Kiwa Glacier Retreat, British Columbia 1986-2015

Kiwa Glacier retreat from 1986 to 2015 in Landsat images. Red arrow is 1986 terminus and yellow arrow 2015 terminus location. Purple arrow indicates upglacier thinning where more bedrock is exposed. Purple dots indicate the transient snowline

Kiwa Glacier is the longest glacier, at 9 km, in the Cariboo Mountains of British Columbia. The glacier drains northwest from Mount Sir Wilfred Laurier and is near the headwaters of the Fraser River, where it terminates in an expanding lake at 1465 m. Here we examine glacier change from 1986 to 2015. In 1986 the glacier terminated in the 700-800 m long proglacial lake. The glacier has two significant icefalls above the terminus at 2300 m and 1800 m. The lower icefall generating a series of ogives that are generated annually due to seasonal velocity fluctuations. The ogives indicate the glacier velocity below this icefall. There are 20 ogives in the span of approximately 1 km indicating a velocity of 50 m/year. In 2015 the glacier still terminates in the proglacial lake that is now 1400-1500 m long indicating a retreat of 700 m in the thirty years from 1986-2015. The lower 300 m of the glacier is nearly flat suggesting the lake will extend at least that far, note 2010 image from Reiner Thoni, Canadian Mountaineer. This is also the extent that will be lost relatively quickly via iceberg calving and continued surface melt. Above this point flow remains vigorous and retreat could diminish. Upglacier thinning has expanded bedrock areas even separating sections of the glacier, purple arrows. The transient snowline in mid-August in the Landsat images is at 2550 m. Driving through the area last week, the snowline is at 1000 m, quite high for mid-March.

Beedle et al (2015) note that glaciers in the Cariboo Mountains were close to equilibrium from 1952 to 1985 : 9 glaciers advanced, 12 receded, and 11 did not change. After 1985 they noted that all glacier retreated in the Cariboo Mountains. The response time of the glaciers to climate change is the main cause for the differing response of individual glaciers in the region as has been noted in other Pacific Northwest regions (Pelto and Hedlund, 2001 & Tennant et al, 2012). Response times are faster for glaciers with steeper slopes, higher velocity/length ratios and a higher ratio of accumulation-ablation/ ice thickness. The decline of glaciers, warm weather and reduced snowpack combined in 2015 to place a stress of Fraser River salmon due to lower discharge and higher temperature. This could be an issue in 2016 as well.

Kiwa Glacier in 2004 Google Earth image

2010 Image from Reiner Thoni. Well defined trimlines above the lake. Note flat lower section of the glacier.

Alpine Glacier Mass Balance in 2015: Competes for Record Loss

On March 17, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations1 Comment

Painting from Jill Pelto illustrating the Climate Change Data using multiple quantities: the annual decrease in global glacier mass balance, global sea level rise, and global temperature increase. The numbers on the left y-axis depict quantities of glacial melt and sea level rise, and the suns across the horizon contain numbers that represent the global increase in temperature, coinciding with the timeline on the lower x-axis.

The World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) record of mass balance and terminus behavior provides a global index for alpine glacier behavior. The WGMS data set for terminus change contains 42 000 observations from 2000 glaciers extending from the mid-19th century. Annual mass balance is the annual change in volume due to snow and ice accumulation and snow and ice losses. Here, mass balance is reported in mm of water equivalent. The following analysis is something I work on annually as the United States Representative to the WGMS, putting the alpine glacier mass balance of the globe in perspective. Preliminary data for 2015 from 16 nations with more than one reporting glacier from Argentina, Austria, Canada, Chile, Italy, Kyrgyzstan, Norway, Switzerland, and United States indicate that 2015 will be the 36^th consecutive year of negative annual balances with a mean loss of −-1162 mm for 27 reporting reference glaciers and −1481 mm for 62 of all reporting glaciers (WGMS 2016). The number of reporting reference glaciers is 90% of the total whereas only 50% of all glaciers that will report have reported to date. When all data are available the 2015 mass balance will likely be comparable to 2003 the most negative year at −1268 mm for reference glaciers and −1198 mm for all glaciers.

The cumulative mass balance loss from 1980–2015 is 18.8 m, the equivalent of cutting a 20.5 m thick slice off the top of the average glacier. The trend is remarkably consistent from region to region (WGMS 2015). The decadal mean annual mass balance was −261 mm in the 1980s, −386 mm in the 1990s, -−727 mm for 2000s and −818 mm from 2010–15. The declining mass balance trend during a period of retreat indicates alpine glaciers are not approaching equilibrium and retreat will continue to be the dominant terminus response (Zemp et al. 2015). The recent rapid retreat and prolonged negative balances has led to many glaciers disappearing and others fragmenting (Pelto 2010; Carturan et al. 2013).

Annual glacier mass balance record of reference glaciers reporting to the WGMS.

In South America seven glaciers in Columbia, Argentina, and Chile reported mass balance. All seven glaciers had losses greater than −1200 mm, with a mean of −2200 mm. These Andean glaciers span 58°of latitude.

In the European Alps, mass balance has been reported for 14 glaciers from Austria, France, Italy, Spain and Switzerland. All 15 had negative balances exceeding −1000 mm, with a mean of −1860 mm. This is an exceptionally negative mass balance rivaling 2003 when average losses exceeded −2000 mm.

In Norway mass balance was reported for seven glaciers in 2015, all seven were positive with a mean of 860 mm. This is the only region that had a positive balance for the year. In Svalbard six glaciers reported mass balances, with all six having a negative mass balance averaging −675 mm.

In North America Alberta, British Columbia, Washington, and Alaska mass balance data from 17 glaciers was reported with a mean loss of −2590 mm, with all 17 being negative. This is the largest negative mass balance for the region during the period of record. From Alaska south through British Columbia to Washington the accumulation season temperature was exceptional with the mean for November–April being the highest observed.

In the high mountains of central Asia seven glaciers from China, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan reported data, all were negative with a mean of –705 mm.

Columbia Glacier, Washington in 2015 during our mass balance observations from the terminus and head of the glacier indicating the lack of snow cover retained and extensive melting,

Volta Glacier New Zealand Losing Lower Volta section

On March 14, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn New Zealand glacier

Comparison of Volta Glacier in 2001 and 2016. Yellow arrow is the 2016 terminus position and the red arrow the NZ topo map terminus location. Purple arrows indicate upglacier thinning and orange arrows regions of avalanching onto the lower Volta Glacier.

Volta Glacier drains northeast from Mount Aspiring entering the Waiatoto River. This region is 60 km south of the main region of glaciers around Mount Cook. The glacier is divided into two segments the upper Volta flowing west from Tantalus Rock at 2100 m to an icefall extending from 1600 m to 1400 m where the Lower Volta Glacier begins. The Lower Volta is also fed by steep glaciers that avalanche material onto the lower Volta Glacier from the south. In the New Zealand Topo Map the lower Volta flows down an additional icefall to 1050 m. The glacier has been noted as part of the pattern of the larger glaciers undergoing substantial retreat in New Zealand by NIWA (2007). The volume loss of New Zealand glaciers is reported as 36% from 1978 to 2015, from 54 cubic km to 34 cubic km. In 2015 the average snowline was approximately 40 m higher than average leading to mass losses overall (NIWA, 2015)

In 2001 the Lower Volta Glacier still descended through the icefall to the terminus lobe at 1050 m. By 2010 the glacier terminated at the top of this icefall near 1200 m. A 2012 Google Earth image indicates this position. It is also evident that icefall connecting the upper and lower Volta has narrowed and flow has been reduced. The heavily debris covered lower Volta in the 2012 image is clearly wasting away. The 2016 Landsat image indicates continued downwasting of lower Volta Glacier. The glacier has retreated 1600 m from the map position. Thinning of the upper Volta continues, purple arrows including the icefall is much narrower and bedrock areas are expanding in the region above the icefall. The upper Volta continues to retain significant snow covered areas throughout the years while the lower Volta does not. As the lower Volta Glacier continues downwasting rapidly the upper Volta downwasting is much slower. The glacier has experienced significant retreat just like other New Zealand glaciers: Murchison, Mueller and Tasman.

New Zealand Topographic Map indicating flow of upper and lower Volta Glacier, blue arrows. Red arrow is the terminus location for the map and yellow arrow the 2016 terminus location.

Google Earth image in 2012 of the lower Volta Glacier and the icefall connection. The terminus diverges to the yellow arrows left and right.

View across lower Volta Glacier to the southwest, from Mountain Recreation News

Lago Onelli, Argentina trio of Glaciers Retreat and Separate

On March 10, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn argentina glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

Onelli Glacier (O), Belados Glacier (B) and Agassiz Glacier (A) compared in Landsat images from 1985 to 2016. The red arrow indicates the 1985 terminus location and yellow arrow is the 2016 terminus location.

The Onelli Glacier drains eastward from the South Patagonia Icefield (SPI) into Lago Onelli (LO), which then connects to Lago Argentino. Lago Onelli has three main glaciers terminating in the lake Agassiz (A), Onelli(O) and Bolados Glacier (B). Onelli glacier is noted as 13 km long with an area of 84 square kilometers by the Labratorio de Glaciologia in Chile . Davies et al (2012) noted that the most rapid period of retreat since 1890 for Bolado and Onelli Glacier was from 1986-2001. Warren and Sugden (1993) note an 1800 meter retreat from 1945-1992 for Onelli Glacier and 850 meters for Agassiz Glacier. Eric Shipton was the first to visit this glacier and did so in the company of Ohio State glaciologist John Mercer in 1958. They found Lago Onelli so filled with icebergs that little water could be seen (Shipton, Land of Tempest, 1963). Agassiz and Onelli Glacier were observed to have a shared terminus in 1958 much like Onelli Glacier and Belados Glacier in 1985.

A comparison of Landsat satellite images indicate the separation and retreat of Bolados (B) and Onelli Glacier (O) from 1985-2016. In 1985 the joint terminus cuts directly across Lago Onelli as one reasonably straight 1.6 km wide calving front just short of connecting with Agassiz Glacier. By 2004 the glacier had retreated 3000 m and Belados and Onelli were barely touching.The combined termini width was 1.8 km. By 2010 the glaciers were separated by 1300 meters. By 2016 Belados Glacier has retreated 3500 m from 1985-2016 and Onelli Glacier has retreated 3800 m. The glaciers in 2016 are separated from each other by 1800 m. The ELA in the satellite images from recent years has been 1300 meters. Agassiz Glacier has retreated 400 m during the 1985-2016 period. The glacier is grounded on three islands that acts as pinning points, reducing calving losses and the retreat rate.

Willis et al (2012) examined the mass change of the 12,100 km² SPI from 2000-2012: in the accumulation zone the average thickness change of −1.1 ± 0.1 m/year, for the ablation zone the average thickness change is −3.5 ± 0.02 m/year. This widespread loss even in the accumulation zone indicates that retreat will continue. A comparison of Landsat images from 1998 to 2013 indicates upglacier thinning at the purple arrows. Schaefer et al (2015) noted that the mass loss of SPI has been largely from increased calving losses. Mouginot and Rignot (2015) observed that Onelli Glacier does not have a high velocity reach extending beyond the immediate terminus zone, unlike major outlet glaciers of the SPI.

Google Earth image of Onelli Glacier and Belados Glacier in 2004 above and 2015 below. Orange arrow indicates the 2004 terminus location.

Landsat images from 1998 and 2013 indicating specific areas of upglacier thinning at the purple arrows.

Coronation Island Glacier Retreat, South Orkney Islands

On March 7, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn Antarctic Glacier retreat, glacier climate change2 Comments

Lewis Glacier (S) and Sunshine Glacier (S) on Coronation Island in 1990 and 2015. Red arrow is 1990 terminus location and yellow arrow the 2015 terminus location.

Sunshine and Lewis Glacier are tidewater glaciers on the south side of Coronation Island in the South Orkney Islands. This is an area of excessive cloud cover leading to few available satellite images illustrating glacier change. A map of the glaciers from the British Antarctic Survey indicates they had nearly filled the embayments. The BAS maintains a research base on Signy Island (SG) that faces directly across the Orwell Bight to Sunshine Glacier. Coronation Island is extremely windy with the prevailing westerly wind averaging about 14 knots, at Signy Station with gales recorded on about 60 days each year. The Signy Station research focuses mainly on marine mammals and birds, with elephant seals, chinstrap, Adelie and gentoo penguins being most common.

Map of Coronation Island indicating Lewis Glacier (L), Sunshine Glacier (S) and the BAS Signy research station (SG)

View across Orwell Bight from Signy Island to Sunshine Glacier with the BAS Research vessel James Clark Ross in view during November 2015. (From BAS)

In 1990 Lewis Glacier had an east-west calving front extending from the last prominent east-west oriented ridge on the west side of the glacier. Sunshine Glacier extended well beyond the end of prominent ridge on the west edge of the glacier. By 2005 in the Google Earth image below Lewis Glacier had retreated in the center of the glacier more than on the west end. By 2013 Lewis Glacier had retreated to a second prominent east west trending ridge. Sunshine Glacier had retreated beyond the prominent ridge on the west by 2005. From 2005 to 2013 additional retreat occurred along the east side of Sunshine Glacier. The terminus on the east side of Sunshine Glacier is now adjacent to a series of nunataks comprising a ridge extending east from the glacier. Retreat of Lewis Glacier from 1980 to 2015 averaged 900 m across the 3 km wide calving front. Sunshine Glacier retreated 1100 m from 1990 to 2015 across the 3.5 km wide calving front. Both glaciers have relatively flat regions within one kilometer of the calving front which are prone to continued calving retreat. The glaciers are encased in sea ice much of the year protecting the calving front, but the summer climate is maritime with temperatures typically above freezing and the area relatively ice free. Today the region is also accessed by Oceanwide Expeditions. The retreat is similar to that of nearby on Endurance Glacier on Elephant Island and many retreating glaciers on South Georgia Island. .

Google Earth images from 2005 and 2013 indicating the 1990 (red arrows) and 2015 terminus locations (yellow arrows).

Click to access aca2_spa114.pdf

Jiongla Glacier, China Rapid Retreat 1988-2015

On March 3, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn china glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

Jiongla Glacier retreat right and Jiangyegong Glacier left retreat from 1988 to 2015 in Landsat images. The red arrow is the 1988 terminus and the yellow arrow the 2015 terminus. Jiongla Glacier retreated 3200 m and Jiangyegong Glacier 800 m.

Jiongla Glacier is at the northern boundary of the Brahmaputra River Basin at the east end of the Nyainqentanglha Shan. The glacier drains the western slopes of Koma Kangri Peak and ends in a lake before feeding into the Parlung Zangbo and then Yarlung Tsanpo. his glacier feeds the Parlung Zangbo which is the site of numerous planned hydropower projects, last image, before joining the Yarlung Tsanpo which becomes the Brahmaputra River. The Zangmu Dam went online in 2015, this hydropower facility will produce 2.5 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity a year. In a study by Tobias Bolch et al (2010) in the western Nyainqêntanglha Mountains glacier area decreased by 6% between 1976 and 2001 and continued to shrink from 2001–2009. Li et al (2010) examined glacier change over the last several decades in China and found ubiquitous glacier retreat and commonly lake formation as glaciers retreated. Ninglian and Shichang (2014) in the China National Report on Cryospheric Sciences noted a loss in glacier area of 15 to 17 % in the region. Here we examine satellite imagery from 1988, 2000, 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2015. The red arrow denotes the 1988 terminus and the yellow arrow the 2011 terminus.

In 1988 the lake where Jiongla Glacier ends is at 2 km long. By 2000 the glacier has retreated 1300 meters. In the 2003 terminus closeup that indicates vigorous flow through an icefall, purple arrow, 2 km behind the terminus. This indicates the lake will end before this point and the glacier does not have a substantial stagnant terminus tongue. By 2011 the lake is 4 km long, a 2 km retreat in 20 years. There are icebergs visible in the lake particularly in the 2003, 2009 and 2011 images indicating that this one a key reason for rapid recent retreat. In reviewing the satellite images for the region cloud cover made it difficult to find imagery near the end of the melt season. By 2015 the lake is 5200 m long indicating a 3200 m retreat from 1988-2015. The terminus is now within 500 of the increase in surface slope that suggests the end of the lake, and likely the end of the current rapid retreat. The 2011 image is from near the end of the melt season and indicates a snowline at 5150 m, blue dots, this is too high for equilibrium, with limited glacier area above 5500 m and the terminus at 4000 meters. This suggests that retreat will continue. The retreat here is similar to that of Thong Wuk Glacier and Requiang Glacier.

The neighboring Jiangyegong Glacier has experienced an 800 m retreat from 1988 to 2015. This terminus remains low slopes and heavily debris covered. The debris will slow the retreat, while the low slope indicates the lake can continue to expand enhancing retreat. This also suggests the rate of retreat will soon slow.T

Landsat image 2000 with the yellow arrow indicating the 2011 terminus position and the red arrow the 1988 terminus position.

2003 Google Earth Image

Landsat image 2011 with the yellow arrow indicating the 2011 terminus position and the red arrow the 1988 terminus position.

Hydropower dams completed, under construction and proposed.

Thong Wuk Glacier Terminus Tongue Collapse, China

On March 1, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn china glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

Thong Wuk Glacier comparison in 1988 and 2015 Landsat image. Red arrow is the 1988 terminus location, yellow arrow the 2015 terminus location and orange arrow indicates expanding lake of Yanglang Glacier.

There are two glaciers that drain the north side of Sepu Kangri Peak in the Eastern Nyainqêntanglha Mountains of Tibet in China. Thong Wuk to the east and Yanglang Galcier to the west. Most of the peaks in East Nyainqêntanglha Mountains are unclimbed, Sepu Kangri the highest peak was not climbed until 2002. The Sepu Kangri glaciers drain into the Salween River. In a study by Tobias Bolch et al (2010) in the western Nyainqêntanglha Mountains glacier area decreased by 6% between 1976 and 2001 and continued to shrink during the period 2001–2009. Li et al (2010) examined glacier change over the last several decades in China and found ubiquitous glacier retreat and commonly lake formation as glaciers retreated.

In this case we compare Landsat images from 1988, 2003, 2010 and 2015 and Google Earth images from 2011. In 1988 the lake at the end of the two glaciers are both 500-700 m long. By 2003 there is limited terminus change for the eastern side of the Thong Wuk terminus and the western side of the terminus has retreated 200 meters. By 2010 the terminus tongue is breaking up with many icebergs filling the lake. In 2011 the lake has expanded from a length of 600 meters in 1988 to 1300 meters. A closeup view in Google Earth of the eastern tongue indicates that this narrow tongue is not stable and the lake will lake quickly develop to an area of 1.7 km long and 0.8 km wide. In 2015 the glacier has retreated 1050 m since 1988, and the lake has an area of 2.4 square kilometers. Based on an increase in surface slope 500 m from the current terminus the lake will not expand more than this. This glacier remains heavily crevassed and has a vigorous accumulation zone indicating that it is not in danger of disappearing with current climate. In fact images from the first ascent of Sepu Kangri in 2002 indicate the annual layering in a crevasse, illustrating the considerable accumulation. The formation of lakes at the end of the glaciers as they retreat is quite common, including in the Tibetan glaciers.

Thong Wuk Glacier comparison in 2003 and 2010 Landsat image. Red arrow is the 2003 terminus location and orange arrow indicates expanding lake of Yanglang Glacier.

2011 Google Earth image. Note the heavy crevassing indicating considerable accumulation and flow.

2011 Google Earth image indicatint narrow tongue that has broken up by 2015.

Crevasse with annual layers on upper Thong Wuk Glacier from the Sepu Kangri Expedition in 2002.

Shamrock Glacier, Alaska Loses Terminus Tongue

On February 28, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn alaska glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, glaciers salmon

Shamrock Glacier comparison in 1987 and 2014 Landsat images. Red arrow 1987 terminus, yellow arrow 2014 terminus, purple arrows upglacier thinning and purple dots the snowline. The terminus tongues extending into the lake has been lost.

Shamrock Glacier flows north from the Neacola Mountains into Chakachamna Lake in the Lake Clark National Park of Alaska. This lake is transited by several species of salmon, mainly sockeye, heading into spawning areas upriver. The lake had been the site of a proposed hydropower plant, that would not have required building of a dam, but this project is currently not being developed. The National Park Service completed a Southwest Alaska Network mapping project that identified the changes of glaciers in the region. Lake Clark NP has 1740 glaciers which have lost 12% of their total area from 1950 to 2009 (Loso et al, 2014). Here we examine Landsat imagery from 1987 to 2014 to identify recent change of Shamrock Glacier.

July 2015 image looking across Shamrock Lake to Shamrock Glacier, taken by Jerry Pillarelli, note he has many more gorgeous images of area. The trimline on the far side of the glacier between sediment and vegetation indicates the 1950 margin. There is an elevation step several hundred meters inland of the terminus indicating Shamrock Lake will expand little.

In 1987 Shamrock Glacier had receded from a terminal moraine in Chakachamna Lake that it had terminated on in the 1950’s map. The new proglacial lake was less than 500 m across. The snowline was at 1200 m. In 2000 seen below the snowline was at 1350 m, and the terminus had narrowed more than it had retreated. By 2014 the terminus had retreated 900 m leaving the new Shamrock Lake within Chackachamna Lake. The new Shamrock Lake has an area of 4 square kilometers. This is the majority of the loss in glacier area since 1950 as well. In 2014 the snowline is quite high at 1450 m. A snowline that is consistently above 1300 m will drive continued retreat. Thinning upglacier is evident with expanded bedrock areas adjacent to the glacier margin above 1200 m at the purple arrows, indicating the snowline has been consistently higher than this. The retreat is similar to other glaciers in the region South Sheep Glacier, Sovereign Glacier and Fourpeaked Glacier. With the glacier retreating out of the lake basin soon, the rate of retreat should decline.

2000 Landsat image

2013 Image of Shamrock Glacier, Shamrock Lake and Chakachamna Glacier.

Mammoth Glacier, Wyoming Ongoing Retreat

On February 23, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

At top Landsat images from September 2013, 2014 and 2015 of Mammoth Glacier. The blue arrow indicates retained snowcover. A 2013 images of Mammoth Glacier from Sarah Meiser, note low slope and lack of crevassing above

Mammoth Glacier is in the Wind River Range of Wyoming. The ongoing retreat is leading to a glacier that does not warrant the name mammoth for size, but soon it will for obsolescence.The long and low sloped glacier is the largest west of the Continental Divide in the range. The glacier is at the headwaters of the Green River and Green River Lakes. The glacier had an area of 4 square kilometers in 1952, 2.1 square kilometers in 2007 and 1.8 square kilometers in 2015. The Landsat sequence above from 2013, 2014 and 2015 illustrates the problem, insufficient retained snowcover to approach equilibrium, that is also evident in 2006 shown below. The setting is better illustrated with images from Sarah Meiser who I think has the best collection of recent images of Wind River Glaciers. A glacier like Mammoth with limited avalanching needs more than 50% retained snowcover at the end of the summer (accumulation area ratio) to be in equilibrium. In 2013 with three weeks left in the melt season, the accumulation area ratio (AAR) is slightly below 50%, note Sarah Meisel image below. In 2014 the AAR is 25 % and in 2015 the AAR is 5-8%. These periods of sustained bare ice exposure lead to area loss and thinning. A comparison of Google Earth images illustrate the area loss. In each image the orange line is the 1966 map position, green line 1994 margin, blue line 2006 margin and purple line 2014 margin. The loss in area at the margin is evident as is the loss on the western side between 2006 and 2014. Retreat has been 200 m from 1966 to 1994, 95 m from 1994-2006 and 95 m from 2006 to 2014. Area loss after the poor snowcover in 2015 will continue and the glacier will not long be considered mammoth in size. Pelto (2010) examined glaciers in the Wind River Range and found two-thirds could not survive current climate as they did not have a persistent accumulation zone, including Mammoth Glacier and Sacagawea Glacier. Thompson et al (2011) noted a 38% loss in area of the 44 Wind River Range glaciers from 1966-2006. Maloof et al (2014) noted an even larger drop in volume of 63% of the same glaciers from 1966-2012.

Sarah Meiser image illustrating how close to the top of the glacier the bare ice extends. This fact indicates that all of the firn had been lost, thus the area shown has not been a recent accumulation area.

1994 Google Earth Image

2006 Google Earth Image

2014 Google Earth image

Foss Glacier, WA Needs Snow Queen Elsa’s Help to Survive

On February 19, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn Glacier Observations, North Cascade Glaciers

Comparison of Foss Glacier in 1988 and 2015 from the west ridge of Mount Daniel. The glacier has lost 70% of its area in 30 years. Black arrows indicate bedrock area emerging amidst the glacier.

Foss Glacier is a slope glacier covering the northeast face of Mount Hinman at the head of the South Fork Skykomish River in the North Cascades of Washington. In the 1958 map of the region the glacier covered 0.8square kilometers. By 1984 when we first mapped the glacier margin the glacier had lost little area, and was at 0.7 square kilometers. In 1988 the glacier extended from 2325 m to 1890 m in one continuous swoop. Glacier thickness was in the 30-40 m range. There were few crevasses, and some of the supraglacial streams were particularly long for this region, 600 m is the longest mapped which was more than 50% of the glacier length. By 1992 the glacier was developing some significant bedrock outcrops emerging amidst the glacier. The terminus was retreating and the lower slope terminus lobe below 1950 m was clearly going to detach. Foss Glacier had by the middle of August lost all of its snowcover in 1992, 1993, 1994, 1998, 2003, 2005, 2009, 2014 and 2015. This has led to thinning of the upper reaches of the glacier. Thinning of the upper reaches of a glacier is an indicator of a glacier that cannot survive current climate. The lower section detached from the upper section in 2003 and melted away in 2015. In 2015 the glacier has fragmented into four parts and will continue to melt away. Annual balance measurements indicate a loss of over 18 meters of average ice thickness, which for a glacier that averaged 30-40 m in thickness represents approximately 50% of the volume of the glacier lost. In 2005 the glacier had lost 40% of its total area in 15 years, the terminus area had detached, Point A, and there was no snow retained (Pelto, 2015). This was the third straight year of almost no retained snowcover. A glacier cannot survive without a consistent/persistent accumulation zone, which is where snow is retained. A view of the changing area from the shore of Pea Soup Lake indicates how Foss Glacier in 1996 dominated the slope of Mount Hinman to 2007 when it did not. By 2015 after 30 years of mass balance measurement, the program was discontinued as the glacier had now lost 70% of its area in the previous 30 years. Unless Snow Queen Elsa can put the freeze on during summer, this glacier will not survive long.

The importance here is for late summer streamflow in the Skykomish River. Glacier retreat and changes in summer runoff have been pronounced in the Skykomish River Basin, North Cascades, Washington from 1950-2009 (Pelto, 2011). An analysis comparing USGS streamflow records for the 1950-1985 to the 1985-2009 period indicates that summer streamflow (July-September) has declined 26% in the watershed, spring runoff (April-June) has declined 6%, while winter runoff (November-March) has increased 10%. From 1929-1985 streamflow was less than 14 cubic meters/second during the glacier melt season on a single day in 1951. From 1986-2015 there were, 264 days with discharge below 14 m^3/s^-1 with 11 periods lasting for 10 consecutive days. The minimum mean monthly August discharge from 1928-2015 occurred in 2015, 2003 and 2005 when streamflow was 11.8 m³s^-1, 15.1 m³s^-1 and 15.2 m³s^-1 respectively. Despite 15% higher ablation rates during the 1984-2009 period, the 45% reduction in glacier area led to a 35-38% reduction in glacier runoff between 1958 and 2009 (Pelto, 2011). The glacier runoff decline impacted river discharge only during low flow periods in August and September. In August, 2003 and 2005 glacier ablation contributed 1.5-1.6 m 3 s -1 to total discharge, or 10-11% of August discharge. While declining glacier area in the region has and will lead to reduced glacier runoff and reduced late summer streamflow, it has limited impact on the Skykomish River except during periods of critically low flow, below 14 m3 s -1 when glaciers currently contribute more than 10% of the streamflow.

A 1992 view downglacier illustrating the limited crevassing, surface streams and thin nature of the ice.

Along a surface stream that has endured long enough to develop into a meandering system.

1992 view of Foss Glacier from Mount Daniel

By 2005 the glacier had separated into several segments and lost 30% of its area in the last 15 years. The terminus lobe was now detached. There is also no snow left.

1996 View of Foss Glacier across Pea Soup Lake

2007 View of Foss Glacier across Pea Soup Lake

2015 view of Foss Glacier from Mount Daniel.

San Quintin Glacier, Chile terminus disintegration 1987-2015

On February 15, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn chile glacier melt, chile glacier retreat, climate change glacier retreat2 Comments

Landsat comparison of San Quintin Glacier in 1987 and 2015: red arrow indicates 1987 terminus location, yellow arrow indicates 2015 terminus location of the three main termini, and the purple arrow indicates upglacier thinning.

San Quintin is the largest glacier of the NPI at 790 km² in 2001 (Rivera et al, 2007). The glacier extends 50 km from the ice divide in the center of the ice cap. The peak velocity is 1100 m/year near the ELA (Rivera et al 2007), declining below 350 m/year in the terminus region. The velocity at the terminus has increased from 1987 to 2014 as the glacier has retreated into the proglacial lake (Mouginot and Rignot, 2015). The high velocity zone extends more than 40 km inland an even greater distance than at San Rafael (Mouginot and Rignot, 2015). Thinning rates in the ablation zone of the glacier are 2.3 m/year (Willis et al, 2012). The glacier has a low slope rising 700 m in the first 22 km. The low slope, broad piedmont lobe and many distributary terminus lobes is like the Brady Glacier, Alaska.

Davies and Glasser (2012) note that San Quintin Glacier terminated largely on land until 1991. The glacier has lost 15 % of its area in the last century (Davies and Glasser, 2012). The glacier has a main terminus and many subsidiary termini. In 1987 it is a piedmont lobe with evident minimal marginal proglacial lake development beginning. There is limited lake development at the main southern and northern terminus Point C and B respectively. Harrison et al (2001) observed that in 1993 the glacier terminus was advancing strongly into vegetated ground, while from 1996 to May 2000 the glacier underwent a transition between advance and retreat. The high rates of thinning are leading to the retreat not just of main terminus but the distributary terminus areas extending north and south into lake basins from the main glacier. From 1987 to 2015 the main terminus retreated 2200 m, almost all after 2000, largely through a disintegration of the terminus tongue in a proglacial lake. Extensive rifting of the terminus lobe in 2013 and 2015 is still apparent in imagery below, indicating this rapid area loss is not finished. The main lake, Point A, had an area of 23.8 square kilometers in 2011 (Loriaux and Cassasa, 2013) . The lake at Point B developing on the north side of the glacier, due to a 3500 m retreat, is now over 8 square kilometers. The southern terminus at Point C, has a narrow fringing lake and a retreat of 1100 meters from 1987-2015. The retreat here follows the pattern of Fraenkel Glacier, Acodado Glacier and Steffen Glacier to the south.

Digital Globe image of San Quintin Glacier in 2011.

2013 Google Earth image, with the large rifts indicating glacier weakness noted with blue arrows.

2015 Landsat image, yellow line indicates terminus. Note the tongue is surrounded on three sides by water.

Sierra de Sangra Glacier Retreat, Argentina

On February 9, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn argentina glacier retreat, climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations2 Comments

Comparison of four outlet glaciers of Sierra de Sangra in Argentina in a 1985 and 2015 Landsat image. Read arrow is the 1986 terminus location when all terminated in a lake. By 2015 only one terminates in a lake, yellow arrows.

The Sierra de Sangra Range is located along the Chile-Argentina boundary with the east draining glaciers flowing into the Rio Mayer and then into Lake O’Higgins at Villa O’Higgins. Here we examine four glaciers that in 1986 all ended in lakes and by 2015 only one still terminates in the lake. Davies and Glasser (2012) noted the fastest retreat rate of this icefield during the 1870-2011 period has been from 2001-2011. NASA’s Earth Observatory posted an article on this blog post with better resolution images.

Sierra de Sangra is just east of Villa O’Higgins with the crest of the range on the Chile Argentina border. The four glaciers examined here are indicated by S, SE, E and N.

The South Outlet Galcier (S) has retreated 700 m from 1986 to 2015 and terminated in a lake in 1986. By 2015 it terminates on a steep slope well above the lake. The Southeast Outlet Glacier (SE) terminates in a lake in 1986. By 2015 it has retreated 1200 m to a junction with a tributary from the north. The East Outlet Glacier is the largest glacier and has retreated just 300 m from 1986 to 2015. There is a sharp elevation rise 200 m behind the terminus, which likely marks the end of the lake basin. This is marked by a crevasse zone. The North Outlet Glacier (N) ended in a lake in 1986. By 2015 it has retreated 700 m and ends on a bedrock slope well above the former lake level. All of the glaciers have an accumulation zone in each satellite image examined. This indicates they can survive present climate. The glacier retreat is not as large as Cortaderal Glacier and Glaciar Del Humo.

Google Earth images from 2013 of the terminus of three outlet glaciers above and one below. The red arrow indicates terminus location. Three of the four no longer terminate in a lake.