lake basin will soon end, which should slow retreat. The pattern of retreat and lake expansion is quite common as is evidence by Gelhaipuco, Thong Wuk and Longbashaba Glacier.

2001 Landsat image illustrating 1995 (red arrows) and 2015 terminus locations (yellow arrows) of Bailang Glacier (B) and Angge Glacier (A). Head of Chubda Glacier (C), Bhutan indicated.

2014 Landsat image illustrating 1995 (red arrows) and 2015 terminus locations (yellow arrows) of Bailang Glacier (B) and Angge Glacier (A). Head of Chubda Glacier (C), Bhutan indicated.

Chubda Glacier Retreat, Bhutan 1995-2015

On June 2, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, Himalaya glacier retreat

Chubda Glacier comparison in 1995 and 2015 images. Red arrow indicates 1995 terminus location and yellow arrow is 2015 terminus location. Pink arrows indicate areas upglacier of expanding bedrock. Green arrow indicates moraine areas amidst the lake. The orange arrow indicates a secondary glacier.

Chubda Glacier, Bhutan drains south from Chura Kang on the Bhutan/China border. The glacier terminates in Chubda Tsho, a glacier moraine dammed lake, Komori (2011) notes that the moraine is still stable and the lake is shallow near the moraine, suggesting it is not a threat for a glacier lake outburst flood. Mool et al, (2001) indicate the glacier was 3.4 km long and 0.3 km wide in the late 1990’s. Jain et al., (2015) noted that in the last decade the expansion rate of this lake has doubled. The glacier feeds the Chamkhar Chu basin which has a proposed 670 MW hydropower project under consideration. Here we examine changes in the Chubda Glacier from 1995 to 2015 with Landsat imagery.

In 1995 Chubda Glacier terminated at the red arrow and there was considerable ice cored moraine remaining in the southern portion of Chubda Tsho, green arrow. The glacier is 700 m wide at Point E and has limited exposed bedrock areas just above the snowline above 2100 m, pink arrows. A pair of secondary glacier have a joint terminus at the orange arrow In 2001 there are only minor changes from 1995. In 2014 the snowline is at 2100 m, bedrock areas have expanded at pink arrows, and the amount of lake area at the southern end has expanded as ice cored moraine has melted out. In 2015 the glacier terminus has retreated 600 m since 1995, the lake area has expanded by ~2 square kilometers. In 2015 the southern end of Chubda Tsho remains shallow and the wide moraine dam stable. The snowline is again at 2100 m and the glacier is only 500 m wide at Point E. This indicates a continued decline in glacier flow into the terminus zone, which will lead to continued retreat. The secondary glaciers have now separated significantly, orange arrow. The retreat of this glacier is similar to that of other glaciers such as Lugge and Thorthomia Glacier and just across the range in China, Zhizhai Glacier and Gelhaipuco Glacier.

Google Earth image of Chubda Glacier. Blue arrows indicate flow, brown arrow indicates wide moraine dam, green arrow indicates shallow moraine areas.

Chubda Glacier 2001 Landsat image. Red arrow indicates 1995 terminus location and yellow arrow is 2015 terminus location. Pink arrows indicate areas upglacier of expanding bedrock. Green arrow indicates moraine areas amidst the lake.

Chubda Glacier Landsat image in 2014. Red arrow indicates 1995 terminus location and yellow arrow is 2015 terminus location. Pink arrows indicate areas upglacier of expanding bedrock. Green arrow indicates moraine areas amidst the lake.

Tingmiarmit Glacier Retreat Separates Tributaries, South East Greenland

On May 30, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, Greenland glacier retreat

Tingmiarmit Glacier comparison in 1999 and 2015 Landsat images indicating the separation of tributaries at the terminus. The red arrows indicate the 1999 terminus and the yellow arrows the 2015 terminus location. Point A is peninsula where the tributaries joined, and Point B is a nunatak just upglacier from the 2015 terminus.

Tingmiarmit Glacier (Timmiarmiit also) ends in the Tingmiarmit Kangertivat Fjord in southeast Greenland. The glacier is just south of Heimdal Glacier and is noted by Rignot et al (2012) as having a velocity of 1.4 to 3 km/year. Moon et al (2012) note that most glaciers in SE Greenland experienced a significant velocity increase after 2000. In 1999 the glacier terminus was beyond the junction of two main tributaries, with little variation from 1994. Here we examine 1999-2015 imagery to identify the separation and retreat. The retreat is similar to that of nearby Thrym Glacier, which also had a tributary separation and nearby Puisortoq.

In 1999 the glacier terminates 1 km beyond the junction of the two tributaries, indicated by red arrow on each image. The fjord is 2.2 km wide at this point. The terminus had not changed in 2001 Landsat imagery. By 2010 terminus is now located at the junction of the two glaciers. which still share a single calving front, though the calving front is longer with northern and western facing section. In 2015 retreat has led to complete separation of the western and northern tributary. The western tributary is the main glacier and has retreated 2.4 km and the northern tributary has retreated 2.2 km in the sixteen year period. The retreat of the northern tributary has been slower since 2010. The western tributary now terminates 1.5 km from former junction.The fjord is expanding in width, which suggests the current terminus is not at a stable location. The nunatak marked B is a potential point of stability but not likely as the main arm of the glacier goes south of this location and then the fjord continues to expand. Moon and Joughin (2008) observed an ice sheet tidewater glacier retreat rate increase from 2000-2006, coinciding with an increase here. Howat and Eddy (2010) noted a mean change for this region of -107 m per year. Tingmiarmit Glacier’s rate of retreat was slightly higher at 120 m/year for the 1999-2010 period and . Polar Portal continues to expand the number of glaciers with updated terminus positions from satellite imagery with 20 presently.

Mountain Photographer Jack Brauer captured an excellent image of the terminus area in late August, particularly given it was out a commercial airliner window. This image illustrates the steeper slopes and much smaller contribution of the tributaries to the right (east) of Point A and B. The image also indicates that Point B is likely not a significant pinning point to stabilize the terminus. The map below from the Greenland Geological Data viewer indicates the change with the tributaries now disconnected.

Image from Jack Brauer, looking northwest toward Tingmiarmit.

Greenland Geological Data, from the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland.

2001 Landsat image

2010 Landsat image, purple dots indicate ice front.

Eagle Glacier, Alaska Retreat Losing a Wing

On May 27, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn alaska glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

Above is a paired Landsat image from 1984 left and 2013 right indicating the 1100 m retreat during this period of Eagle Glacier.

My first visit to the Eagle Glacier was in 1982 with the, ongoing and important, Juneau Icefield Research Program, that summer I just skied on the glacier. In 1984 we put a test pit at 5000 feet near the crest of the Eagle Glacier to assess the snowpack depth. This was in late July and the snowpack depth both years was 4.3 meters, checking this depth in nearby crevasses yielded a range from 4-4.5 meters.In 1984 the snowline at the end of the summer melt season in early September was at 1050 meters.The equilibrium line altitude (ELA) which marks the boundary between the accumulation and the ablation zone each year. On Eagle Glacier to be in equilibrium the glacier needs to have an ELA of 1025 meters. In the image below the glacier is outlined in green, the snowpit location is indicated by a star and the snowline that is needed for the glacier to be in equilibrium at 1025 meters is indicated. The number of years where the ELA is well above 1050 meters dominate since 2002, all but two years see chart below, leading to mass loss, thinning and glacier retreat. This follows the pattern of Lemon Creek Glacier that is monitored directly for mass balance, which has lost 26 meters of thickness on average since 1953.The more rapid retreat follows the pattern of more negative balances experienced by the glaciers of the Juneau Icefield (Pelto et al. 2013). The high snowlines have left the western most tributary with no retained snowpack in 2013, 2014 and 2015, yellow arrow in the 2014 and 2015 Landsat image. This will lead to the rapid downwasting of this tributary.

Eagle Glacier has experienced a significant and sustained retreat since 1948 when it terminated near the northern end of a small lake. By 1982 when I first saw the glacier and when it was mapped again by the USGS the glacier had retreated to the north end of a second and new1 kilometer long lake. In the image below the red line is the 1948 terminus, magenta line the 1982 terminus, green line 2005 terminus and orange line the 2011 terminus. From 1984 to the 2005 image the glacier retreated 550 meters, 25 meters/year. From 2005-2015 retreat increased to 60 meters/year. Going back to the 1948 map the terminus in 2011 is located where the ice was 150-175 m thick in 1948. The high snowlines in 2014 and 2015 along with extended melt season continued the rapid retreat. Total retreat from 1984-2015 is now 1200 m. The retreat hear is less rapid than on nearby Gilkey Glacier or Antler Glacier, but the upglacier downwasting is more severe than at Gilkey Glacier.