Where is the snow at Nup La, 5850 m, West Rongbuk Glacier?

On January 26, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, Himalaya glacier retreat

Landsat image from January 4, 2016 indicating the actual Nup La (N). Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

Nup La at 5850 m is on the Nepal-China border and is the divide between the West Rongbuk Glacier and the Ngozumpa Glacier. The pass should be part of the accumulation zone of both glaciers. In recent years including currently this has not been the case, this past Christmas was not a white one at the pass. Our attention is often focused on the more easily viewed terminus of a glacier, and both of these glaciers are retreating. The changes higher on the glacier can have more far reaching implications. Bolch et al (2011) observed strong thinning in the accumulation zone on nearby Khumbu Glacier, though less than the ablation zone . This can only happen with reduced retained snowpack particularly in winter. This has occurred with increasing air temperatures since the 1980’s. Mean annual air temperatures have increased by 0.62 °C per decade over the last 49 years; the greatest warming trend is observed in winter, the smallest in summer (Yang et al., 2011). The glaciers in the area are summer accumulation type glaciers with 70% of the annual precipitation occurring during the summer monsoon. There is little precipitation early in the winter season (November-January). The limited snowpack with warmer winter temperatures have led to high snowlines during the first few months of the winter season in recent years. Here we examine Landsat images from 1992 to 2016 to observe changes in the snowline during the early winter period.

In January of 2016 the snowline is at 6100 m, which is well above Nup La and the divide between West Rongbuk and Ngozumpa Glacier. The green arrows indicate three areas of expanding bedrock exposure occurring over the last 15 years. This indicates thinning in this region of 5700-6000 m, which should typically be the accumulation zone. In December 2015 three works prior to the 2016 image the situation is the same. In November 2014 the snowline is lower at 5750 m. In 1992 the snowline is at 5600 m, and the bedrock areas at the green arrows are reduced from above. In November 2000 the snowline is at 5450 m and in November 2001 it is at 5600 m. In all images prior to 2012 the snowline does not reach the region around Nup La above 5700 m during the early winter period. In recent years the snowline has remained high, above 5700 m, significantly into the winter season almost every year, and in 2015/16 remains high three months into the winter season. This is an indication of an extended period after the summer monsoon, in which not only is snow not accumulating, but ablation can occur mostly via sublimation at elevations of Nup La. The thinning resulting has caused the expansion of bedrock areas at the green arrows and at the pink arrow.

Google Earth image of the region indicating Nup La (N), Wests Rongbuk Glacier (WR), Rongbuk Glacier (R), Ngozumpa Glacier (Ng) and Khumbu Glacier on Mount Everest (K)

December 2015 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N). Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

November 2014 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N). Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

October 1992 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N). Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

November 2000 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N). Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

November 2001 Landsat image indicating the actual Npu La (N). Purples dots is the snowline. Green arrows are expanding bedrock exposures and pink arrow a specific rock know amidst the glacier.

Google Earth image indicating flow paths at Nup La.

What is Up in Disko-Uummannaq Bay Greenland January 9-16, 2016

On January 17, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn Glacier Observations, Greenland glacier retreat5 Comments

@TenneyNaumer contacted Alun Hubbard, Jason Box and I with an astute observation last evening. “But what I am getting at is that in general the temperature anomalies over the region of Jakobshavn have been high in the last few days, and I spotted weird temperatures off the coast via Climate Reanalyzer (which is seriously low resolution). I just checked with the manati satellite (also seriously low resolution), and it seems some sort of event has taken place.”

Following up on what are typically good observations from Tenney I looked at the Radarsat-2 and Sentinel-1 imagery posted by the Danish Meteorological Institute. Weather records from automatic weather stations in the region from PROMICE and the surface mass balance model results for the week from Polar Portal.

It is evident from the PROMICE weather records on the ice sheet just south of the Disko Bay region that temperatures have been exceptionally high since January 5th and atmospheric pressures have been high since January 9th. The Polar Portal mass balance model indicates some actual declines/ablation in the last week. This is more likely sublimation from föehn conditions than actual melt. The real changes are in the sea ice fronts and ice in the coastal inlets illustrated by MODIS. Below are images from January 9, 11, 13 and 16 for Disko Bay and January 9, 13 and 16 from Uummannaq Bay.

The arrow at location 1# is an area of sea ice across the fjord in front of Jakobshavn Glacier on January 9, that disappears by January 13. Location #2 is at the fjord mouth and location #3 is at the sea front south of Disko Island on January 9. There is no real cloud cover evident in any of images. Maybe low level fog in places. By January 11th a plume is sweeping from Point 2 towards Point 3. Notice the sea ice in the fjord disappears by January 13th and the ice front is pushed back in a concave fashion at Point #3. This indicates a clear push of water driving sea ice offshore. The Ilulissat Fjord mouth lack of ice is also evident in Webcam images from 1-16-16 and 1-17-16 at the Hotel Arctic, last images below with two boats plying the open water. on the 16th and icebergs clogging the fjord mouth on the 17th. The Sentinel-1 image from January 16th shows a significant flushing of icebergs from Ilulissat Fjord, pointed out by black arrows. This image has better clarity and with the icebergs scattered through the plume, indicate more clearly the plume is a water source change event, even if wind driven. The iceberg plume in the fjord has a brighter aspect due to the varied surface aspect-reflectance and has expanded down fjord. The event must be due to or enhanced by strong offshore winds and Ruth Mottram (@ruth_mottram) indicates there was at least one föehn event this week. The plume includes bergs from the ice melange in front of Jakobshavn has been largely removed, which can have implications for calving and frontal velocity. Moon et al, (2015). indicate the role that a rigid ice melange has on the calving and frontal velocity of tidewater outlet glaciers in Greenland.

In Uummannaq Bay a very similar sequence plays out, note on January 9 the sea ice connecting islands near #4. By January 13th the ice at location #4 is gone. The ice front is now at location #3, which on January 9th was well into the ice pack. Again we have a clear push of water leading to a concave sea ice front that is pushed well offshore. Icebergs can be seen amidst plume on January 16th, the plume opacity and size has diminished since January 13th.

In both of the January 13th images there is a plume leading to the concave sea ice front, the question being is this sediment laden water, with the resultant higher reflectivity or is it a combination of a surface water change from wind or a combination. We had questioned if the plume had any sediment origin initially. Its widespread nature and persistence suggested not. Aeration was another suggestion. Jason Box suggests that the opaque water plume leading to the developing polyna is driven by the strong offshore winds and the opaque whitening is capillary waves on the sea surface. Examples of identification of observed high backscatter from offshore winds are from Monaldo and Beal (1998) and Li et al, (2007) The ice must in part be driven back by a surface water push. You can see icebergs in sections of the plumes closer to shore suggesting this is a surface near surface phenomenon. This is a short term event. However, it could have broader implications, in this case the ice melange in front of Jakobshavn has been removed, and probably from in front of other glaciers, which will impact near term calving rates. I have incorporated many insights from the community and welcome more.

RADARSAT-2 IMAGE FROM Disko Bay 1/09/2016

RADARSAT-2 IMAGE FROM Disko Bay 1/11/2016

RADARSAT-2 IMAGE FROM Disko Bay 1/13/2016

Sentinel-1 imagery from 1-16-16 of Disko Bay-notice expanded brightness area in the fjord by #1.

Sentinel 1 imagery of Uummannaq Bay 1/09/2016

RADARSAT-2 IMAGE FROM Uummannaq Bay MODIS 1/13/2016

Sentinel 1 imagery of Uummannaq Bay 1/13/2016 plume size and opacity diminishing.

Ilulissat Fjord mouth webcam view 1-16-16.

Ilulissat Fjord mouth webcam view 1-17-16.

Murchison Glacier, New Zealand Rapid Retreat Lake Expands 1990-2015

On January 14, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, glaciers salmon, New Zealand glacier1 Comment

Murchison Glacier change revealed in Landsat images from 1990 and 2015. The red arrow indicates 1990 terminus location, the yellow arrow indicates 2015 terminus location and the purple arrow indicates upglacier thinning.

Murchison Glacier is the second largest in New Zealand. The glacier drains south in the next valley east of Tasman Glacier and terminates in a lake that is rapidly developing as the glacier retreats. The lower 6 km section is debris covered, stagnant, relatively flat and will not survive long. There was not a lake in the 1972 map of the region. In 1990 the newly formed lake was limited to the southeast margin of the terminus . From 1990 to 2015 the terminus has retreated 2700 m. A rapid retreat will continue as 2010, 2013 and 2015 imagery indicate other proglacial lakes have now developed 3.5 km above the actual terminus. These lakes are glacier dammed and may not endure but do help increase ablation, and in the image below show a glacier that is too narrow to provide flow to the lower 3.5 km. The demise of the lower section of this glacier will parallel that of Tasman Glacier. The expanding lake will continue to enhance the retreat in part by sub-aqueous calving noted by Robertson et al (2012) on nearby glaciers. The increased retreat has been forecast by the NIWA and Dykes et al (2011). The glacier still has a significant accumulation area above 1650 m to survive at a smaller size. The ongoing retreat is triggered by warming and a rise in the snowline in the New Zealand Alps observed by the NIWA. Notice the changes upglacier indicated at the purple arrows above, where tributary flow has declined, bedrock areas in accumulation zone have expanded and the snowline is higher. Gjermundsen et al (2011) examined the change in glacier area in the central Southern Alps and found a 17% reduction in area mainly from reductions of large valley glaciers such as Murchison Glacier.

Terminus reach of Murchison Glacier in Google Earth images from 2007 and 2013. Note expansion at pink arrow on the terminus lake and the development of proglacial lakes 3.5 km upglacier at blue arrows.

The Feb. 2011 earthquake near Christchurch led to a major calving event of a portion of the rotten stagnant terminus reach of the Tasman Glacier. There was no evident calving event from Murchison Glacier.This has led to increased exposure of bedrock high on the glacier and reduction of tributary inflow noted at purple arrows.

Murchison Glacier drains into Lake Pukaki,a along with Hooker, Mueller and Tasman Glacier, where water level has been raised 9 m for hydropower purposes. Water from Lake Pukaki is sent through a canal into the Lake Ohau watershed and then through six hydropower plants of the Waitaki hydro scheme: Ohau A, B and C. Benmore, Aviemore and Waitaki with a combined output of 1340 MW. Meridian owns and operates all six hydro stations located from Lake Pūkaki to Waitaki. Reductions in glacier area in the watershed will lead to reduced summer runoff into the Lake Pukaki system. Below the Benore Dam is pictured,. Interestingly salmon have been introduced into the Waitaki River system for fishing near its mouth. Benmore Lake itself is an internationally renowned trout fishing spot, providing habitat for both brown trout and rainbow trout.

Google Earth Image with Benmore Dam in foreground and Benmore Lake. This hydropower system is fed by a canal from Lake Pukaki which in turn is fed by Murchison Glacier.

Hooker Glacier Retreat, 1990-2015

On January 11, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, New Zealand glacier3 Comments

Glacier change revealed in Landsat images from 1990 and 2015. Mueller Glacier (M) and Hooker Glacier (H). The red arrow indicates 1990 terminus location, the yellow arrow indicates 2015 terminus location and the purple arrow indicates upglacier thinning.

Hooker Glacier parallels the Tasman Glacier one valley to the west draining south from Mount Hicks and Mount Cook. Hooker Glacier is a low gradient which helps reduce its overall velocity and a debris covered ablation zone reducing ablation, both factors increasing response time to climate change (Quincey and Glasser 2009). Hooker Lake which the glacier ends in began to from around 1982 (Kirkbride, 1993). In 1990 the lake was 1100 m long (Figure 11.2). From 1990 to 2015 the lake expanded to 2300 m, with the retreat enhanced by calving. The 1200 m retreat was faster during the earlier part of this period (Robertson et al.,2013).

Map of the region in 1972 indicating the lack of proglacial lakes at the end of Mueller, Hooker and Tasman Glacier.

The lower 3.4 km of the glacier has limited motion. Robertson et al, (2012) suggest the retreat will end after a further retreat of 700-1000 m as calving will decline as the lake depth declines. The peak lake depth is over 130 m, with the terminus moving into shallow water after 2006 leading to declining retreat rates (Robertson et al (2012).Gjermundsen et al (2011) examined the change in glacier area in the central Southern Alps and found a 17% reduction in area mainly from reductions of large valley glaciers such as Hooker Glacier. Based on the nearly stagnant nature of the lower glacier and the diminished ice flow from above indicated by debris cover expansion at the purple arrow, it seems likely the retreat will continue well beyond the end of the lake but at a diminished rate.

Hooker Glacier drains into Lake Pukaki,a along with Murchison, Mueller and Tasman Glacier, where water level has been raised 9 m for hydropower purposes. Water from Lake Pukaki is sent through a canal into the Lake Ohau watershed and then through six hydropower plants of the Waitaki hydro scheme: Ohau A, B and C. Benmore, Aviemore and Waitaki with a combined output of 1340 MW. Meridian owns and operates all six hydro stations located from Lake Pūkaki to Waitaki. Reductions in glacier area in the watershed will lead to reduced summer runoff into the Lake Pukaki system (see image below)

Comparison of Hooker Glacier terminus area in 2006 (red arrow) and 2013 (yellow arrow) in Google Earth. Blue arrow indicates icebergs in 2006.

Hydropower projects below Lake Pukaki

Endurance Glacier, Elephant Island Retreat

On January 4, 2016May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn Antarctic Glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations1 Comment

Landsat comparison from 1990 and 2015 of Endurance Glacier, Elephant Island-Embayment development east and west side of calving terminus.

Endurance Glacier is the main outlet glacier of this heavily glaciated island of the South Shetland Islands. The name of the island comes from the numerous elephant seals. The name of the glacier comes from the Ernest Shackleton and his crew from the Endurance reaching the island in 1916 after a journey in open boats, following the loss of their ship Endurance in Weddell Sea ice. Amazingly 28 men somehow survived the trip to Elephant Island. The name is also appropriate as it takes real endurance to visit and observe the glacier as is evident in the lack of observations on this glacier. I have been waiting since the launch of Landsat 8 in 2013 for a reasonably clear image of this obviously cloudy area. The December 16th, 2015 image is that image. here we examine the changes in this glacier from 1990 to 2015 using Landsat images. Endurance Glacier has 6 km wide calving front facing the open ocean. The glacier is heavily crevassed in the center near the calving face. This glacier must be exposed to as much wave action as any glacier in the world, since it lacks sea ice protection from November-May.

Elephant Island, South Shetland Islands

In 1990 the calving front has a slight convexity with the terminus extending parallel to the coast from the red arrows. A specific nunatak is Point 1, and is 1.4 km from the calving front. By 2001 embayments have begun to develop on the east and west end of the calving front. By 2015 the calving front has a pronounced convex center with two substantial embayments on the east and the west. Point 1 is now 700 m from the calving front. The embayment adjacent to this indicates a retreat of 500-1000 m across a 2 km ice front. The western embayment is larger 2.25 km wide with the front having retreated 1000 to 1500 m. The increasing exposure of the central terminus tongues to wave action and ocean water, should lead to its loss in the near future. This is evident in the Google Earth image below. This glaciers retreat is less than glaciers on South Georgia such as Neumayer and Hindle Glacier.

2001 Landsat image

Google Earth image from 2014 note convex center tongue, embayments east and west and heavy crevassing.

Lex Blanche Glacier Recession, Mont Blanc Massif, Italy

On December 28, 2015May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, Glacier Observations, Italy glacier retreat

Lex Blanche Glacier (Lb) comparison in a 1990 and 2015 Landsat image. Red arrow indicates 1990 terminus, yellow arrow the 2015 terminus and the purple arrow a separated tributary. Debris covered Miage Glacier (M) is adjacent.

Lex Blanche Glacier descends from 3500 m on the southeast flank the Aiguille de Glaciers of the Mont Blanc Massif into the Vale Veny of Italy. The glacier is adjacent to Miage Glacier (M). The glacier advanced over 700 m from 1970 to 1990. In 1990 the glacier extended to the base of a steep slope and turned north to terminate at 1980 m. By 2001 the glacier has retreated up a steep slope to near where the 1970’s advance had begun. By 2009 and 2011 further retreat has left the terminus just above a particularly steep bedrock slope. By 2015 the glacier has retreated 1100 m and terminates at 2450 m remaining on a relatively steep slope. The glacier is heavily crevassed a short distance above the terminus suggesting the period of rapid retreat should be ending. A tributary from the north has detached from the main glacier at the purple arrow. In recent warm summers the glacier has retained snowcover above 3150 m. The mass balance noted in Figure 8 (see below) of a paper by Berthier et al (2014) indicates the thinning is glacier wide but most prominent on glacier tongue. Berthier et al (2014) used the Pléiades satellites to identify a negative region wide mass balances of glaciers in the Mont-Blanc area of -1.04 m/year for the 2003-2012 period. The meltwater runoff from this glacier feeds the Dora Baltea River and then the Po River. Both rivers feature extensive hydropower including the Champagne and Nus hydropower plant on the Dora Baltea that produce 41 MW. The retreat of this glacier mirrors that of other glaciers of Mont Blanc including Taconnaz, Bionnassay, Mer de Glace and Tour Glacier.

Figure 8 from Berthier et al (2014) on glacier wide mass change with thinning in browns, and darker browns greater thinning.

Google Earth image from 2001 indicating the 1990 terminus at red arrow and 2001 terminus at yellow arrow.

Google Earth image from 2009 indicating the 1990 terminus at red arrow and 2009 terminus at yellow arrow.

Google Earth image from 2011 indicating the 1990 terminus at red arrow and 2011 terminus at yellow arrow. Blue arrow indicates the lowest heavily crevassed region.

Dawes Glacier, Alaska Retreat and Harbor Seals

On December 17, 2015May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations

Comparison of 1987 and 2015 Landsat images of Dawes Glacier. Red arrow 1987 terminus, yellow arrow 2015 terminus, pink arrow location where tributaries separated.

Dawes Glacier terminates at the head of Endicott Arm, a 55 km long fjord in southeast Alaska. Dawes is a major outlet glacier of the Stikine Icefield. Larsen et al (2007) observed a rapid thinning of the Stikine Icefield and that Dawes was thinning faster than all but Muir Glacier in Southeast Alaska during the 1948-2000 period. During the period from 1891 when first mapped and 1967 the glacier retreated 6.8 km (Molnia,2008). The retreat has been driven by rising snowlines in the region that has driven the retreat of North Dawes, Baird and Sawyer Glacier.

A comparison of 1987 and 2015 Landsat images illustrate recent retreat and thinning of the glacier. The main terminus retreated 1100 m during this interval, a reduced rate from the previous period from 1978 to 1987 the glacier retreated 2.8 km. Key tributaries at the purple and green arrow each have a 30% decline in width. At the pink arrows are three tributaries that fed the Dawes Glacier in 1987 and are now detached. This fragmentation will continue. The reduced inflow and up glacier thinning is ongoing as will the retreat. A key mechanism for retreat over the last century has been calving. The calving rate has declined of late, possibly due to reduced water depth. The 2007 Hydrographic map of the area indicates water depth at the calving front still over 100 m., with a depth of 150 m 1 km down fjord of the terminus (see bottom image). Examination of surface elevation portrayed in Google Earth indicate a relatively sharp rise near the first junction, the surface elevation being at 1400 feet. The trimline is noted with blue arrows, note how much higher above the ice the tramline is at the terminus than at 1400 feet. At this point the northern arm would appear to have a bed above sea level and the main arm at least a much shallower bed. Pelto and Warren (1991) observed the calving rate reduction with water depth in the area. Note the ogives, curved bands, on the northern arm that form once per year at the base of icefall due to seasonal velocity change. The glacier thinning is continuing, but the retreat rate will decline as the fjord head is approached. As calving is reduced harbor seals will be disappointed as they like us are drawn to glaciers.

Google Earth image of Dawes Glacier in 2013. Blue arrows indicate trillion and number are elevation in feet.

The Alaska Department of Fish and Game has been monitoring harbor seals in the fjord and noting their use of icebergs and proximal glacier regions. The noted that females travel to pup on the icebergs in the spring and also utilize the are for mating. Because there was little information on where seals that use glacial habitat during pupping and mating season spend the remainder of the year, ADFG attached satellite tags to harbor seals to monitor their movements. In 2008 this data indicated that that adult and sub-adult seals captured in Endicott Arm early summer spent the late summer and fall months in Stephens Passage, Frederick Sound, Chatham Strait, This study is in part prompted by a decline of harbor seals in the Glacier Bay region where they also utilize icebergs, as NPS biologist Jamie Womble explained at the AGU 2015 meetin

1978 Landsat image, blue arrow 1978 terminus, red arrow 1987 terminus and 2015 terminus yellow arrow. Note the improvement in the Landsat imagery.

Greenland Fjord Going Ice Free

On December 16, 2015May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, Greenland glacier retreat

Google Earth image from 2010 of Alangordlia Fjord

At the AGU 2015 meeting a clear change from 15 years ago is the interdisciplinary nature of most research featured in most sessions. In the glacier sessions there is physical oceanography, biology, climatology etc.to add in. I will examine a SW Greenland Fjord, Alangordlia to illustrate this. In 1987 Landsat image there are four glaciers reaching tidewater in the fjord and two significant glacial fed streams contributing plumes of sediment. By 2015 two of the glaciers, green arrow and pink arrow, have retreated from contact with the fjord. The glacier at the yellow arrow will lose contact with the fjord quite soon, and the glacier at the red arrow has reduced width of contact and will retreat from the fjord in the near future. A closeup using Google Earth from 2010 illustrates the terminus of each glacier, below.

Landsat comparison image from 1987 above and 2015 below.

As glacier melt increased in Greenland after 2000, the glacier runoff would have increased along with the sediment and nutrient flux from these streams (McGrath et al., 2010). These plumes can be seen and even quantified using satellite imagery. The fjord outflow would increase mostly in the near surface layer as the water is fresh. This would increase the deep water inflow of salty water (Straneo et al., 2011). The water entering the fjord would be warmer if there is no shallow sill preventing entry. With greater flow and more nutrients the biology of the system would be altered. Peterson et al (2015) note a summer phytoplankton bloom coinciding with the increase of summer glacier runoff. In Svalbard examination of biology in front of glaciers by (Lydersen et al, 2013) identify that kittiwakes, fulmars, ivory gulls and glaucous gulls are common in large numbers in the so-called “brown zone”, the area in front of tidewater glaciers that is ice-free due to currents and muddy due to suspended sediments, such as in Alangordlia. The further observe that Animals at these sites typically have their stomachs full of large zooplankton or fish and that the brown zones are also foraging hotspots for ringed seals. If these were larger glaciers with deep bottoms, this water would enhance melting (Chauché et al, 2014). In this case the thin glaciers would not be much affected. The glacier retreat of these minor glaciers follows the trend of major glaciers. Murray et al (2015) examined 199 tidewater glaciers and noted significant retreat of 188 of them. This resulted in a major increase in overall mass loss from Greenland, which quadrupled from 1992- 2001 to 2001-2011, yielding a 7.5 mm net contribution to sea-level rise from 1992-2011( Moon , 2014). The updated response is the Arctic Report Card that will be discussed today at the AGU15 Meeting h (Tedesco et al, 2015).

2010 Google Earth of glaciers on the south side of Alangordlia

2010 Google Earth of glaciers at the east end of Alangordlia

Topographic map of region from NunaGIS

Emmons Glacier, Washington Velocity Map Signals its Future

On December 14, 2015May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations1 Comment

1966 Aerial image taken by Austin Post, USGS, red arrow indicates discharge stream. Emmons Glacier in 2005, red arrow indicates discharge stream, blue arrow lower limit of clean ice and green arrow region of peak velocity.

Emmons Glacier descends the northeast side of Mount Rainier into the White River, and is its largest glacier by area The river is host to pink, chum, coho and chinook salmon, note distribution map below. The lower glacier is heavily debris covered from a landslide off of Little Tahoma in 1963, the glacier was advancing at the time and continued to advance into the early 1980’s , maintaining the advanced position until 1994. Retreat was negligible from 1994-2003. Since 2003 retreat has increased but is still modest. Thinning of the ablation zone has been ongoing and has been more significant than retreat. The National Park Service mass balance work led by Jon Riedel indicates an approximate 10 m thinning from 2003-2014.

White River chinook salmon distribution from the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife SalmonScape, green=rearing, red= documented spawning blue=documented presence.

A recent paper by Allstadt et al (2015) examines velocity on this glacier using terrestrial radar interferometry. There key observations are that: Emmons has a slow velocity near the summit < 0.2 m per day , high velocities over the upper and central regions 1.0–1.5 m per day and stagnant debris-covered regions near the terminus < 0.05 m per day. That glacier movement is mostly via sliding. Lastly that there is a large seasonal decrease from July to November. The late summer slowdown is typical of alpine glaciers, where despite peak melt, the drainage system is well developed and basal water pressure is reduced as a result.

The image below indicates velocity distribution in a cursory fashion compared to the excellent detail of Allstadt et al (2015). The glacier has had a negative mass balance in recent years and this combined with the lack of glacier movement near the terminus, indicates this section of the glacier will continue to melt away, slowed by the insulating debris cover. Google Earth images from 1994 and 2012 indicate an approximately 200 m retreat in the glacier center, and evident thinning in the region up to the yellow arrows. In 2015 record melt was observed in the North Cascades and at least through mid-summer on Mount Rainier. Currently the area of the glacier has not decline enough to reduce late summer streamflow which would impact salmon during the low flow period.

Velocities noted by Allstadt et al (2015) displayed on Google Earth image.

1994 Google Earth Image, red is 2012 terminus position, green the 1994 terminus position

2012 Google Earth Image, red is 2012 terminus position, green the 1994 terminus position

Climate Driven Retreat of Mount Baker Glaciers and Changing Water Resources

On December 11, 2015May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, North Cascade Glaciers

We have spent 300 nights in a tent just on this mountain collecting data from 1984-2015 in this study that the book documents.

This post has the same title as a book released last month as part of the Springer Briefs in Climate Studies series. The nice thing about publishing research emerging from 30 years of field research in a book is that I had a chance to include 104 figures in 107 pages. Here I give a brief synopsis of the book and a key figure from each of the six chapters.This book presents the impact of climate change on Mount Baker glaciers, USA, and the rivers surrounding them. Glaciers are natural reservoirs that yield their resource primarily on warm dry summer days when other sources are at their lowest yield. This natural tempering of drought conditions will be reduced as they retreat. Mount Baker, a volcano in the Cascades of Washington, is currently host to 12 principal glaciers with an area of 36.8 km2. The glaciers yield 125 million cubic meters of water each summer that is a resource for salmon, irrigation and hydropower to the Nooksack River and Baker River watersheds. Recent rapid retreat of all 22 glaciers is altering the runoff from the glaciers, impacting both the discharge and temperature of the Nooksack and Baker River. Over the last 30 years we have spent 270 nights camped on the mountain conducting 10,500 observations of snow depth and melt rate on Mount Baker. This data combined with observations of terminus change, area change and glacier runoff over the same 30 years allow an unusually comprehensive story to be told of the effects of climate change to Mount Baker Glaciers and the rivers that drain them.

Chapter 1: Panchromatic sharpened Landsat image of the glacier of Mount Baker in Aug. 2014, rendered by Ben Pelto (UNBC).

We have worked on each of these glaciers except Thunder Glacier. After advancing from 1950-1979, the glaciers have all been in retreat, in 2015 the average retreat was 390 m since 1985.

Chapter 2 Comparison of Easton Glacier from our base camp in 2003 and 2015, where we have spent over 90 nights. We measure the retreat of each glacier in the field as they respond to climate change.

Chapter 3 looks at mass balance of glaciers in the area including the Sholes Glacier Daily ablation measurements over the last 30 years allow determination of a relationship between daily melt and air temperature. Other factors matter, but air temperature does yield a good relationship.

Chapter 4 Glacier runoff provides a critical water resource to the Nooksack River. We measure meltwater runoff from Sholes Glacier and observe glacier melt on several glaciers in the basin. This allows determination of the contribution of glaciers to the watershed. In 2014 contributions from glaciers exceeded 40% of total North Fork Nooksack River streamflow on 21 days after Aug. 1. This is a critical period for salmon migration in the watershed.

Chapter 5 Glacier runoff is measured below the Sholes Glacier in conjunction with Oliver Grah and Jezra Beaulieu, Nooksack Tribe. This is the record for part of the 2014 field season at the gage site.

Chapter 6 Deming Glacier in 2011 Google earth image illustrating retreat. The glacier has retreated 420 m from 1979 to 2015.

Vilkitkogo Glacier Rapid Retreat, Novaya Zemlya 1990-2015

On December 8, 2015May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn glacier climate change, Glacier Observations, Uncategorized

Figure 7.4. Vilkitskogo South Glacier (Vs) and Vilkitskogo North Glacier (Vn) compared in 1990 and 2015 Landsat images. Red arrows indicate 1990 terminus positions, yellow arrows 2015 terminus positions and purple arrows upglacier thinning.

Vilkitskogo Glacier has two termini that were nearly joined in Vilkitsky Bay in 1990. The glacier flows from the Northern Novaya Zemlya Ice Cap to the west coast and the Barents Sea. The glacier has been retreating like all tidewater glaciers in northern Novaya Zemlya (LEGOS, 2006). Carr et al (2014) identified an average retreat rate of 52 meters/year for tidewater glaciers on Novaya Zemlya from 1992 to 2010 and 5 meters/year for land terminating glaciers. For Vilkitskogo they indicate retreat into a widening fjord, and that the south arm has a potential bathymetric pinning point. The increased retreat rate coincides with the depletion of ice cover in the Barents Sea region and a warming of the ocean. Both would lead to increased calving due to more frontal ablation and notch development similar to at Svalbard (Petlicki et al. 2015)

The north and south glaciers both terminated at the mouth of their respective fjords in 1990, with the southern arm ending on a small island/peninsula extension. In 1994 there is limited evident retreat. By 2001 embayments had developed particularly along the peninsula separating them. By 2015 Vilkitskogo North has retreated 5000 m along the northern side of the fjord and 4000 m along the south side since 1990. This fjord has no evident pinning points, and the rapid calving retreat should continue. Vilkitskogo South has retreated 1000 m on the west side and 1800 m on the east side.The retreat has exposed a new island in the center of the glacier. The glacier is currently terminating on another island. Retreat from this pinning point will allow more rapid retreat to ensue. Upglacier thinning is evident in the expansion of bedrock areas and medial moraine width, purple arrows. This indicates the retreat will be ongoing. There is still a large are of snowcover across the summit of the ice cap each year. The retreat has the same unfolding story as Krivosheina, Nizkiy and Glasova Glacier

1994 Landsat Image

2001 Landsat image

Twin Glacier, Alaska Retreats from Twin Lake

On December 3, 2015May 2, 2024 By mspeltoIn alaska glacier retreat, climate change glacier retreat, glacier climate change, Glacier Observations1 Comment

Landsat image comparospm pf 1984 and 2015. The yellow arrow indicates 2015 terminus, red arrow the 1984 terminus, pink arrows the ogives and purple dots the snowline on the day of the image.

Twin Glacier is an outlet glacier of the Juneau Icefield flowing south into the Taku River valley, terminating in Twin Lake. There are two terminus arms the East and West Twin Glacier are receding up separate fjords, though they are fed from a joint accumulation zone. The Juneau Icefield has been a focus of study by the Juneau Icefield Research Program since 1946. This program led to my first visit to the glacier as a member of the program in 1982 and again in 1984. Both glacier arms have pronounced ogives formed in the icefall that descends from the accumulation zone into the valley reach ablation zone. Ogives form annually from the seasonal variation of velocity through the icefall. An examination of the change in Juneau Icefield glaciers using Landsat images from 1984 and 2013 identify a significant retreat that has continued into 2015.

The West Twin has retreated 600 m from 1983 to 2013, at an elbow in the fjord. Elbows like this are often good pinning points that are a more stable setting. This elbow also represents the point at which the glacier terminus is pulling out of the lake that it is calved into for over a century. The bedrock at the terminus is evident in both 2006 imagery and a 2015 image from the Wings Airways five glacier seaplane discovery tour, black arrows. The glacier will no longer be calving, which should also slow the retreat rate.

Google Earth Image 2006

2015 Wings Airways image

The East Twin is the narrower glacier and drops more quickly in elevation. The glacier has retreated 900 m from 1984 to 2015. The terminus has calved into Twin Lake for over a century, but in 2015 the width of the terminus calving into the lake has declined to 150 m from 600 m in 1984. The bedrock exposed on either side of the terminus indicates the terminus is on the verge of retreating from the lake. The black arrows indicate both bedrock at the glacier front, but also the trimlines left from recent thinning. The Google Earth image from 2006 and the 2015 image from the Wings Airways five glacier seaplane discovery tour.

In 2015 the snowline was particularly high, the accumulation zone usually covers the entire reach of the broad high elevation accumulation zone, not the pockets indicated by the purple dots. The declining mass balance identified by the Juneau Icefield ongoing mass balance program, which the high snowlines is indicative of is what is driving the retreat (Pelto et al, 2013).

Google Earth Image

Wings Airways Image